Lions 19, Dolphins 9: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Hard Rock StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
DET	3	3	10	3	19
MIA	3	0	3	3	9

Home · 1-7MiamiDolphins9

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 10:57 PM ET

The Detroit Lions beat the Miami Dolphins 19-9 on Sun, Nov 8 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Lions 6-2, Dolphins 1-7. S.LaPorta (DET) led all players with +0.8 EPA on 5 targets.

Who won Lions vs Dolphins?

The Detroit Lions won 19-9. By quarter: DET 3-3-10-3, MIA 3-0-3-3.

Who was the best player in Lions vs Dolphins?

By expected points added: S.LaPorta (DET, +0.8 EPA on 5 targets), M.Washington (MIA, +0.7 EPA on 3 targets) and A.St. Brown (DET, +0.3 EPA on 10 targets).

What was the turning point of Lions vs Dolphins?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Lions) came in Q3 at 1:20: L.Borom reported in as eligible. J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Lions 19, Dolphins 9: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-det-at-mia (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Lions44% success · +0.01 EPA/play

199

Dolphins29% success · −0.21 EPA/play

DET 92% deserveddeserved 9% MIA

Lions earned it: the snaps said Lions by 7.5, a deserved win probability of 92%.

Deserved marginDET by 7.5

Real marginDET by 10

Luck pts DET+1.6

Luck pts MIA−1.0

The swingQ1 5:14 · DET · −18 pts of win probability. 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 14-A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by 3-C.Johnson (9-J.Uche) [9-J.Uche] at MIA 40. 3-C.Johnson to DET 39 for 21 yards (14-A.St. Brown).

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingMIA → helped DET · Wk 9 Q3 5:15 · (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles left end ran ob at DET 25 for 8 yards (32-B.Branch). PENALTY on MIA-55-A.Brewer, Offensive…+6.3 WP
2Offensive HoldingMIA → helped DET · Wk 9 Q2 12:27 · 3-J.Fox punts 54 yards to MIA 11, Center-49-H.Hatten, downed by DET-40-K.Britt. PENALTY on MIA-25-J.Wood, Offensive Holding, 5…+5.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1DET · 4th & 7Dan Campbell chose Go for it at own 30, Wk 9 Q2 14:55, tied. Model: Punt (lean). Result: converted.−0.48 EP
2DET · 4th & 3Dan Campbell chose Go for it at opp 31, Wk 9 Q1 11:36, tied. Model: Field goal (lean). Result: converted.−0.25 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA130 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 5 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewLand Clark20 accepted flags in this game · 14.3 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: DET by 6.5 · Snaps: DET by 7.5Lions covered; the snaps agree

19@9

Week 9

If the 43-yard kick had missed

Dolphins after the play7%what really happened

Q4 4:31 39-J.Bates 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

MIA ▲DET ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+9%Q3 1:20 · for DETL.Borom reported in as eligible. J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.
+8%Q4 14:55 · for MIA(Punt formation) B.Pinion pass short middle to K.Allen to DET 18 for 46 yards (J.Bachie; T.Martin).
+8%Q1 5:14 · for MIAJ.Goff pass short right intended for A.St. Brown INTERCEPTED by C.Johnson (J.Uche) [J.Uche] at MIA 40. C.Johnson to DET 39 for 21 yards (A.St. Brown).
+7%Q3 13:38 · for DET(Shotgun) M.Willis pass deep left intended for C.Douglas INTERCEPTED by C.Clark at DET 40. C.Clark pushed ob at MIA 26 for 34 yards (C.Bell).
+6%Q2 0:03 · for DETZ.Gonzalez 38 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.

Every drive, on the field

MIA attacks →← DET attacks

Q1 15:00FG12p · 50y · 6:38
Q1 8:22PUNT3p · 5y · 1:55
Q1 6:27INT3p · 17y · 1:24
Q1 5:03FG6p · 23y · 4:01
Q1 1:02PUNT7p · 8y · 3:49
Q2 12:13PUNT7p · 16y · 4:08
Q2 8:05FG8p · 35y · 4:35
Q2 3:30MISS11p · 49y · 3:30
Q3 15:00INT4p · 9y · 1:37
Q3 13:23FG8p · 12y · 4:09
Q3 9:14FG8p · 26y · 5:14
Q3 4:00TD6p · 65y · 2:40
Q3 1:20FG11p · 55y · 6:54
Q4 9:26FG9p · 46y · 4:58
Q4 4:28DOWNS4p · -2y · 1:26
Q4 3:02END8p · 19y · 3:02

