Jets 12, Chiefs 35: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Arrowhead StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
NYJ	6	6	0	0	12
KC	0	14	14	7	35

Home · 6-2Kansas CityChiefs35

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:18 PM ET

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the New York Jets 35-12 on Sun, Nov 8 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Jets 2-7, Chiefs 6-2. P.Mahomes (KC) led all players with +7.2 EPA on 35 dropbacks.

Who won Jets vs Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs won 35-12. By quarter: NYJ 6-6-0-0, KC 0-14-14-7.

Who was the best player in Jets vs Chiefs?

By expected points added: P.Mahomes (KC, +7.2 EPA on 35 dropbacks), K.Walker (KC, +6.7 EPA on 4 targets) and T.Kelce (KC, +4.2 EPA on 6 targets).

What was the turning point of Jets vs Chiefs?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Chiefs) came in Q2 at 6:29: B.Allen up the middle to NYJ 26 for 5 yards (N.Bolton). FUMBLES (N.Bolton), RECOVERED by KC-A.Gilman at NYJ 26. A.Gilman to NYJ 24 for 2 yards (G.Smith).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Jets 12, Chiefs 35: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-nyj-at-kc (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Jets39% success · −0.27 EPA/play

1235

Chiefs56% success · +0.18 EPA/play

NYJ 0% deserveddeserved 100% KC

Chiefs earned it: the snaps said Chiefs by 22.4, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginKC by 22.4

Real marginKC by 23

Luck pts NYJ+0.3

Luck pts KC+1.5

The swingQ2 6:29 · NYJ · −22 pts of win probability. 0-B.Allen up the middle to NYJ 26 for 5 yards (32-N.Bolton). FUMBLES (32-N.Bolton), RECOVERED by KC-17-A.Gilman at NYJ 26. 17-A.Gilman to NYJ 24 for 2 yards (7-G.Smith).

Flags that moved this game

1Illegal ContactNYJ → helped KC · Wk 9 Q2 1:54 · (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 1-X.Worthy. PENALTY on NYJ-23-D.Ponds, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced…+5.4 WP
2Face MaskNYJ → helped KC · Wk 9 Q2 0:53 · 20-B.Hall left end pushed ob at KC 18 for 7 yards (23-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on NYJ-16-K.Sadiq, Face Mask, 15 yards, enforced at…+4.0 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1KC · 4th & 2Andy Reid chose Punt at own 39, Wk 9 Q2 6:42, down 2. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−0.81 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA143 plays, one strand3 lead changes · 8 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewAdrian Hill12 accepted flags in this game · 16.9 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: KC by 9.5 · Snaps: KC by 22.4Chiefs covered; the snaps agree

12@35

Week 9Changes the winner

If the Jets had recovered that fumble

Jets after the play31%what really happened

Q2 2:00 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 32 for -7 yards (31-D.Bailey). FUMBLES (31-D.Bailey) [31-D.Bailey], recovered by KC-77-J.Moore at KC 32.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

KC ▲NYJ ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+9%Q2 6:29 · for KCB.Allen up the middle to NYJ 26 for 5 yards (N.Bolton). FUMBLES (N.Bolton), RECOVERED by KC-A.Gilman at NYJ 26. A.Gilman to NYJ 24 for 2 yards (G.Smith).
+9%Q1 5:40 · for NYJH.Nourzad reported in as eligible. J.Fields up the middle to KC 34 for no gain (K.Enagbare).New York Jets challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED.H.Nourzad reported in as eligible. J.Fields up the middle to KC 34 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NYJ-D.Davis at KC 34.
+9%Q2 1:41 · for NYJ(Shotgun) P.Mahomes sacked at KC 27 for -10 yards (D.Bailey). FUMBLES (D.Bailey) [D.Bailey], RECOVERED by NYJ-W.McDonald at KC 30. KC-P.Mahomes was injured during the play.
+8%Q3 10:20 · for KCT.Kelce right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.
+7%Q2 5:37 · for KC(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to K.Walker for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.

