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ESPNCarson Beck next man up for CardinalsOutside runs32.5%94th percentile · league 23.4%
Shotgun rate50.6%10th percentile · league 61.5%
Early-down pass rate43.7%7th percentile · league 50.6%
Pass rate over expected−8.0%13th percentile · league −2.3%
↳Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: outside runs (32.5%, 94th percentile), shotgun rate (50.6%, 10th percentile), early-down pass rate (43.7%, 7th percentile).
?How to read this chart
- The flower:
- each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
- The bars:
- the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense
The playbook
Pass rate over expected−8.0%13
Early-down pass rate43.7%7
Shotgun rate50.6%10
No-huddle rate4.2%26
Pre-snap motion52.5%23
Play action26.6%81
Screen rate12.3%90
RPO rate4.4%52
Deep shots8.8%10
Middle of the field24.4%77
Outside runs32.5%94
Tempo37.9s65
Defense
The defense
Twins
Offenses most like theirs
Solid shape: Seahawks · outline: the twin
↳Bottom lineSeahawks and Falcons, 68% alike. Both run more on early downs and throw less than the situation predicts than most of the league; Seahawks and Falcons differ most in throws over the middle (24.4% vs 17.4%) and outside runs (32.5% vs 24.1%).
?How to read this chart
- Each card is one twin:
- an offense that calls games like Seahawks. The colored shape is Seahawks's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
- The %
- is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
#1 twin
Falcons68%Both run more on early downs and throw less than the situation predicts than most of the league; Seahawks and Falcons differ most in throws over the middle (24.4% vs 17.4%) and outside runs (32.5% vs 24.1%).
Falcons68%Both run more on early downs and throw less than the situation predicts than most of the league; Seahawks and Falcons differ most in throws over the middle (24.4% vs 17.4%) and outside runs (32.5% vs 24.1%).#2 twin
Bears67%Both run outside more and line up under center more than most of the league; Seahawks and Bears differ most in play action (26.6% vs 34.8%) and pass rate over expected (−8.0% vs −1.3%).
Bears67%Both run outside more and line up under center more than most of the league; Seahawks and Bears differ most in play action (26.6% vs 34.8%) and pass rate over expected (−8.0% vs −1.3%).#3 twin
Ravens65%Both run outside more and run more on early downs than most of the league; Seahawks and Ravens differ most in pre-snap motion (52.5% vs 64.8%) and screen rate (12.3% vs 8.3%).
Ravens65%Both run outside more and run more on early downs than most of the league; Seahawks and Ravens differ most in pre-snap motion (52.5% vs 64.8%) and screen rate (12.3% vs 8.3%).Run game
Where they run
Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry
↳Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 31% of runs, -0.23 EPA per carry.
?How to read this chart
- Seen from behind the offense:
- the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
- Arrow size
- and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
- Arrow color
- = how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
Pass game
Where they throw
Share of targets · EPA per throw
↳Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 36% of throws, +0.05 EPA per throw.
?How to read this chart
- The field from the quarterback's eyes:
- left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
- Each box
- shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
Formation Tell
What the formation gives away
?How to read this chart
- Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
- how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
- The gap between them
- is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center33%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun75%pass rate, neutral downs
A 42-point gap: middle of the pack offenses in the league (19 of 32). See all 32 →