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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 · 2026Ravens 34 · 31 Cowboys

153 plays, one strand. Ravens won after 3 lead changes; Ravens peaked at 82% to win, Cowboys at 81%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for BAL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line3 lead changes; Ravens peaked at 82% to win, Cowboys at 81%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = BAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DAL on offense, down for BAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cowboys ↑Ravens ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDFUMTDTDTDTDDAL ↑ HOMEBAL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: BAL on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
BALDAL
58Plays72
378Yards417
9Explosive plays4
4Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers1
82%Peak win prob.81%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
BALPunt6yDALFG57yBAL–9yDALTD17yBALTD65yDALPunt15yBALTD26yDAL–8yBALFG39yDALFG45yBAL–4yDALFUM40yBALPunt-4yDALFG ✕36yBALTD56yDALTD54yBAL–76yDALTD96yBALPunt5yDALPunt4yBALTD69yDALFG45yBALFG27y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.3 expected points against Ravens.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 6:12 · BAL · Run

    22-D.Henry up the middle to BAL 30 for no gain (13-C.Downs).

    −3.3 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 9:24 · DAL · Run

    33-J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (0-R.Smith). FUMBLES (0-R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.

    −3.3 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 13:15 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 88-C.Lamb to BAL 34 for 13 yards (44-M.Humphrey).

    +3.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 10:40 · DAL · Fumble lost

    4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 87-J.Ferguson to BAL 24 for -1 yards (98-T.Jones). FUMBLES (98-T.Jones), RECOVERED by BAL-32-T.Simpson at

    −5.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 6:07 · DAL · Missed field goal

    17-B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (39-K.Jackson), Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    −3.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 2:55 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass short right to 3-G.Pickens pushed ob at BAL 33 for 19 yards (0-R.Smith; 29-C.Rivers). PENALTY on BAL-92-N.Madubuike, Rough

    +3.7 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 13:07 · BAL · Run

    22-D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (55-J.Barham).

    −4.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 12:25 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at BAL 46 for 49 yards (44-M.Humphrey).

    +3.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
34@31Week 3Changes the winner

If the 56-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Cowboys after the play0%what really happened
CowboysRavensthe rest never happened

Q4 0:01 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week →
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Cardinals at 49ers, Game DNA30@36Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27