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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Panthers 18 · 21 Browns

164 plays, one strand. Browns won after 4 lead changes; Panthers peaked at 72% to win, Browns at 97%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CLE, down for CAR, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line4 lead changes; Panthers peaked at 72% to win, Browns at 97%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Browns win, play by play. High = CLE in control, low = CAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CLE on offense, down for CAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Browns ↑Panthers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDINTCLE ↑ HOMECAR ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CAR on the left, CLE on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CARCLE
74Plays62
360Yards263
4Explosive plays4
1Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers0
72%Peak win prob.97%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CARPunt19yCLEPunt34yCARPunt25yCLEPunt55yCAR–31yCLEFG18yCAR–9yCLETD40yCARFG29yCARFG8yCLEPunt-3yCARPunt35yCLEPunt5yCARFG31yCLEPunt6yCARFG68yCLEFG44yCARTD72yCLETD57yCAR–2yCLE–7yCARINT31y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Browns.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 15:00 · CLE · Completion

    4-D.Watson pass short right to 1-K.Concepcion to CAR 34 for 4 yards (29-A.Evans).

    +3.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 8:38 · CAR · Sack

    9-B.Young sacked at CAR 47 for -10 yards (94-M.Graham).

    −3.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 3:40 · CAR · Incomplete

    9-B.Young pass incomplete short left to 82-T.Tremble.

    −2.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 1:43 · CLE · Touchdown

    4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-7-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined.

    +4.3 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 1:04 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass short middle to 30-C.Hubbard to CLE 16 for 30 yards (21-D.Ward). PENALTY on CLE-54-S.Williams, Roughing the Passer, 8 yards,

    +3.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 0:13 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass deep left to 87-B.Tremayne to CLE 35 for 31 yards (29-M.Blackmon).

    +3.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 1:55 · CLE · Touchdown

    4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. CAR-8-Ja.Horn was injured during the play.

    +3.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:27 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).

    −3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
18@21Week 3

If the Panthers had converted that fourth-and-16

Panthers after the play3%what really happened
BrownsPanthersthe rest never happened

Q4 1:27 9-B.Young pass short left to 88-D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (26-M.Harden; 49-C.Schwesinger).

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27