Lions7 drives5scoring drives (1 TD)71%drives ending in pointsOWN 40avg starting field position0three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Dolphins8 drives3scoring drives (0 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 31avg starting field position1three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
8:22Field goalJ.Bates 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.3–0
Q1
1:02Field goalZ.Gonzalez 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.3–3
Q2
3:30Field goalJ.Bates 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.6–3
Q3
9:14Field goalJ.Bates 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.9–3
Q3
4:00Field goalZ.Gonzalez 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.9–6
Q3
1:20TouchdownL.Borom reported in as eligible. J.Gibbs right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.16–6
Q4
9:26Field goalZ.Gonzalez 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.16–9
Q4
4:28Field goal J.Bates 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.19–9

Team stats

DETvsMIA

270Total yards228

168Passing yards151

102Rushing yards77

4.7Yards per play4.6

16First downs12

3-12 · 25%Third down4-12 · 33%

4-4Fourth down1-2

1-4Red zone TDs0-3

18/26Comp / att14/26

3.6Yards per carry3.7

1Turnovers1

3 (−13 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−23 yds)

9 for 63Penalties11 for 87

31:15Possession28:45

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.009-0.211

Dropback EPA-0.013-0.206

Rush EPA+0.035-0.219

Success rate44%29%

Explosive plays34

Plays5549

Who moved the needle

S.LaPortaTargets: 5+0.8

M.WashingtonTargets: 3+0.7

A.St. BrownTargets: 10+0.3

J.GibbsCarries: 20+0.2

S.VakiCarries: 3-0.3

C.DouglasTargets: 8-0.7

Cost their side the most

M.WillisDropbacks: 29-11.5

O.GordonCarries: 16-3.7

J.GoffDropbacks: 29-3.5

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jared GoffQB	17/25	170	6.8	0	1	3-13	17.7	70.4
Jack FoxP	1/1	11	11.0	0	0	0-0	--	112.5

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jahmyr GibbsRB	20	74	3.7	1	16
Sione VakiRB	3	14	4.7	0	8
Jameson WilliamsWR	1	9	9.0	0	9
Jared GoffQB	4	5	1.3	0	6

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR	8	10	86	10.8	17
Sam LaPortaTE	4	5	32	8.0	11
Jameson WilliamsWR	1	2	31	31.0	31
Tay MartinWR	1	1	11	11.0	11
Isaac TeSlaaWR	1	2	9	9.0	9
Sione VakiRB	2	2	7	3.5	6
DeAndre CarterWR	1	1	5	5.0	5
Jahmyr GibbsRB	0	1	0	0.0	0
Tyler ConklinTE	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Malcolm RodriguezLB	8	2	0	0	1	0
Brian BranchS	7	4	0	0	0	0
Roger McCrearyCB	6	4	0	0	1	0
Chuck ClarkS	5	3	0	0	1	0
Derrick MooreDE	3	2	2	2	0	2
Tyleik WilliamsDT	3	1	0	0	0	0
Alim McNeillDT	3	1	1	1	0	1
Tyler LacyDT	2	1	0	0	0	0
Derrick BarnesLB	2	2	0	1	0	1
Aidan HutchinsonDE	2	1	0	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jake BatesPK	4/4	100.0	43	1/1	13

Miami Dolphins

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Malik WillisQB	13/25	128	5.1	0	1	3-23	7.8	50.1
Bradley PinionP	1/1	46	46.0	0	0	0-0	--	118.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Ollie Gordon IIRB	16	55	3.4	11
Kevin Coleman Jr.WR	1	16	16.0	16
Malik WillisQB	2	7	3.5	5
Malik WashingtonWR	1	0	0.0	0
Kaytron AllenRB	1	-1	-1.0	-1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Caleb DouglasWR	6	8	70	11.7	20
Kaytron AllenRB	1	1	46	46.0	46
Malik WashingtonWR	2	3	21	10.5	14
Greg DulcichTE	2	4	14	7.0	11
Ollie Gordon IIRB	1	1	9	9.0	9
Carlos Washington Jr.RB	1	1	8	8.0	8
Will KacmarekTE	1	2	6	6.0	6
Chris BellWR	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jordyn BrooksLB	12	4	0	1	0	0
Jacob RodriguezLB	10	7	1	1	0	1
Michael TaaffeS	8	5	0	0	0	0
Jordan PhillipsDT	6	3	0	0	0	0
Josh UcheLB	5	4	1	1	1	2
JuJu BrentsCB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Zeek BiggersDT	3	2	1	1	0	2
Kyle LouisLB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Kenneth GrantDT	2	0	0	0	0	0
Chop RobinsonLB	2	0	0	0	1	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Zane GonzalezPK	3/4	75.0	52	0/0	9

