Week 3 · 2026Titans 7 · 12 Giants
142 plays, one strand. Giants won without the lead ever changing hands; Titans peaked at 49% to win, Giants at 95%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for TEN, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Titans peaked at 49% to win, Giants at 95%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = TEN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NYG on offense, down for TEN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: TEN on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Giants.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 10:07 · NYG · Completion+3.0 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep left to 44-C.Skattebo to TEN 38 for 30 yards (37-A.Hooker) [98-J.Simmons].
- 2Q2 14:34 · NYG · Sack−2.2 EP
19-J.Winston sacked at NYG 18 for -7 yards (98-J.Simmons).
- 3Q3 11:29 · NYG · Completion+2.5 EP
19-J.Winston pass short left to 17-D.Mooney to TEN 32 for 13 yards (18-C.Flott).
- 4Q3 1:11 · TEN · Incomplete−3.0 EP
1-C.Ward pass incomplete short left to 84-G.Helm [49-T.Edmunds].
- 5Q4 13:33 · NYG · Sack−2.1 EP
19-J.Winston sacked at NYG 15 for -10 yards (15-K.Faulk).
- 6Q4 12:55 · NYG · Punt+2.3 EP
15-J.Stout punts 64 yards to TEN 21, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike MUFFS catch, and recovers at TEN 18. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 12 yards (58-B
- 7Q4 5:39 · TEN · Touchdown+2.7 EP
1-C.Ward pass short right to 4-W.Robinson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYG-12-C.Hood was injured during the play.
- 8Q4 0:24 · TEN · Interception−4.5 EP
1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanli
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If that interception had fallen incomplete
Q4 0:24 1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.