Bengals 34, Falcons 17: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Santiago BernabéuFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
CIN	7	17	7	3	34
ATL	10	0	7	0	17

Home · 3-6AtlantaFalcons17

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-17 on Sun, Nov 8 at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Bengals 6-2, Falcons 3-6. J.Burrow (CIN) led all players with +16.6 EPA on 32 dropbacks.

Who won Bengals vs Falcons?

The Cincinnati Bengals won 34-17. By quarter: CIN 7-17-7-3, ATL 10-0-7-0.

Who was the best player in Bengals vs Falcons?

By expected points added: J.Burrow (CIN, +16.6 EPA on 32 dropbacks), J.Chase (CIN, +12.8 EPA on 12 targets) and D.London (ATL, +6.9 EPA on 5 targets).

What was the turning point of Bengals vs Falcons?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Bengals) came in Q1 at 8:49: (Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Bengals 34, Falcons 17: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-cin-at-atl (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Bengals54% success · +0.35 EPA/play

3417

Falcons47% success · +0.09 EPA/play

CIN 97% deserveddeserved 3% ATL

Bengals earned it: the snaps said Bengals by 10.2, a deserved win probability of 97%.

Deserved marginCIN by 10.2

Real marginCIN by 17

Luck pts CIN+2.5

Luck pts ATL−1.8

The swingQ1 8:55 · CIN · +13 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Flags that moved this game

1Defensive Pass InterferenceCIN → helped ATL · Wk 9 Q3 7:08 · (Shotgun) 9-M.Penix pass incomplete deep left to 5-D.London (0-D.Turner). PENALTY on CIN-0-D.Turner, Defensive Pass…+5.7 WP
2Defensive OffsideCIN → helped ATL · Wk 9 Q1 7:18 · (Shotgun) 9-M.Penix pass incomplete deep right to 5-D.London (93-J.Allen). PENALTY on CIN-6-B.Cook, Defensive Offside, 5 yards,…+4.6 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA132 plays, one strand1 lead change · 13 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewCraig Wrolstad18 accepted flags in this game · 17.3 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: CIN by 3 · Snaps: CIN by 10.2Bengals covered; the snaps agree

34@17

Week 9

If the 57-yard kick had missed

Falcons after the play14%what really happened

Q2 0:29 2-E.McPherson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

ATL ▲CIN ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+9%Q1 8:49 · for CIN(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.
+6%Q1 7:14 · for ATL(Shotgun) M.Penix scrambles left tackle to CIN 17 for 23 yards (D.Turner).
+4%Q1 5:21 · for CIN(Shotgun) M.Penix scrambles up the middle to CIN 1 for 6 yards (B.Cook; M.Murphy).PENALTY on ATL-M.Bergeron, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CIN 7 - No Play.
+4%Q2 14:18 · for CIN(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short middle to J.Chase to ATL 1 for 13 yards (X.Watts; A.Terrell).
+4%Q1 12:31 · for ATLB.Robinson left end to CIN 19 for 21 yards (M.Murphy; B.Carter).

Every drive, on the field

ATL attacks →← CIN attacks

Q1 15:00TD7p · 80y · 3:48
Q1 11:12TD5p · 75y · 2:23
Q1 8:49FG11p · 47y · 5:53
Q1 2:56TD11p · 70y · 5:00
Q2 12:56PUNT3p · 4y · 2:10
Q2 10:46TD10p · 88y · 6:43
Q2 4:03PUNT6p · 17y · 3:06
Q2 0:57FG5p · 45y · 0:33
Q2 0:24HALF3p · 16y · 0:24
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 2y · 1:40
Q3 13:20TD11p · 76y · 7:02
Q3 6:18TD7p · 73y · 4:13
Q3 2:05MISS11p · 52y · 5:38
Q4 11:27PUNT3p · 3y · 2:10
Q4 9:17PUNT3p · -5y · 1:26
Q4 7:51FG7p · 23y · 3:15
Q4 4:36INT2p · 9y · 0:37
Q4 3:59END6p · 28y · 3:59