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Lions dropback offense vs Dolphins pass defense
The Lions' dropback offense ranks 4th in EPA per dropback (+0.24, 269 dropbacks) against a Dolphins pass defense ranked 32nd (+0.30 allowed, 217 dropbacks faced).
4thDET offense28 spots apart32ndMIA defense
2Lions pass rush vs Dolphins pass protection
The Lions' pass rush ranks 7th in sack rate (7.4% of dropbacks, 325 dropbacks faced) and faces a Dolphins pass protection ranked 31st (9.3% sacked, 227 dropbacks).
31stMIA offense24 spots apart7thDET defense
3Dolphins big-play offense vs Lions defense against big plays
The Dolphins' big-play offense ranks 6th in explosive-play rate (10.6%, 397 plays) against a Lions defense against big plays ranked 30th (11.3% allowed, 470 plays faced).
6thMIA offense24 spots apart30thDET defense

When the Lions have the ballEdge DET · +28 ranks

DET dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIA pass defense

4th+0.24269 dropbacks

DET +28

+0.30 allowed217 dropbacks faced32nd

DET run gameEPA per rushMIA run defense

15th-0.06193 rushes

-0.07 allowed182 rushes faced18th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Dolphins have the ballEdge MIA · +8 ranks

MIA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDET pass defense

21st+0.01227 dropbacks

MIA +8

+0.20 allowed325 dropbacks faced29th

MIA run gameEPA per rushDET run defense

21st-0.12170 rushes

DET +8

-0.09 allowed145 rushes faced13th

Third downEdge MIA · +19 ranks

DET third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIA third-down defense

19th39.0%82 third downs

DET +13

53.7% allowed82 third downs faced32nd

MIA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDET third-down defense

8th43.8%89 third downs

MIA +19

46.3% allowed95 third downs faced27th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge DET · +13 ranks

DET red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIA red-zone defense

7th67%30 trips

DET +13

64% allowed28 trips faced20th

MIA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDET red-zone defense

19th56%18 trips

MIA +8

70% allowed27 trips faced27th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge MIA · +24 ranks

DET big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIA defense against big plays

3rd11.5%462 plays

DET +23

10.5% allowed399 plays faced26th

MIA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDET defense against big plays

6th10.6%397 plays

MIA +24

11.3% allowed470 plays faced30th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge DET · +24 ranks

DET pass protectionsack rateMIA pass rush

17th5.9% sacked269 dropbacks

DET +10

4.1% of dropbacks217 dropbacks faced27th

MIA pass protectionsack rateDET pass rush

31st9.3% sacked227 dropbacks

DET +24

7.4% of dropbacks325 dropbacks faced7th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge DET · +24 ranks

DET ball securityturnovers per gameMIA takeaway defense

3rd0.6 giveaways a game7 games

DET +24

0.9 takeaways a game7 games27th

MIA ball securityturnovers per gameDET takeaway defense

20th1.3 giveaways a game7 games

1.0 takeaways a game7 games19th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: DET 7 games, 462 offensive and 470 defensive plays · MIA 7 games, 397 offensive and 399 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Christian MahoganyLG→ Miles Frazier

Blake MillerRT→ Larry Borom

Tyler LacyRDE→ Derrick Moore

K.J. BrittMLB→ Trevor Nowaske

D.J. ReedLCB→ Rock Ya-Sin

Kyle McCordQB→ Malik Willis

Kenneth GrantLDT→ Zach Sieler

Willie Gay Jr.SLB→ Jordan Phillips

AwayLions1 next man up · 1 questionable · 5 changes