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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Bengals 27 · 30 Steelers

128 plays, one strand. Steelers won after 4 lead changes; Bengals peaked at 64% to win, Steelers at 97%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for PIT, down for CIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line4 lead changes; Bengals peaked at 64% to win, Steelers at 97%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Steelers win, play by play. High = PIT in control, low = CIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for PIT on offense, down for CIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Steelers ↑Bengals ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDINTTDTDTDFUMPIT ↑ HOMECIN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CIN on the left, PIT on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CINPIT
56Plays56
352Yards413
6Explosive plays9
3Offensive TDs3
1Turnovers1
64%Peak win prob.97%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
PITTD73yCINTD78yPITTD86yCINFG37yPITFG55yCINPunt18yPITINT32yCINTD53yPIT–12yCINFG75yPITTD59yCINTD64yPITPunt11yPITFG-4yCINPunt8yPITFG89yCINFUM19y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.5 expected points for Steelers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 13:17 · PIT · Touchdown

    8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 14-R.Wilson for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 1:46 · PIT · Interception

    8-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 14-R.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at CIN 36. 27-J.Battle to CIN 47 for 11 yards (67-B.Hoffma

    −3.1 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 0:39 · CIN · Touchdown

    9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 5-T.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN [69-S.Joseph].

    +4.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 10:11 · CIN · Completion

    9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel).

    +4.2 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 13:33 · CIN · Touchdown

    9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 88-M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.9 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 11:04 · PIT · Punt

    19-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 12-K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-15-B.Skowronek at

    +5.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:16 · PIT · Completion

    8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Washington to CIN 32 for 47 yards (29-K.Dugger).

    +2.9 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:53 · CIN · Fumble lost

    9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.

    −4.1 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
27@30Week 3

If the Bengals had fallen on their own fumble

Bengals after the play3%what really happened
SteelersBengalsthe rest never happened

Q4 0:53 9-J.Burrow sacked at PIT 46 for -8 yards (99-D.Harmon). FUMBLES (99-D.Harmon) [99-D.Harmon], RECOVERED by PIT-69-S.Joseph at CIN 49.

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27