Bengals8 drives6scoring drives (4 TD)75%drives ending in pointsOWN 26avg starting field position2three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Falcons8 drives3scoring drives (2 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 26avg starting field position2three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:12TouchdownC.Levin and K.Hinton reported in as eligible. M.Penix pass short right to C.Woerner for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey.0–7
Q1
8:49Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.7–7
Q1
2:56Field goalN.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey.7–10
Q2
12:56TouchdownJ.Burrow left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.14–10
Q2
4:03Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short right to T.Higgins for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.21–10
Q2
0:24Field goal E.McPherson 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.24–10
Q3
6:18TouchdownB.Robinson left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey.24–17
Q3
2:05Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short middle to T.Higgins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [M.Smith]. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.31–17
Q4
4:36Field goal E.McPherson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.34–17

Team stats

CINvsATL

388Total yards319

265Passing yards162

123Rushing yards157

7.1Yards per play5.8

24First downs20

6-10 · 60%Third down5-10 · 50%

0-0Fourth down0-0

3-4Red zone TDs2-4

24/29Comp / att20/31

5.1Yards per carry6.5

0Turnovers1

2 (−6 yds)Sacks allowed0

6 for 43Penalties12 for 88

29:56Possession30:04

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.351+0.113

Dropback EPA+0.519+0.062

Rush EPA+0.106+0.195

Success rate54%47%

Explosive plays87

Plays5455

Who moved the needle

J.BurrowDropbacks: 32+16.6

J.ChaseTargets: 12+12.8

D.LondonTargets: 5+6.9

T.HigginsTargets: 6+4.2

Bi.RobinsonCarries: 19+3.8

M.PenixDropbacks: 34+2.1

Cost their side the most

Bi.RobinsonTargets: 7-2.9

K.HerbertTargets: 3-1.8

O.ZaccheausTargets: 3-1.7

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Joe BurrowQB	24/29	271	9.3	3	0	2-6	92.4	140.1

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Chase BrownRB	9	57	6.3	0	19
Samaje PerineRB	11	43	3.9	0	14
Dohnte MeyersWR	1	16	16.0	0	16
Joe BurrowQB	3	7	2.3	1	7

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Ja'Marr ChaseWR	10	12	155	15.5	1	47
Dohnte MeyersWR	2	3	47	23.5	0	42
Tee HigginsWR	5	6	32	6.4	2	8
Chase BrownRB	3	3	18	6.0	0	11
Mike GesickiTE	2	2	11	5.5	0	8
Jack EndriesTE	1	1	4	4.0	0	4
Mitchell TinsleyWR	1	1	4	4.0	0	4

Defense	TOT	SOLO	PD
Barrett CarterLB	10	2	1
Bryan CookS	10	5	0
Demetrius Knight Jr.LB	8	5	0
Josh NewtonCB	5	3	1
DJ Turner IICB	5	3	0
Jordan BattleS	3	3	1
PJ JulesS	3	0	0
Cedric JohnsonDE	3	1	0
B.J. HillDT	3	0	0
Boye MafeDE	3	1	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Evan McPhersonPK	2/2	100.0	57	4/4	10

Atlanta Falcons

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Michael Penix Jr.QB	20/31	162	5.2	1	1	0-0	52.5	74.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Bijan RobinsonRB	19	100	5.3	1	21
Michael Penix Jr.QB	3	50	16.7	0	23
Khalil HerbertRB	1	7	7.0	0	7
Charlie WoernerTE	1	0	0.0	0	0

