Browns 22, Saints 23: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Caesars SuperdomeFinal/OT

Final

	1	2	3	4	OT	T
CLE	0	3	3	10	6	22
NO	3	0	3	10	7	23

Home · 3-5New OrleansSaints23

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints beat the Cleveland Browns 23-22 on Sun, Nov 8 at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Browns 5-4, Saints 3-5. K.Concepcion (CLE) led all players with +6.1 EPA on 6 targets.

Who won Browns vs Saints?

The New Orleans Saints won 23-22. By quarter: CLE 0-3-3-10-6, NO 3-0-3-10-7.

Who was the best player in Browns vs Saints?

By expected points added: K.Concepcion (CLE, +6.1 EPA on 6 targets), D.Boston (CLE, +4.2 EPA on 8 targets) and S.Sanders (CLE, +2.7 EPA on 43 dropbacks).

What was the turning point of Browns vs Saints?

The biggest swing in win probability (38 points toward the Browns) came in Q4 at 5:21: (Shotgun) S.Sanders pass deep right to K.Concepcion for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN [K.Elliss]. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Browns 22, Saints 23: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-cle-at-no (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Browns33% success · −0.11 EPA/play

2223

Saints44% success · −0.07 EPA/play

CLE 30% deserveddeserved 71% NO

Saints earned it: the snaps said Saints by 3.0, a deserved win probability of 71%.

Deserved marginNO by 3.0

Real marginNO by 1

Luck pts CLE−0.4

Luck pts NO+0.4

The swingOT 1:00 · CLE · −47 pts of win probability. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-S.Sanders pass to 12-D.Boston is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. Penalty on CLE-71-T.Howard, Offensive Holding, declined.

Flags that moved this game

1Illegal ContactCLE → helped NO · Wk 9 Q4 7:57 · (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough sacked at CLE 37 for 0 yards (51-M.Hall). PENALTY on CLE-7-T.Campbell, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced…+8.7 WP
2Offensive HoldingNO → helped CLE · Wk 9 OT 6:08 · (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough sacked ob at CLE 22 for -1 yards (49-C.Schwesinger). PENALTY on NO-76-D.Edwards, Offensive Holding, 10…+6.4 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1NO · 4th & 4Kellen Moore chose Punt at own 42, Wk 9 Q3 13:29, tied. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.26 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA167 plays, one strand4 lead changes · 11 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewShawn Hochuli14 accepted flags in this game · 14.4 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: NO by 4.5 · Snaps: NO by 3.0Browns covered; the snaps agree

22@23

Week 9Changes the winner

If the Browns had converted that fourth-and-1

Browns after the play45%what really happened

Q2 1:42 70-Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. 10-Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (55-K.Elliss).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

NO ▲CLE ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT

The five biggest swings

+38%Q4 5:21 · for CLE(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass deep right to K.Concepcion for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN [K.Elliss]. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+29%Q4 1:16 · for NO(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.Shough pass deep left to C.Olave pushed ob at CLV 10 for 33 yards (T.Campbell; E.McNeil-Warren).
+28%Q4 0:08 · for CLEA.Szmyt 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+17%Q4 0:40 · for CLE(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass deep left to J.Jeudy to NO 40 for 30 yards (M.Emerson) [C.Young].
+16%Q2 4:11 · for CLEC.Bojorquez punts 57 yards to NO 23, Center-R.Sunahara. B.Brown to NO 20 for -3 yards (A.Huntington). FUMBLES (A.Huntington), RECOVERED by CLV-D.McMillon at NO 19. ** Injury Update: CLV-M.Burton has returned to the game.

Every drive, on the field

NO attacks →← CLE attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · -4y · 2:32
Q1 12:28FG8p · 51y · 5:08
Q1 7:20PUNT5p · 13y · 3:20
Q1 4:00MISS8p · 29y · 3:52
Q1 0:08FG9p · 35y · 4:38
Q2 10:30FUM4p · 65y · 2:30
Q2 8:00PUNT6p · 19y · 4:07
Q2 3:53DOWNS7p · 18y · 2:15
Q2 1:38PUNT6p · 44y · 1:17
Q2 0:21HALF1p · -1y · 0:21
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 6y · 1:37
Q3 13:23FG8p · 66y · 4:22
Q3 9:01FG13p · 54y · 6:35
Q3 2:26PUNT3p · -7y · 1:20
Q3 1:06PUNT3p · -8y · 1:13
Q4 14:53DOWNS8p · 35y · 4:21
Q4 10:32FG10p · 28y · 4:54
Q4 5:38TD1p · 64y · 0:17
Q4 5:21PUNT3p · 7y · 1:04
Q4 4:17PUNT7p · -1y · 2:29
Q4 1:48TD6p · 55y · 0:50
Q4 0:58FG7p · 41y · 0:50
Q4 0:08HALF1p · -1y · 0:08
Q5 10:00TD11p · 74y · 5:43
Q5 4:17TD8p · 67y · 3:17

