The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Colts 10 · 16 Vikings

133 plays, one strand. Vikings won after 1 lead change; Colts peaked at 73% to win, Vikings at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for MIN, down for IND, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom line1 lead change; Colts peaked at 73% to win, Vikings at 99%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Vikings win, play by play. High = MIN in control, low = IND in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for MIN on offense, down for IND; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Vikings ↑

Colts ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: IND on the left, MIN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

INDMIN

59Plays54

218Yards277

3Explosive plays7

1Offensive TDs1

1Turnovers0

73%Peak win prob.99%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

MIN–8yINDTD61yMINPunt16yINDPunt7yMINFG53yINDPunt0yMINFG67yINDFG39yINDPunt-2yMINPunt5yINDFG ✕65yMINTD54yINDPunt14yMINFG ✕41yINDFG ✕21yMINFG33yINDINT13y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.9 expected points against Vikings.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 12:52 · MIN · Run
33-A.Jones right guard to IND 39 for -1 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither, 97-L.Latu).
−3.9 EP
2
Q1 11:55 · IND · Completion
17-D.Jones pass short middle to 10-K.Allen to MIN 49 for 13 yards (23-J.Pierre).
+2.6 EP
3
Q1 9:20 · IND · Touchdown
28-J.Taylor left tackle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.5 EP
4
Q3 2:19 · IND · Missed field goal
3-S.Shrader 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
−4.1 EP
5
Q4 15:00 · MIN · Run
1-K.Murray scrambles right tackle pushed ob at IND 5 for 35 yards (0-C.Bynum). IND-29-C.Taylor-Britt was injured during the play.
+3.8 EP
6
Q4 8:38 · MIN · Missed field goal
16-W.Reichard 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-G.Stewart), Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.
−2.9 EP
7
Q4 4:27 · IND · Missed field goal
3-S.Shrader 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
−3.6 EP
8
Q4 1:15 · IND · Interception
17-D.Jones pass short right intended for 86-W.Mallory INTERCEPTED by 22-H.Smith at MIN 44. 22-H.Smith to IND 41 for 15 yards (10-K.Allen).
−4.4 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

10@16

Week 7

If the Colts kicker had made it from 48

Colts after the play19%what really happened

Q4 4:27 3-S.Shrader 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

Week 7

The rest of the week

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24@30