Every drive, on the field

KC attacks →← NYJ attacks

Q1 15:00FG14p · 64y · 8:13
Q1 6:47FUM3p · 9y · 1:13
Q1 5:34FG4p · 4y · 0:59
Q1 4:35TD10p · 82y · 4:39
Q2 14:56FG12p · 37y · 6:44
Q2 8:12PUNT3p · 8y · 1:43
Q2 6:29FUM1p · 5y · 0:08
Q2 6:21TD2p · 24y · 0:44
Q2 5:37FG8p · 31y · 3:21
Q2 2:16FUM4p · -3y · 0:43
Q2 1:33MISS5p · -5y · 1:01
Q2 0:32MISS3p · 24y · 0:32
Q3 15:00TD10p · 60y · 4:40
Q3 10:20PUNT3p · 0y · 2:20
Q3 8:00PUNT4p · 10y · 1:27
Q3 6:33PUNT3p · -13y · 2:19
Q3 4:14TD8p · 82y · 4:03
Q3 0:11DOWNS8p · 44y · 3:30
Q4 11:41PUNT7p · 30y · 4:12
Q4 7:29PUNT3p · -13y · 0:59
Q4 6:30TD8p · 57y · 2:55
Q4 3:35DOWNS6p · 28y · 1:30
Q4 2:03END4p · 18y · 2:03

Jets11 drives4scoring drives (0 TD)36%drives ending in pointsOWN 36avg starting field position3three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Chiefs11 drives5scoring drives (5 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position1three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
6:47Field goalJ.Sanders 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.3–0
Q1
4:35Field goalJ.Sanders 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.6–0
Q2
14:56Touchdown(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short left to K.Walker for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.6–7
Q2
8:12Field goalJ.Sanders 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.9–7
Q2
5:37Touchdown(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right to K.Walker for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.9–14
Q2
2:16Field goalJ.Sanders 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.12–14
Q3
10:20TouchdownT.Kelce right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.12–21
Q3
0:11TouchdownK.Walker up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.12–28
Q4
3:35TouchdownH.Nourzad, J.Ezeudu and K.Tonga reported in as eligible. E.Johnson up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.12–35

Team stats

NYJvsKC

229Total yards391

123Passing yards228

106Rushing yards163

3.7Yards per play6.0

15First downs27

2-12 · 17%Third down6-11 · 55%

0-2Fourth down1-1

0-1Red zone TDs4-4

18/32Comp / att23/31

4.2Yards per carry5.1

1Turnovers2

5 (−42 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−14 yds)

9 for 57Penalties3 for 20

31:06Possession28:54

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.302+0.166

Dropback EPA-0.274+0.205

Rush EPA-0.346+0.119

Success rate39%56%

Explosive plays29

Plays6264

Who moved the needle

P.MahomesDropbacks: 35+7.2

K.WalkerTargets: 4+6.7

T.KelceTargets: 6+4.2

K.SadiqTargets: 4+3.4

E.JohnsonCarries: 6+3.2

K.WalkerCarries: 18+2.9

Cost their side the most

G.SmithDropbacks: 38-10.4

A.MitchellTargets: 7-6.5

B.AllenCarries: 8-6.3

Box score

New York Jets

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Geno SmithQB	18/32	165	5.2	0	0	5-42	17.8	70.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Breece HallRB	15	61	4.1	16
Braelon AllenRB	8	33	4.1	12
Geno SmithQB	1	8	8.0	8
Isaiah WilliamsWR	1	4	4.0	4

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Omar Cooper Jr.WR	8	11	58	7.3	16
Kenyon SadiqTE	4	4	49	12.3	17
Breece HallRB	3	4	26	8.7	14
Braelon AllenRB	2	2	21	10.5	19
Mason TaylorTE	1	2	11	11.0	11
Adonai MitchellWR	0	7	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	QB HTS
Demario DavisLB	9	5	0	0	0
Jamien SherwoodLB	9	5	0	0	0
David BaileyLB	9	5	2	3	3
Minkah FitzpatrickS	8	5	0	0	0
Dane BeltonS	8	3	0	0	0
Azareye'h ThomasCB	5	2	0	0	0
Kingsley EnagbareLB	3	3	0	1	1
Jack HeflinDT	3	0	0	0	1
Brandon StephensCB	3	3	0	1	0
Darrell Jackson Jr.DT	3	2	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jason SandersPK	4/5	80.0	54	0/0	12

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Patrick MahomesQB	23/31	242	7.8	2	0	2-14	28.6	117.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	18	102	5.7	1	12
Emmett JohnsonRB	6	34	5.7	1	12
Jaydn OttRB	3	19	6.3	0	13
Patrick MahomesQB	2	8	4.0	0	7
Travis KelceTE	1	1	1.0	1	1
Justin FieldsQB	2	-1	-0.5	0	0

