Rams at Seahawks: Week 16 preview, odds and injuries

Week 16 · Fri, Dec 25 · Lumen Field8:15 PM ET

at8:15 PMET · Fox

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 1:45 AM ET

The Los Angeles Rams (5-4) visit the Seattle Seahawks (5-4) on Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM ET at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA (Week 16, 2026 season), on Fox.

When and where is Rams vs Seahawks?

Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM ET at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA. TV: Fox.

Who is injured for Rams vs Seahawks?

Rams: Puka Nacua (WR, doubtful, knee - mcl), Joe Cardona (LS, questionable, ankle), Steve Avila (G, questionable, hamstring) and Trent McDuffie (CB, questionable, back). Seahawks: Sam Darnold (QB, out, quadriceps), Charles Cross (OT, doubtful, ankle), Quenton Nelson (G, doubtful, knee), Brandon Pili (DT, questionable, back), Drew Lock (QB, questionable, oblique) and Leonard Williams (DT, questionable, shoulder) (plus 2 more).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Rams at Seahawks: Week 16 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-12-25-lar-at-sea (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 15 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Rams run defense vs Seahawks run game
The Rams' run defense ranks 2nd in EPA per rush (-0.18 allowed, 217 rushes faced) and faces a Seahawks run game ranked 27th (-0.20, 241 rushes).
27thSEA offense25 spots apart2ndLAR defense
2Rams red-zone offense vs Seahawks red-zone defense
The Rams' red-zone offense ranks 4th in red-zone touchdown rate (67%, 36 trips) against a Seahawks red-zone defense ranked 32nd (79% allowed, 19 trips faced).
4thLAR offense28 spots apart32ndSEA defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
3Seahawks defense against big plays vs Rams big-play offense
The Seahawks' defense against big plays ranks 2nd in explosive-play rate (5.5% allowed, 526 plays faced) and faces a Rams big-play offense ranked 24th (8.1%, 594 plays).
24thLAR offense22 spots apart2ndSEA defense

When the Rams have the ballEdge SEA · +13 ranks

LAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackSEA pass defense

17th+0.06366 dropbacks

SEA +13

-0.09 allowed319 dropbacks faced4th

LAR run gameEPA per rushSEA run defense

4th+0.01228 rushes

-0.11 allowed207 rushes faced10th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Seahawks have the ballEdge LAR · +25 ranks

SEA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAR pass defense

15th+0.08318 dropbacks

LAR +9

-0.07 allowed331 dropbacks faced6th

SEA run gameEPA per rushLAR run defense

27th-0.20241 rushes

LAR +25

-0.18 allowed217 rushes faced2nd

Third downEdge LAR · +14 ranks

LAR third-down offensethird-down conversion rateSEA third-down defense

10th42.6%108 third downs

33.9% allowed121 third downs faced5th

SEA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAR third-down defense

17th38.6%114 third downs

LAR +14

32.5% allowed114 third downs faced3rd

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge LAR · +28 ranks

LAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateSEA red-zone defense

4th67%36 trips

LAR +28

79% allowed19 trips faced32nd

SEA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAR red-zone defense

22nd54%28 trips

LAR +16

45% allowed29 trips faced6th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge SEA · +22 ranks

LAR big-play offenseexplosive-play rateSEA defense against big plays

24th8.1%594 plays

SEA +22

5.5% allowed526 plays faced2nd

SEA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAR defense against big plays

22nd8.4%559 plays

LAR +12

7.8% allowed548 plays faced10th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge SEA · +13 ranks

LAR pass protectionsack rateSEA pass rush

4th3.6% sacked366 dropbacks

LAR +9

6.6% of dropbacks319 dropbacks faced13th

SEA pass protectionsack rateLAR pass rush

16th6.0% sacked318 dropbacks

SEA +13

4.8% of dropbacks331 dropbacks faced29th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge SEA · +9 ranks

LAR ball securityturnovers per gameSEA takeaway defense

24th1.6 giveaways a game9 games

SEA +9

1.2 takeaways a game9 games15th

SEA ball securityturnovers per gameLAR takeaway defense

24th1.6 giveaways a game9 games

1.1 takeaways a game9 games19th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesLAR 1 · SEA 3 regulars out or doubtful

Rams4 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QTrent McDuffieCB97% defense · 6 wk
QSteve AvilaG91% offense · 9 wk
DPuka NacuaWR87% offense · 7 wk
QJoe CardonaLSno snaps

Seahawks8 listed

3 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DQuenton NelsonG99% offense · 8 wk
DCharles CrossOT98% offense · 7 wk
QDrew LockQB97% offense · 3 wk
OUTSam DarnoldQB87% offense · 7 wk
QLeonard WilliamsDT72% defense · 8 wk
QUchenna NwosuLB51% defense · 7 wk
QRashid ShaheedWR50% offense · 7 wk
QBrandon PiliDT10% defense · 4 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSEA +1 day of rest · LAR travels 965 mi

AwayRams

5days since last game

965miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs DAL · 27,408 mi flown this season

Short week · 5 days

Rest edge+1SEA dayTravel gap 965 mi

HomeSeahawks

6days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sat wk 15 at PHI · Philadelphia · 8,902 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: LAR 9 games, 594 offensive and 548 defensive plays · SEA 9 games, 559 offensive and 526 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32