Browns12 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)42%drives ending in pointsOWN 31avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Saints11 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 33avg starting field position3three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
7:20Field goalC.Smyth 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-Z.Wood, Holder-R.Wright.0–3
Q2
10:30Field goalA.Szmyt 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.3–3
Q3
9:01Field goalA.Szmyt 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.6–3
Q3
2:26Field goalC.Smyth 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-Z.Wood, Holder-R.Wright.6–6
Q4
5:38Field goalC.Smyth 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-Z.Wood, Holder-R.Wright.6–9
Q4
5:21Touchdown(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass deep right to K.Concepcion for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN [K.Elliss]. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.13–9
Q4
0:58Touchdown(Shotgun) A.Estime left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Smyth extra point is GOOD, Center-Z.Wood, Holder-R.Wright.13–16
Q4
0:08Field goalA.Szmyt 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.16–16
OT
4:17Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Shough pass short right to J.Johnson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Smyth extra point is GOOD, Center-Z.Wood, Holder-R.Wright.16–23
OT
1:00Touchdown(Shotgun) S.Sanders pass short right to H.Fannin for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [K.McKinstry]. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. S.Sanders pass to D.Boston is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.Penalty on CLV-T.Howard, Offensive Holding, declined.22–23

Team stats

CLEvsNO

355Total yards396

260Passing yards236

95Rushing yards160

5.1Yards per play5.5

15First downs21

8-18 · 44%Third down7-16 · 44%

0-2Fourth down0-0

0-2Red zone TDs2-5

19/31Comp / att21/35

2.8Yards per carry5.0

0Turnovers2

5 (−37 yds)Sacks allowed5 (−29 yds)

10 for 58Penalties4 for 25

34:09Possession34:51

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.114-0.040

Dropback EPA+0.063-0.055

Rush EPA-0.405-0.015

Success rate33%44%

Explosive plays67

Plays6971

Who moved the needle

K.ConcepcionTargets: 6+6.1

D.BostonTargets: 8+4.2

S.SandersDropbacks: 43+2.7

A.EstimeCarries: 15+2.0

J.JeudyTargets: 4+1.0

A.KamaraCarries: 6+0.6

Cost their side the most

Q.JudkinsCarries: 15-6.3

D.SampsonCarries: 8-2.8

T.ShoughCarries: 5-2.8

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Shedeur SandersQB	19/31	297	9.6	2	0	5-37	39.0	114.6

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Quinshon JudkinsRB	15	43	2.9	12
Shedeur SandersQB	10	28	2.8	11
Dylan SampsonRB	8	21	2.6	6
KC ConcepcionWR	1	3	3.0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Denzel BostonWR	6	7	98	16.3	0	60
KC ConcepcionWR	4	6	85	21.3	1	64
Harold Fannin Jr.TE	2	2	42	21.0	1	39
Jerry JeudyWR	2	4	37	18.5	0	30
Dylan SampsonRB	3	6	27	9.0	0	16
Tylan WallaceWR	1	1	6	6.0	0	6
Quinshon JudkinsRB	1	1	2	2.0	0	2
Blake WhiteheartTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Malachi CorleyWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Carson SchwesingerLB	15	10	2	2	0	2
Ronnie HickmanS	9	4	0	0	2	0
Quincy WilliamsLB	7	5	0	0	0	0
Tyson CampbellCB	7	4	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS	6	3	0	1	0	0
Denzel WardCB	5	2	0	0	1	0
Myles HardenCB	5	4	2	2	1	2
Grant DelpitS	4	3	0	1	0	0
Mason GrahamDT	4	1	0	0	0	1
Donovan McMillonS	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Andre SzmytPK	3/3	100.0	51	1/1	10

New Orleans Saints

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Tyler ShoughQB	21/35	265	7.6	1	0	5-29	54.5	93.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Audric EstimeRB	15	72	4.8	1	18
Tyler ShoughQB	10	51	5.1	0	14
Alvin KamaraRB	6	32	5.3	0	15
Zamir WhiteRB	1	5	5.0	0	5

