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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Steelers 16 · 10 Saints

132 plays, one strand. Steelers won without the lead ever changing hands; Steelers peaked at 99% to win, Saints at 62%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for PIT, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Steelers peaked at 99% to win, Saints at 62%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = PIT in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NO on offense, down for PIT; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Saints ↑Steelers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDINTNO ↑ HOMEPIT ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: PIT on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
PITNO
61Plays57
345Yards281
7Explosive plays2
1Offensive TDs1
0Turnovers1
99%Peak win prob.62%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
PITFG51yNOPunt42yPITPunt52yNOFG62yPITTD92yNOTD52yPITFG55yNOINT68yPITFG51yNOFG ✕51yPITPunt-2yNOPunt6yPIT–46y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.6 expected points for Steelers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 14:20 · PIT · Run

    74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 30-J.Warren up the middle pushed ob at NO 29 for 29 yards (1-K.McKinstry).

    +2.6 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 13:17 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 19-B.Brown to PIT 33 for 49 yards (35-J.Dean).

    +3.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:34 · PIT · Completion

    8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 4-D.Metcalf to NO 4 for 51 yards (7-J.Sanker).

    +5.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 4:41 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short left to 12-C.Olave ran ob at PIT 33 for 11 yards (5-J.Ramsey).

    +2.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 12:53 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass deep right to 14-D.Vele to PIT 36 for 24 yards (25-D.Elliott).

    +3.4 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 7:43 · NO · Interception

    6-T.Shough pass short right intended for 12-C.Olave INTERCEPTED by 41-P.Wilson at PIT 11. 41-P.Wilson to PIT 29 for 18 yards (18-B.Lance).

    −6.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 2:31 · PIT · Completion

    8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 87-B.Smith to NO 14 for 20 yards (31-J.Howden).

    +2.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 9:32 · NO · Missed field goal

    10-D.Carlson 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.

    −3.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
16@10Week 7

If the 39-yard kick had missed

Saints after the play27%what really happened
SaintsSteelersthe rest never happened

Q3 0:18 9-C.Boswell 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.

Week 7

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Bears, Game DNA24@30Bengals at Ravens, Game DNA35@13Browns at Titans, Game DNA27@24Colts at Vikings, Game DNA10@16Dolphins at Jets, Game DNA28@25Giants at Texans, Game DNA27@2149ers at Falcons, Game DNA20@29Buccaneers at Panthers, Game DNA43@13Broncos at Cardinals, Game DNA30@16Packers at Lions, Game DNA17@20Rams at Raiders, Game DNA35@21Chiefs at Seahawks, Game DNA3@20Cowboys at Eagles, Game DNA38@21