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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Rams 35 · 21 Raiders

149 plays, one strand. Rams won without the lead ever changing hands; Rams peaked at 100% to win, Raiders at 59%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LV, down for LAR, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Rams peaked at 100% to win, Raiders at 59%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Raiders win, play by play. High = LV in control, low = LAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LV on offense, down for LAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Raiders ↑Rams ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDFUMTDINTTDTDLV ↑ HOMELAR ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LAR on the left, LV on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LARLV
65Plays66
389Yards350
4Explosive plays4
5Offensive TDs2
2Turnovers0
100%Peak win prob.59%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
LVPunt1yLARPunt-3yLVFG ✕7yLARTD54yLVFG38yLARTD84yLVPunt0yLARTD59yLV–27yLARTD49yLVFG55yLARPunt-2yLV–47yLARFUM9yLV–5yLARPunt50yLVTD91yLARINT0yLVTD32yLARTD66yLVFG47yLAR–23y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.4 expected points against Raiders.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:53 · LV · Missed field goal

    14-M.Gay 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.

    −3.4 EP
  2. 2
    Q3 8:43 · LV · Incomplete

    8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to 82-C.White. ** Injury Update: LA-3-K.Curl has returned to the game.

    −3.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 8:39 · LAR · Fumble lost

    23-K.Williams up the middle to LA 22 for 9 yards (92-J.Pegues). FUMBLES (92-J.Pegues), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LA 30. 11-J.Chinn to LA

    −4.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 7:08 · LV · Incomplete

    8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 9-J.Nailor ran ob at LA 9 for 16 yards. Los Angeles Rams challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play

    −3.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:22 · LV · Completion

    8-K.Cousins pass short right to 1-T.Tucker to LA 44 for 41 yards (30-J.Wallace).

    +3.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 15:00 · LV · Touchdown

    8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 1-T.Tucker for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 14:44 · LAR · Interception

    9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 84-C.Parkinson INTERCEPTED by 17-N.Dean at LA 34. 17-N.Dean to LA 34 for no gain (84-C.Parkinson

    −5.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 5:29 · LV · Completion

    8-K.Cousins pass short left to 89-B.Bowers to LA 49 for 16 yards (5-K.Kinchens; 3-K.Curl). Penalty on LA-1-E.Forbes, Illegal Contact, declin

    +3.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
35@21Week 7Changes the winner

If the Raiders kicker had made it from 51

Raiders after the play48%what really happened
RaidersRamsthe rest never happened

Q1 10:53 14-M.Gay 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.

Week 7

The rest of the week