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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Raiders 35 · 27 Saints

154 plays, one strand. Raiders won after 4 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 87%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NO, down for LV, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line4 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Saints at 87%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Saints win, play by play. High = NO in control, low = LV in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NO on offense, down for LV; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Saints ↑Raiders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDFUMTDINTTDFUMFUMNO ↑ HOMELV ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LV on the left, NO on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LVNO
63Plays72
342Yards381
4Explosive plays3
4Offensive TDs4
0Turnovers4
100%Peak win prob.87%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NOPunt2yLVFG63yNOTD84yLVFG46yNOPunt2yLVTD44yNOTD72yLVFG46yLVPunt5yNOTD87yNOTD32yLVTD71yNOPunt17yLVPunt0yNOFUM22yLVTD55yNOINT4yLVTD4yNOFUM44yLVPunt8yNOFUM15y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.3 expected points for Saints.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 2:45 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short left to 12-C.Olave to LV 6 for 12 yards (35-H.Masses) [51-M.Koonce].

    +2.3 EP
  2. 2
    Q3 4:22 · LV · Completion

    8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 89-B.Bowers to NO 45 for 20 yards (1-K.McKinstry).

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 3:29 · LV · Touchdown

    4-M.Washington right guard pushed ob at NO 1 for 35 yards (21-J.Reid). Las Vegas challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play

    +3.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q4 13:04 · NO · Fumble lost

    6-T.Shough sacked at LV 39 for -10 yards (51-M.Koonce). FUMBLES (51-M.Koonce) [51-M.Koonce], touched at LV 39, RECOVERED by LV-98-M.Crosby a

    −5.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 8:03 · NO · Interception

    6-T.Shough pass short left intended for 18-B.Lance INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses [51-M.Koonce] at NO 43. 35-H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (83-J

    −6.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 6:28 · LV · Touchdown

    8-K.Cousins pass short left to 89-B.Bowers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:21 · NO · Fumble lost

    6-T.Shough sacked at LV 30 for -10 yards (11-J.Chinn). FUMBLES (11-J.Chinn) [11-J.Chinn], RECOVERED by LV-3-T.Johnson at LV 32. Fumble Force

    −4.6 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:02 · NO · Fumble lost

    6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to NO 41 for 1 yard (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), touched at NO 40, RECOVERED by LV-5-E.Stok

    −3.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
35@27Week 3

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Saints after the play22%what really happened
SaintsRaidersthe rest never happened

Q4 8:03 6-T.Shough pass short left intended for 18-B.Lance INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses [51-M.Koonce] at NO 43. 35-H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (83-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (83-J.Johnson), touched at NO 7, recovered by LV-69-A.Butler at NO 4.

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27