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Chris OlaveWR	7	12	98	14.0	0	36
Barion BrownWR	1	1	52	52.0	0	52
Juwan JohnsonTE	2	2	34	17.0	1	19
Jordyn TysonWR	4	5	30	7.5	0	9
Alvin KamaraRB	3	4	17	5.7	0	8
Devaughn VeleWR	2	4	17	8.5	0	9
Noah FantTE	1	2	12	12.0	0	12
Audric EstimeRB	1	1	5	5.0	0	5
Bryce LanceWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Oscar DelpTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Pete WernerLB	11	3	0	0	0	0
Kaden EllissLB	11	8	1	2	0	4
Kool-Aid McKinstryCB	8	4	0	0	0	1
Carl GrandersonDE	7	5	2	2	1	2
Justin ReidS	7	3	0	1	0	0
Chase YoungDE	4	2	1	1	1	2
Nathan ShepherdDT	4	2	0	0	0	0
Khristian BoydDT	4	3	1	1	1	1
Colby WoodenDT	3	1	0	1	0	0
Tyree WilsonDE	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Charlie SmythPK	3/4	75.0	48	2/2	11

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Saints pass rush vs Browns pass protection
The Saints' pass rush ranks 11th in sack rate (6.9% of dropbacks, 261 dropbacks faced) and faces a Browns pass protection ranked 32nd (10.6% sacked, 310 dropbacks).
32ndCLE offense21 spots apart11thNO defense
2Saints red-zone defense vs Browns red-zone offense
The Saints' red-zone defense ranks 13th in red-zone touchdown rate (53% allowed, 32 trips faced) and faces a Browns red-zone offense ranked 30th (47%, 19 trips).
30thCLE offense17 spots apart13thNO defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
3Browns takeaway defense vs Saints ball security
The Browns' takeaway defense ranks 14th in turnovers per game (1.3 takeaways a game, 8 games) and faces a Saints ball security ranked 27th (1.7 giveaways a game, 7 games).
27thNO offense13 spots apart14thCLE defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Browns have the ballNo big edge

CLE dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNO pass defense

25th-0.02310 dropbacks

+0.10 allowed261 dropbacks faced23rd

CLE run gameEPA per rushNO run defense

27th-0.19168 rushes

+0.04 allowed178 rushes faced31st

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Saints have the ballEdge CLE · +10 ranks

NO dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCLE pass defense

20th+0.03297 dropbacks

CLE +10

-0.02 allowed291 dropbacks faced10th

NO run gameEPA per rushCLE run defense

26th-0.15161 rushes

-0.02 allowed205 rushes faced27th

Third downNo big edge

CLE third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNO third-down defense

30th32.4%102 third downs

50.0% allowed86 third downs faced30th

NO third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCLE third-down defense

10th43.4%99 third downs

40.0% allowed110 third downs faced14th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge NO · +17 ranks

CLE red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNO red-zone defense

30th47%19 trips

NO +17

53% allowed32 trips faced13th

NO red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCLE red-zone defense

2nd71%24 trips

NO +8

50% allowed24 trips faced10th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

CLE big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNO defense against big plays

24th8.4%478 plays

10.9% allowed439 plays faced28th

NO big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCLE defense against big plays

30th6.6%458 plays

11.5% allowed496 plays faced32nd

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge NO · +21 ranks

CLE pass protectionsack rateNO pass rush

32nd10.6% sacked310 dropbacks

NO +21

6.9% of dropbacks261 dropbacks faced11th

NO pass protectionsack rateCLE pass rush

10th5.1% sacked297 dropbacks

7.2% of dropbacks291 dropbacks faced10th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CLE · +13 ranks

CLE ball securityturnovers per gameNO takeaway defense

17th1.3 giveaways a game8 games

1.0 takeaways a game7 games19th

NO ball securityturnovers per gameCLE takeaway defense

27th1.7 giveaways a game7 games

CLE +13

1.3 takeaways a game8 games14th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: CLE 8 games, 478 offensive and 496 defensive plays · NO 7 games, 458 offensive and 439 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Deshaun WatsonQB→ Shedeur Sanders

Michael BurtonFB→ Dylan Sampson

Maliek CollinsRDT→ Mike Hall Jr.

Easton Mascarenas-ArnoldWLB→ Sam Kamara

Jordyn TysonWR→ Bryce Lance

William ShermanC→ Erik McCoy

Cameron JordanLDE→ Colby Wooden

AwayBrowns2 questionable · 4 changes