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Drake LondonWR	5	5	68	13.6	0	21
Bijan RobinsonRB	6	7	47	7.8	0	28
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE	3	5	23	7.7	0	9
Jahan DotsonWR	2	2	16	8.0	0	12
Olamide ZaccheausWR	1	3	5	5.0	0	5
Khalil HerbertRB	2	3	2	1.0	0	1
Charlie WoernerTE	1	1	1	1.0	1	1
Chris BlairWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jessie Bates IIIS	14	11	0	0	0	0
Kendal DanielsLB	8	4	0	1	0	0
LaCale LondonDE	5	4	1	1	0	1
Xavier WattsS	5	1	0	0	0	0
Sydney BrownS	4	2	0	0	0	0
DeMarcco HellamsS	4	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron ThomasDE	4	1	0	0	0	1
Harold Perkins Jr.LB	3	2	0	1	0	0
C.J. HendersonCB	2	1	0	0	1	0
Zach HarrisonDE	2	2	1	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Nick FolkPK	1/2	50.0	31	2/2	5

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Bengals takeaway defense vs Falcons ball security
The Bengals' takeaway defense ranks 5th in turnovers per game (1.6 takeaways a game, 7 games) and faces a Falcons ball security ranked 28th (1.8 giveaways a game, 8 games).
28thATL offense23 spots apart5thCIN defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
2Bengals pass defense vs Falcons dropback offense
The Bengals' pass defense ranks 13th in EPA per dropback (+0.03 allowed, 282 dropbacks faced) and faces a Falcons dropback offense ranked 29th (-0.16, 252 dropbacks).
29thATL offense16 spots apart13thCIN defense
3Bengals third-down offense vs Falcons third-down defense
The Bengals' third-down offense ranks 1st in third-down conversion rate (54.0%, 87 third downs) against a Falcons third-down defense ranked 18th (41.8% allowed, 110 third downs faced).
1stCIN offense17 spots apart18thATL defense

When the Bengals have the ballNo big edge

CIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackATL pass defense

5th+0.23290 dropbacks

-0.01 allowed313 dropbacks faced11th

CIN run gameEPA per rushATL run defense

22nd-0.13140 rushes

-0.08 allowed206 rushes faced16th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Falcons have the ballEdge CIN · +16 ranks

ATL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCIN pass defense

29th-0.16252 dropbacks

CIN +16

+0.03 allowed282 dropbacks faced13th

ATL run gameEPA per rushCIN run defense

10th-0.02218 rushes

ATL +10

-0.07 allowed155 rushes faced20th

Third downEdge CIN · +17 ranks

CIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateATL third-down defense

1st54.0%87 third downs

CIN +17

41.8% allowed110 third downs faced18th

ATL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCIN third-down defense

29th33.7%95 third downs

47.3% allowed91 third downs faced29th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge CIN · +8 ranks

CIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateATL red-zone defense

13th62%29 trips

63% allowed30 trips faced19th

ATL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCIN red-zone defense

11th64%22 trips

CIN +8

40% allowed25 trips faced3rd

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge ATL · +13 ranks

CIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateATL defense against big plays

20th8.6%430 plays

9.1% allowed519 plays faced13th

ATL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCIN defense against big plays

16th9.1%470 plays

ATL +13

11.0% allowed437 plays faced29th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CIN · +15 ranks

CIN pass protectionsack rateATL pass rush

8th4.5% sacked290 dropbacks

CIN +10

5.8% of dropbacks313 dropbacks faced18th

ATL pass protectionsack rateCIN pass rush

19th6.3% sacked252 dropbacks

CIN +15

8.2% of dropbacks282 dropbacks faced4th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CIN · +23 ranks

CIN ball securityturnovers per gameATL takeaway defense

20th1.3 giveaways a game7 games

1.3 takeaways a game8 games14th

ATL ball securityturnovers per gameCIN takeaway defense

28th1.8 giveaways a game8 games

CIN +23

1.6 takeaways a game7 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: CIN 7 games, 430 offensive and 437 defensive plays · ATL 8 games, 470 offensive and 519 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Mike GesickiTE→ Drew Sample

Oren BurksSLB→ B.J. Hill

Tacario DavisLCB→ Josh Newton

James Pearce Jr.SLB→ Harold Perkins Jr.

DeMarcco HellamsSS→ Jessie Bates III

AwayBengals3 changes