Texans earned it: the snaps said Texans by 20.7, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.
The swingQ2 4:37 · HOU · +18 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 1-T.Dell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The Houston Texans beat the Los Angeles Chargers 44-22 on Sun, Nov 8 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Texans 3-5, Chargers 0-8. C.Stroud (HOU) led all players with +19.8 EPA on 38 dropbacks.
The Houston Texans won 44-22. By quarter: HOU 10-14-7-13, LAC 3-6-0-13.
By expected points added: C.Stroud (HOU, +19.8 EPA on 38 dropbacks), K.Boutte (HOU, +6.3 EPA on 5 targets) and N.Collins (HOU, +5.9 EPA on 4 targets).
The biggest swing in win probability (14 points toward the Texans) came in Q2 at 4:28: (Shotgun) C.Stroud pass deep right to T.Dell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.
Pigskin Nightly, “Texans 44, Chargers 22: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-hou-at-lac (updated 2026-11-11).
Texans earned it: the snaps said Texans by 20.7, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.
The swingQ2 4:37 · HOU · +18 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep right to 1-T.Dell for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
If the 56-yard kick had missed
Q1 3:16 15-K.Fairbairn 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
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| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 21/35 | 384 | 11.0 | 5 | 1 | 1-10 | 89.8 | 125.5 |
| Davis MillsQB | 1/2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 90.6 | 58.3 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woody MarksRB | 18 | 70 | 3.9 | 0 | 14 |
| C.J. StroudQB | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 12 |
| Emari Demercado | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 11 |
| Davis MillsQB | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | -1 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 4 | 5 | 125 | 31.3 | 2 | 63 |
| Tank DellWR | 4 | 9 | 105 | 26.3 | 1 | 63 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 4 | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 1 | 19 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 2 | 4 | 42 | 21.0 | 0 | 28 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 3 | 5 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | 17 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 15 |
| Emari Demercado | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 |
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azeez Al-ShaairLB | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jalen PitreS | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| M.J. StewartS | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calen BullockS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Henry To'oTo'oLB | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy TogiaiDT | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Stingley Jr.CB | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jake HansenLB | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jadeveon ClowneyDE | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Sheldon RankinsDT | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnPK | 3/3 | 100.0 | 56 | 5/5 | 14 |
| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 13/23 | 193 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 8-40 | 11.9 | 80.5 |
| DJ UiagaleleiQB | 2/7 | 24 | 3.4 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 22.6 | 81.0 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion HamptonRB | 13 | 60 | 4.6 | 0 | 32 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 7 | 33 | 4.7 | 0 | 11 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 7 | 30 | 4.3 | 0 | 9 |
| Justin HerbertQB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 |
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 1 | 4 | 58 | 58.0 | 1 | 58 |
| KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR | 1 | 4 | 50 | 50.0 | 0 | 50 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 3 | 4 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | 13 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 16 |
| Oronde GadsdenTE | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 10 |
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15.0 | 1 | 15 |
| Tre' HarrisWR | 3 | 7 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | 10 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiyan HenleyLB | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Marlowe WaxLB | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Elijah MoldenCB | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RJ MickensS | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony JeffersonS | 5 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tarheeb StillCB | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Del'Shawn PhillipsLB | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam HartCB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin EboigbeDT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Akheem MesidorLB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron DickerPK | 3/3 | 100.0 | 52 | 1/1 | 10 |
The Texans' pass rush ranks 5th in sack rate (7.7% of dropbacks, 274 dropbacks faced) and faces a Chargers pass protection ranked 29th (9.0% sacked, 256 dropbacks).
29thLAC offense24 spots apart5thHOU defenseThe Chargers' third-down defense ranks 3rd in third-down conversion rate (31.3% allowed, 83 third downs faced) and faces a Texans third-down offense ranked 24th (37.5%, 88 third downs).
24thHOU offense21 spots apart3rdLAC defenseThe Texans' pass defense ranks 20th in EPA per dropback (+0.07 allowed, 274 dropbacks faced) and faces a Chargers dropback offense ranked 32nd (-0.27, 256 dropbacks).
32ndLAC offense12 spots apart20thHOU defenseDropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.
Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.
A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.
Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.
Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.
Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.
Sample: HOU 7 games, 425 offensive and 443 defensive plays · LAC 7 games, 428 offensive and 409 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
K Ka'imi Fairbairn ✓P Kai Kroeger ✓LS Austin Brinkman ✓
Also on the field with starter snapsTank Dell WR
K Cameron Dicker ✓P JK Scott ✓LS Josh Harris ✓
Also on the field with starter snapsAkheem Mesidor LB
Last: Sun wk 7 vs NYG (L 21-27) · 15,529 mi flown this season
Last: Sun wk 8 at LAR (L 9-24) · 9,074 mi flown this season
Teams with more rest than their opponent are 34-12 in 2026 (46 games). Off a bye: 13-1 (14 games, small sample). All travel splits →