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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Eagles 7 · 27 Bears

133 plays, one strand. Bears won without the lead ever changing hands; Eagles peaked at 45% to win, Bears at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CHI, down for PHI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Eagles peaked at 45% to win, Bears at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Bears win, play by play. High = CHI in control, low = PHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CHI on offense, down for PHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Bears ↑Eagles ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDFUMINTTDTDINTTDCHI ↑ HOMEPHI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: PHI on the left, CHI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
PHICHI
47Plays67
248Yards377
5Explosive plays4
1Offensive TDs3
3Turnovers0
45%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CHITD66yPHIPunt39yCHIPunt29yPHIFUM5yCHI–12yPHIINT75yCHIFG69yPHITD67yPHIPunt5yCHIFG38yPHIPunt-2yCHITD71yPHIPunt9yCHIPunt-2yPHIINT24yCHITD52yPHI–26yCHI–42y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.6 expected points for Bears.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:52 · CHI · Completion

    11-C.Keenum pass short left to 87-S.Roush to PHI 16 for 16 yards (53-Z.Baun).

    +2.6 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 1:15 · PHI · Fumble lost

    1-J.Hurts pass short right to 8-T.Bigsby to PHI 15 for 5 yards (94-A.Booker; 12-D.Bush). FUMBLES (94-A.Booker), RECOVERED by CHI-32-X.Woods

    −4.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 14:02 · CHI · Incomplete

    11-C.Keenum pass incomplete short left to 10-L.Burden (27-Q.Mitchell).

    −2.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 6:21 · PHI · Interception

    14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 13-D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Thieneman at CHI -9. Touchback.

    −5.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 0:01 · PHI · Touchdown

    1-J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.2 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 5:55 · CHI · Touchdown

    11-C.Keenum pass short middle to 14-K.Raymond for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 0:27 · PHI · Interception

    1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 6-D.Smith INTERCEPTED by 53-T.Edwards at CHI 42. 53-T.Edwards to CHI 42 for no gain (9-M.Lemon).

    −2.3 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:00 · CHI · Run

    65-L.Newman reported in as eligible. 4-D.Swift left tackle to PHI 19 for 15 yards (2-T.Woolen).

    +2.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
7@27Week 3Changes the winner

If the Eagles had stopped that fourth-and-1

Eagles after the play34%what really happened
BearsEaglesthe rest never happened

Q1 10:52 11-C.Keenum pass short left to 87-S.Roush to PHI 16 for 16 yards (53-Z.Baun).

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30