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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Jets 24 · 31 Lions

138 plays, one strand. Lions won after 2 lead changes; Jets peaked at 51% to win, Lions at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DET, down for NYJ, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Jets peaked at 51% to win, Lions at 99%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Lions win, play by play. High = DET in control, low = NYJ in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DET on offense, down for NYJ; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Lions ↑Jets ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMDET ↑ HOMENYJ ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NYJ on the left, DET on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NYJDET
63Plays62
337Yards383
7Explosive plays4
3Offensive TDs4
1Turnovers0
51%Peak win prob.99%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYJPunt9yDETPunt35yNYJPunt36yDETPunt9yNYJPunt0yDETFG49yNYJTD74yDETTD53yNYJ–30yDETTD80yNYJFG44yDETTD72yNYJTD64yDET–20yNYJTD56yDETTD65yNYJFUM24y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.4 expected points for Jets.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 5:40 · NYJ · Touchdown

    7-G.Smith pass deep right to 16-K.Sadiq for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.4 EP
  2. 2
    Q4 14:13 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep left to 18-I.Williams ran ob at NYJ 44 for 21 yards. The pass completion was assisted by replay.

    +2.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q4 13:59 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep left to 16-K.Sadiq to DET 13 for 43 yards (21-R.McCreary; 36-C.Clark).

    +2.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q4 8:37 · DET · Run

    0-J.Gibbs left tackle to NYJ 45 for no gain (52-K.Enagbare). Penalty on DET, Illegal Formation, declined.

    −3.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 4:11 · NYJ · Touchdown

    7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson to DET 1 for 22 yards (4-D.Reed). Penalty on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. Ne

    +4.7 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 4:06 · DET · Completion

    16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 18-I.TeSlaa to NYJ 16 for 49 yards (8-A.Cisco).

    +3.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:30 · DET · Touchdown

    16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:51 · NYJ · Fumble lost

    7-G.Smith sacked at DET 41 for -13 yards (36-C.Clark). FUMBLES (36-C.Clark) [36-C.Clark], RECOVERED by DET-46-J.Campbell at DET 45. 46-J.Cam

    −4.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
24@31Week 3Changes the winner

If the Jets had stopped that fourth-and-2

Jets after the play40%what really happened
LionsJetsthe rest never happened

Q2 1:47 16-J.Goff pass short left to 18-I.TeSlaa to NYJ 4 for 5 yards (8-A.Cisco).

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27