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Travis KelceTE	4	6	72	18.0	0	38
Rashee RiceWR	5	7	49	9.8	0	21
Xavier WorthyWR	6	6	48	8.0	0	19
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	4	4	41	10.3	2	25
Jalen RoyalsWR	2	2	18	9.0	0	10
Noah GrayTE	1	1	11	11.0	0	11
Jake BriningstoolTE	1	2	3	3.0	0	3
Cyrus AllenWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Drue TranquillLB	13	7	0	0	0	0
Nick BoltonLB	12	5	0	1	0	0
Chamarri ConnerS	6	3	0	0	0	0
George KarlaftisDE	6	4	2	3	1	3
Kristian FultonCB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Chris JonesDT	4	2	2	2	1	2
Khyiris TongaDT	3	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden HicksS	3	2	0	0	0	0
Melvin Smith Jr.CB	3	1	0	0	0	0
Nohl WilliamsCB	3	3	0	1	2	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Harrison ButkerPK	0/1	0.0	0	5/5	5

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Chiefs red-zone defense vs Jets red-zone offense
The Chiefs' red-zone defense ranks 5th in red-zone touchdown rate (42% allowed, 19 trips faced) and faces a Jets red-zone offense ranked 32nd (42%, 24 trips).
32ndNYJ offense27 spots apart5thKC defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
2Chiefs dropback offense vs Jets pass defense
The Chiefs' dropback offense ranks 8th in EPA per dropback (+0.15, 255 dropbacks) against a Jets pass defense ranked 26th (+0.16 allowed, 277 dropbacks faced).
8thKC offense18 spots apart26thNYJ defense
3Chiefs ball security vs Jets takeaway defense
The Chiefs' ball security ranks 3rd in turnovers per game (0.6 giveaways a game, 7 games) against a Jets takeaway defense ranked 25th (0.9 takeaways a game, 8 games).
3rdKC offense22 spots apart25thNYJ defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Jets have the ballEdge KC · +11 ranks

NYJ dropback offenseEPA per dropbackKC pass defense

11th+0.13275 dropbacks

+0.03 allowed267 dropbacks faced14th

NYJ run gameEPA per rushKC run defense

19th-0.09188 rushes

KC +11

-0.13 allowed173 rushes faced8th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Chiefs have the ballEdge KC · +18 ranks

KC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYJ pass defense

8th+0.15255 dropbacks

KC +18

+0.16 allowed277 dropbacks faced26th

KC run gameEPA per rushNYJ run defense

2nd+0.09166 rushes

-0.14 allowed222 rushes faced6th

Third downNo big edge

NYJ third-down offensethird-down conversion rateKC third-down defense

20th39.0%100 third downs

40.2% allowed97 third downs faced15th

KC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYJ third-down defense

13th40.5%84 third downs

41.4% allowed99 third downs faced16th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge KC · +27 ranks

NYJ red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateKC red-zone defense

32nd42%24 trips

KC +27

42% allowed19 trips faced5th

KC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYJ red-zone defense

16th58%26 trips

64% allowed28 trips faced20th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

NYJ big-play offenseexplosive-play rateKC defense against big plays

5th10.8%463 plays

8.2% allowed440 plays faced9th

KC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYJ defense against big plays

9th10.5%421 plays

8.6% allowed499 plays faced11th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksNo big edge

NYJ pass protectionsack rateKC pass rush

27th8.4% sacked275 dropbacks

3.4% of dropbacks267 dropbacks faced31st

KC pass protectionsack rateNYJ pass rush

3rd3.5% sacked255 dropbacks

7.2% of dropbacks277 dropbacks faced9th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge KC · +22 ranks

NYJ ball securityturnovers per gameKC takeaway defense

8th0.8 giveaways a game8 games

1.3 takeaways a game7 games12th

KC ball securityturnovers per gameNYJ takeaway defense

3rd0.6 giveaways a game7 games

KC +22

0.9 takeaways a game8 games25th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: NYJ 8 games, 463 offensive and 499 defensive plays · KC 7 games, 421 offensive and 440 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Breece HallRB→ Braelon Allen

Garrett WilsonWR→ Isaiah Williams

Trevin WallaceSLB→ Harrison Phillips

Jarvis Brownlee Jr.NB→ D'Angelo Ponds

Ben VanSumerenFB→ Emmett Johnson

Josh DownsWR→ Andrew Armstrong

Jeffrey BassaSLB→ Ashton Gillotte

Jadon CanadyNB→ Kristian Fulton

Mansoor DelaneRCB→ Chris Roland-Wallace

AwayJets2 questionable · 4 changes