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InjuryChristian Barmore: Active → Cleared12 h agoWeek 3 · 2026Rams 26 · 30 Broncos
172 plays, one strand. Broncos won after 3 lead changes; Rams peaked at 91% to win, Broncos at 78%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DEN, down for LAR, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line3 lead changes; Rams peaked at 91% to win, Broncos at 78%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Broncos win, play by play. High = DEN in control, low = LAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for DEN on offense, down for LAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Broncos ↑
Rams ↓The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: LAR on the left, DEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points for Rams.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 7:30 · LAR · Completion+2.5 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 30 for 5 yards (22-B.Jones). Denver challenged the pass completion ruling, and the pla
- 2Q1 1:23 · DEN · Missed field goal−3.4 EP
3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw.
- 3Q2 8:16 · LAR · Completion+2.6 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short right to 4-K.Mumpfield ran ob at DEN 37 for 15 yards.
- 4Q4 13:07 · DEN · Interception−5.3 EP
10-B.Nix pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Wallace (91-K.Turner) at LA 37. 30-J.Wallace to DEN 37 for 26 yards (6
- 5Q4 7:03 · LAR · Completion+3.1 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams ran ob at DEN 42 for 49 yards (9-T.Hufanga).
- 6Q4 5:01 · LAR · Interception−9.3 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 7Q4 3:46 · LAR · Touchdown+4.4 EP
9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 4-K.Mumpfield for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 8Q4 3:26 · DEN · Completion+2.9 EP
10-B.Nix pass short right to 13-P.Bryant to LA 36 for 39 yards (3-K.Curl).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
26@30Week 3Changes the winnerIf that interception had fallen incomplete
Q4 5:01 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 23-K.Williams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN 34. 9-T.Hufanga for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
35@14
18@21
17@19
16@24
24@31
31@33
34@31
35@27
