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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 3 Ā· 2026Cardinals 30 Ā· 36 49ers

153 plays, one strand. 49ers won without the lead ever changing hands; Cardinals peaked at 53% to win, 49ers at 98%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SF, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cardinals peaked at 53% to win, 49ers at 98%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that 49ers win, play by play. High = SF in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SF on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
49ers ā†‘Cardinals ā†“
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSF ā†‘ HOMEARI ā†“ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: ARI on the left, SF on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
ARISF
80Plays49
365Yards438
0Explosive plays8
3Offensive TDs5
0Turnovers0
53%Peak win prob.98%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
ARIPunt42ySFTD85yARIPunt23ySFTD88yARIPunt11ySFPunt5yARIFG64ySFPunt15yARIFG44ySFFG34ySFTD56yARITD69ySFPunt16yARIPunt0yARITD9ySFTD64yARITD68ySFTD75yARIFG35y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 7.7 expected points for 49ers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (āˆ’) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 8:40 Ā· SF Ā· Touchdown

    13-B.Purdy pass short left to 5-M.Evans to SF 20 for 2 yards. Lateral to 19-D.Samuel for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +7.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 2:56 Ā· SF Ā· Completion

    13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 23-C.McCaffrey to SF 36 for 13 yards (28-A.Wingard; 21-G.Williams).

    +2.3 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 1:27 Ā· SF Ā· Completion

    13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 17-J.Watkins to ARI 40 for 26 yards (16-M.Melton) [5-B.Browning].

    +3.2 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 15:00 Ā· SF Ā· Touchdown

    13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 5-M.Evans for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 6:20 Ā· ARI Ā· Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass short left to 14-Mi.Wilson to SF 21 for 5 yards (0-R.Green; 20-U.Stout).

    +2.4 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 0:41 Ā· ARI Ā· Punt

    12-B.Gillikin punts 46 yards to SF 30, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 33-S.Neal MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by ARI-80-S.Fehoko at SF 28.

    +6.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 7:40 Ā· ARI Ā· Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass deep middle to 18-M.Harrison to 50 for 19 yards (0-R.Green).

    +2.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:36 Ā· SF Ā· Touchdown

    13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 85-G.Kittle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors ā†’
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
30@36Week 3

If the 57-yard kick had missed

Cardinals after the play12%what really happened
49ersCardinalsthe rest never happened

Q2 0:04 18-E.Pineiro 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman. PENALTY on ARI-56-D.Robinson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

Week 3

The rest of the week

Every week ā†’
Falcons at Packers, Game DNA35@14Panthers at Browns, Game DNA18@21Bengals at Steelers, Game DNA27@30Texans at Colts, Game DNA17@19Chiefs at Dolphins, Game DNA24@10Chargers at Bills, Game DNA16@24Jets at Lions, Game DNA24@31Seahawks at Commanders, Game DNA31@33Titans at Giants, Game DNA7@12Patriots at Jaguars, Game DNA6@35Vikings at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@16Ravens at Cowboys, Game DNA34@31Raiders at Saints, Game DNA35@27Rams at Broncos, Game DNA26@30Eagles at Bears, Game DNA7@27