The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Packers 17 · 20 Lions

147 plays, one strand. Lions won after 2 lead changes; Packers peaked at 65% to win, Lions at 90%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DET, down for GB, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom line2 lead changes; Packers peaked at 65% to win, Lions at 90%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Lions win, play by play. High = DET in control, low = GB in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for DET on offense, down for GB; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Lions ↑

Packers ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: GB on the left, DET on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

GBDET

65Plays65

324Yards416

6Explosive plays6

2Offensive TDs2

1Turnovers2

65%Peak win prob.90%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

GBFG ✕62yDETTD80yGBTD74yDETFG60yGBPunt-4yDETPunt14yGB–73yDETFUM85yGB–1yDETFUM7yGBTD42yDETTD68yGBPunt2yDET–37yGBINT13yDETPunt1yGBFG56yDET–7yGBFG ✕5yDETFG57y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.4 expected points for Packers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 12:35 · GB · Completion
10-J.Love pass deep right to 83-S.Williams pushed ob at DET 6 for 27 yards (2-E.Rakestraw) [97-A.Hutchinson].
+4.4 EP
2
Q1 10:26 · GB · Missed field goal
28-T.Smack 26 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
−4.6 EP
3
Q1 3:39 · GB · Completion
10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft to DET 27 for 22 yards (46-J.Campbell).
+4.5 EP
4
Q2 5:56 · GB · Completion
10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson to DET 13 for 28 yards (6-K.Abney). ** Injury Update: GB-0-M.Golden has returned to the game.
+4.4 EP
5
Q2 0:30 · DET · Fumble lost
0-J.Gibbs up the middle to GB 6 for 6 yards (58-I.McDuffie). FUMBLES (58-I.McDuffie), RECOVERED by GB-57-B.Cox at GB 8.
−4.5 EP
6
Q3 14:16 · DET · Fumble lost
16-J.Goff FUMBLES (Aborted) at DET 41, touched at DET 41, RECOVERED by GB-58-I.McDuffie at DET 42.
−5.9 EP
7
Q4 4:53 · DET · Run
0-J.Gibbs up the middle to DET 22 for -2 yards (25-K.Nixon).
−3.6 EP
8
Q4 3:25 · GB · Missed field goal
28-T.Smack 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (98-D.Wonnum), Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
−3.8 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

17@20

Week 7Changes the winner

If the 22-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Packers after the play0%what really happened

Q4 0:01 79-L.Borom and 76-B.Miller reported in as eligible. 39-J.Bates 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

Week 7

The rest of the week

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