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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Broncos 30 · 16 Cardinals

158 plays, one strand. Broncos won without the lead ever changing hands; Broncos peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 64%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for ARI, down for DEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Broncos peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 64%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cardinals win, play by play. High = ARI in control, low = DEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for ARI on offense, down for DEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cardinals ↑Broncos ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDARI ↑ HOMEDEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DEN on the left, ARI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DENARI
54Plays75
379Yards353
7Explosive plays6
3Offensive TDs1
0Turnovers0
100%Peak win prob.64%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DENFG39yARIPunt3yDENPunt9yARIPunt10yDENFG27yARIFG26yDENPunt9yARIFG70yDENTD65yARIPunt8yDENPunt8yARIPunt0yDEN–3yARIPunt28yDENTD62yARITD53yDENTD71yARI–34yDENFG58yARIFG52yDENPunt28yARI–69y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.5 expected points for Broncos.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 3:57 · DEN · Touchdown

    10-B.Nix scrambles up the middle for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q3 10:36 · DEN · Touchdown

    10-B.Nix pass short left to 12-R.Harvey for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 0:47 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass deep right to 19-M.Mims pushed ob at ARI 6 for 47 yards (35-K.King).

    +3.2 EP
  4. 4
    Q4 11:00 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass deep right to 17-J.Waddle to ARI 33 for 27 yards (21-G.Williams).

    +2.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 8:31 · ARI · Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass deep left to 85-T.McBride to DEN 39 for 26 yards (30-T.Rapp; 22-B.Jones).

    +2.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 4:51 · DEN · Run

    63-A.Palczewski reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 48, recovered by DEN-17-J.Waddle at DEN 44. DEN-17-J.Waddle was i

    −2.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:09 · ARI · Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 86-J.Brooks to DEN 1 for 35 yards (30-T.Rapp) [96-E.Uwazurike].

    +3.6 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:56 · ARI · Incomplete

    7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short middle to 14-Mi.Wilson (97-M.Roach).

    −2.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
30@16Week 7Changes the winner

If the 43-yard kick had missed

Cardinals after the play39%what really happened
CardinalsBroncosthe rest never happened

Q1 1:13 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.

Week 7

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Bears, Game DNA24@30Steelers at Saints, Game DNA16@10Bengals at Ravens, Game DNA35@13Browns at Titans, Game DNA27@24Colts at Vikings, Game DNA10@16Dolphins at Jets, Game DNA28@25Giants at Texans, Game DNA27@2149ers at Falcons, Game DNA20@29Buccaneers at Panthers, Game DNA43@13Packers at Lions, Game DNA17@20Rams at Raiders, Game DNA35@21Chiefs at Seahawks, Game DNA3@20Cowboys at Eagles, Game DNA38@21