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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Falcons 35 · 14 Packers

147 plays, one strand. Falcons won after 1 lead change; Falcons peaked at 100% to win, Packers at 77%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for GB, down for ATL, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Falcons peaked at 100% to win, Packers at 77%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Packers win, play by play. High = GB in control, low = ATL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for GB on offense, down for ATL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Packers ↑Falcons ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTTDTDTDTDTDTDINTGB ↑ HOMEATL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: ATL on the left, GB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
ATLGB
65Plays63
502Yards328
6Explosive plays4
4Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
100%Peak win prob.77%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
ATLINT21yGBPunt6yATLPunt9yGBTD82yATLTD80yGBPunt6yATLPunt42yGBPunt1yATLFG38yGBFG ✕5yATLTD63yGBPunt8yATL–0yGB–63yATLTD87yGBPunt18yATLFG93yGBTD76yATLTD69yGBINT63y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.9 expected points against Falcons.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 13:33 · ATL · Interception

    9-M.Penix pass short middle intended for 4-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at GB 40. 29-X.McKinney to GB 45 for 5 yards (5-D.London).

    −4.9 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 9:18 · GB · Completion

    10-J.Love pass deep right to 0-M.Golden to ATL 43 for 45 yards (21-M.Hughes).

    +4.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 3:06 · ATL · Run

    7-Bi.Robinson left end to GB 5 for 55 yards (44-Z.Franklin; 51-D.Dennis-Sutton).

    +3.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 1:02 · ATL · Touchdown

    9-M.Penix pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 10:02 · GB · Incomplete

    10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 9-C.Watson.

    −3.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 14:17 · ATL · Completion

    9-M.Penix pass deep left to 5-D.London pushed ob at GB 16 for 68 yards (2-B.Cisse).

    +5.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 9:29 · GB · Completion

    10-J.Love pass short middle to 23-S.Moore to ATL 29 for 10 yards (31-X.Watts).

    +3.6 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:18 · GB · Interception

    10-J.Love pass short middle intended for 18-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 31-X.Watts [54-B.Dorlus] at ATL 3. 31-X.Watts to ATL 20 for 17 yards.

    −4.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Packers had converted that fourth-and-1

Packers after the play18%what really happened
PackersFalconsthe rest never happened

Q3 10:02 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right to 9-C.Watson.

Week 3

The rest of the week