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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 7 · 2026Giants 27 · 21 Texans

143 plays, one strand. Giants won after 1 lead change; Giants peaked at 87% to win, Texans at 61%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for HOU, down for NYG, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Giants peaked at 87% to win, Texans at 61%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Texans win, play by play. High = HOU in control, low = NYG in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for HOU on offense, down for NYG; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Texans ↑Giants ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1TDTDTDTDTDTDHOU ↑ HOMENYG ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NYG on the left, HOU on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NYGHOU
64Plays55
420Yards239
9Explosive plays2
4Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers0
87%Peak win prob.61%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
HOUFG30yNYGTD66yHOUPunt3yNYGFG ✕47yHOUPunt4yNYGPunt4yHOUFG39yNYGTD73yHOUTD70yNYGFG ✕31yNYGPunt33yHOUPunt9yNYGPunt3yHOUPunt21yNYGTD80yHOUPunt15yNYGPunt-10yHOUTD48yNYG–12yHOUPunt0yNYGTD81y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.8 expected points for Giants.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 7:39 · NYG · Run

    17-D.Mooney left end to HOU 44 for 3 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).

    +2.8 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 6:59 · NYG · Completion

    18-J.McCarthy pass deep right to 1-M.Nabers pushed ob at HOU 2 for 42 yards (3-K.Lassiter).

    +3.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 4:05 · NYG · Completion

    18-J.McCarthy pass short right to 88-M.Fields to HOU 37 for 47 yards (3-K.Lassiter).

    +4.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q1 1:23 · NYG · Missed field goal

    34-D.Zvada 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-58-B.Mann, Holder-15-J.Stout.

    −3.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 2:00 · HOU · Completion

    7-C.Stroud pass deep middle to 1-T.Dell to NYG 30 for 43 yards (22-A.Phillips).

    +2.7 EP
  6. 6
    Q2 0:39 · HOU · Touchdown

    7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 18-M.Harrison for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 11:17 · NYG · Sack

    18-J.McCarthy sacked at HOU 37 for -5 yards (3-K.Lassiter).

    −2.6 EP
  8. 8
    OT 7:33 · NYG · Touchdown

    26-D.Singletary up the middle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
27@21Week 7Changes the winner

If the Texans had stopped that fourth-and-2

Texans after the play50%what really happened
TexansGiantsthe rest never happened

Q1 7:39 17-D.Mooney left end to HOU 44 for 3 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).

Week 7

The rest of the week