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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Titans 7 · 12 Giants

142 plays, one strand. Giants won without the lead ever changing hands; Titans peaked at 49% to win, Giants at 95%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for TEN, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Titans peaked at 49% to win, Giants at 95%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = TEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NYG on offense, down for TEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Giants ↑Titans ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTNYG ↑ HOMETEN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: TEN on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
TENNYG
57Plays57
262Yards239
3Explosive plays3
1Offensive TDs0
1Turnovers0
49%Peak win prob.95%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYGPunt9yTENPunt5yNYGFG50yTENPunt7yNYGPunt6yTENPunt1yNYGPunt-5yTENPunt3yNYGFG39yTENPunt16yNYGPunt6yTENFG ✕22yNYGFG30yNYGFG79yTEN–68yNYGPunt8yTENTD76yNYGPunt17yTENINT64y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Giants.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:07 · NYG · Completion

    19-J.Winston pass deep left to 44-C.Skattebo to TEN 38 for 30 yards (37-A.Hooker) [98-J.Simmons].

    +3.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 14:34 · NYG · Sack

    19-J.Winston sacked at NYG 18 for -7 yards (98-J.Simmons).

    −2.2 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 11:29 · NYG · Completion

    19-J.Winston pass short left to 17-D.Mooney to TEN 32 for 13 yards (18-C.Flott).

    +2.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 1:11 · TEN · Incomplete

    1-C.Ward pass incomplete short left to 84-G.Helm [49-T.Edmunds].

    −3.0 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 13:33 · NYG · Sack

    19-J.Winston sacked at NYG 15 for -10 yards (15-K.Faulk).

    −2.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 12:55 · NYG · Punt

    15-J.Stout punts 64 yards to TEN 21, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike MUFFS catch, and recovers at TEN 18. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 12 yards (58-B

    +2.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 5:39 · TEN · Touchdown

    1-C.Ward pass short right to 4-W.Robinson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYG-12-C.Hood was injured during the play.

    +2.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:24 · TEN · Interception

    1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanli

    −4.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
7@12Week 3Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Titans after the play3%what really happened
GiantsTitansthe rest never happened

Q4 0:24 1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.

Week 3

The rest of the week