Week 7 · 2026Browns 27 · 24 Titans
148 plays, one strand. Browns won after 1 lead change; Browns peaked at 84% to win, Titans at 86%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TEN, down for CLE, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Browns peaked at 84% to win, Titans at 86%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Titans win, play by play. High = TEN in control, low = CLE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for TEN on offense, down for CLE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: CLE on the left, TEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.3 expected points against Browns.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 10:47 · CLE · Interception−5.3 EP
4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 12-D.Boston INTERCEPTED by 18-C.Flott at CLE 38. 18-C.Flott to CLE 24 for 14 yards (12-D.Boston).
- 2Q2 9:39 · TEN · Run−3.4 EP
20-T.Pollard up the middle to CLE 1 for no gain (59-W.Reid).
- 3Q2 7:15 · CLE · Fumble lost−3.4 EP
4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin to CLE 40 for 2 yards (53-A.Hill). FUMBLES (53-A.Hill), RECOVERED by TEN-29-T.Adams at CLE 41. 29
- 4Q2 7:07 · TEN · Interception−3.5 EP
1-C.Ward pass deep right intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Ward at CLE 22. 21-D.Ward to CLE 22 for no gain (5-E.Ayomanor).
- 5Q3 8:32 · TEN · Fumble lost−3.3 EP
1-C.Ward pass short left to 14-C.Tate to TEN 38 for 13 yards (7-T.Campbell; 33-R.Hickman). FUMBLES (7-T.Campbell), RECOVERED by CLE-33-R.Hic
- 6Q4 14:09 · CLE · Missed field goal−3.8 EP
25-A.Szmyt 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
- 7Q4 2:33 · TEN · Completion+4.4 EP
1-C.Ward pass deep middle to 5-E.Ayomanor to CLE 17 for 26 yards (33-R.Hickman) [54-S.Williams].
- 8Q4 1:13 · TEN · Completion+3.2 EP
1-C.Ward pass deep left to 14-C.Tate pushed ob at CLE 1 for 18 yards (26-M.Harden).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 32-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime
Q4 0:03 25-A.Szmyt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.