Rams 20, Commanders 13: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · Northwest StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LAR	3	3	7	7	20
WSH	3	7	3	0	13

Home · 2-5-1WashingtonCommanders13

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Washington Commanders 20-13 on Sun, Nov 8 at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD (Week 9, 2026 season). Records after the game: Rams 5-4, Commanders 2-5-1. P.Nacua (LA) led all players with +6.8 EPA on 19 targets.

Who won Rams vs Commanders?

The Los Angeles Rams won 20-13. By quarter: LAR 3-3-7-7, WSH 3-7-3-0.

Who was the best player in Rams vs Commanders?

By expected points added: P.Nacua (LA, +6.8 EPA on 19 targets), V.Jefferson (WAS, +3.7 EPA on 7 targets) and B.Corum (LA, +1.5 EPA on 11 carries).

What was the turning point of Rams vs Commanders?

The biggest swing in win probability (12 points toward the Rams) came in Q2 at 1:33: (No Huddle, Shotgun) M.Stafford pass short right to P.Nacua to WAS 23 for 15 yards (J.Reaves; T.Amos).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Rams 20, Commanders 13: Week 9 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-08-lar-at-wsh (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 9 issue →

Week 9EarnedGame file →

Rams43% success · +0.02 EPA/play

2013

Commanders39% success · −0.20 EPA/play

LAR 96% deserveddeserved 5% WSH

Rams earned it: the snaps said Rams by 9.3, a deserved win probability of 96%.

Deserved marginLAR by 9.3

Real marginLAR by 7

Luck pts LAR−4.3

Luck pts WSH+3.4

The swingQ4 12:57 · LA · +17 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 12-P.Nacua for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive Pass InterferenceLA → helped WAS · Wk 9 Q3 2:06 · (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 8-T.Atwell pushed ob at WAS 27 for 8 yards (35-P.Butler). PENALTY on…+7.0 WP
2Defensive OffsideLA → helped WAS · Wk 9 Q4 0:31 · (No Huddle) 5-J.Daniels spiked the ball to stop the clock. PENALTY on LA-10-J.Stewart, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at…+5.5 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1WAS · 4th & 1Dan Quinn chose Punt at own 29, Wk 9 Q3 9:34, down 3. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.21 EP
2WAS · 4th & 3Dan Quinn chose Punt at own 47, Wk 9 Q2 10:43, up 7. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.68 EP
3LA · 4th & 2Sean McVay chose Punt at own 28, Wk 9 Q2 9:13, down 7. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.62 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA156 plays, one strand1 lead change · 8 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewJohn Hussey16 accepted flags in this game · 13.9 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: LAR by 4.5 · Snaps: LAR by 9.3Rams covered; the snaps agree

20@13

Week 9

If the Commanders had converted that fourth-and-17

Commanders after the play2%what really happened

Q4 2:00 5-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to 12-V.Jefferson (1-E.Forbes).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

WSH ▲LAR ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+12%Q2 1:33 · for LAR(No Huddle, Shotgun) M.Stafford pass short right to P.Nacua to WAS 23 for 15 yards (J.Reaves; T.Amos).
+10%Q2 2:46 · for WSH(Shotgun) M.Stafford pass short left to P.Nacua to WAS 41 for no gain (K.Chaisson). FUMBLES (K.Chaisson), touched at WAS 42, RECOVERED by WAS-N.Cross at WAS 45. N.Cross to LA 40 for 15 yards (W.McClendon).
+9%Q3 0:19 · for LAR(Shotgun) M.Stafford pass deep right to P.Nacua to WAS 17 for 19 yards (Q.Martin).
+9%Q2 2:20 · for LAR(Shotgun) J.Daniels sacked at WAS 44 for -6 yards (M.Garrett). FUMBLES (M.Garrett), RECOVERED by LA-O.Speights at WAS 46. O.Speights to WAS 45 for 1 yard (R.White).
+9%Q4 2:31 · for LAR(Shotgun) J.Daniels sacked at 50 for -12 yards (M.Garrett).

Every drive, on the field

WSH attacks →← LAR attacks

Q1 15:00FG11p · 48y · 5:53
Q1 9:07FG14p · 51y · 6:57
Q1 2:10TD6p · 80y · 3:10
Q2 14:00PUNT3p · 4y · 1:35
Q2 12:25PUNT4p · 29y · 1:53
Q2 10:32PUNT3p · 8y · 1:30
Q2 9:02PUNT4p · 19y · 1:47
Q2 7:15FUM9p · 50y · 4:41
Q2 2:34FUM1p · -14y · 0:27
Q2 2:07FG10p · 43y · 2:07
Q3 15:00TD8p · 69y · 3:31
Q3 11:29PUNT3p · 9y · 2:02
Q3 9:27PUNT5p · 17y · 1:54
Q3 7:33PUNT3p · 7y · 1:22
Q3 6:11INT3p · -5y · 0:14
Q3 5:57FG4p · 4y · 2:33
Q3 3:24TD12p · 65y · 5:33
Q4 12:51PUNT8p · 27y · 4:36
Q4 8:15PUNT5p · 21y · 2:49
Q4 5:26DOWNS9p · 38y · 3:33
Q4 1:53PUNT3p · -1y · 1:01
Q4 0:52FUM7p · 70y · 0:52

Rams11 drives4scoring drives (2 TD)36%drives ending in pointsOWN 28avg starting field position3three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Commanders11 drives3scoring drives (1 TD)27%drives ending in pointsOWN 29avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
9:07Field goalD.Stevens 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.0–3
Q1
2:10Field goalB.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.McQuaide, Holder-E.Evans.3–3
Q2
14:00Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short middle to V.Jefferson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.3–10
Q2
0:00Field goal B.McManus 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.McQuaide, Holder-E.Evans.6–10
Q3
11:29Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Corum right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.McQuaide, Holder-E.Evans.13–10
Q3
3:24Field goalD.Stevens 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.13–13
Q4
12:51Touchdown(Shotgun) M.Stafford pass short left to P.Nacua for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.McQuaide, Holder-E.Evans.20–13

Team stats

LARvsWSH

343Total yards313

219Passing yards253

124Rushing yards60

4.7Yards per play5.4

22First downs16

3-14 · 21%Third down3-12 · 25%

3-3Fourth down0-1

2-4Red zone TDs1-2

26/43Comp / att24/35

4.3Yards per carry3.2

2Turnovers2

1 (−9 yds)Sacks allowed4 (−21 yds)

10 for 70Penalties6 for 39

31:52Possession28:08

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.002-0.177

Dropback EPA-0.028-0.118

Rush EPA+0.048-0.330

Success rate43%39%

Explosive plays44

Plays7257

Who moved the needle

P.NacuaTargets: 19+6.8

V.JeffersonTargets: 7+3.7

B.CorumCarries: 11+1.5

A.EkelerTargets: 3+1.4

S.DiggsTargets: 5+0.1

R.WhiteTargets: 3-0.2

Cost their side the most

J.DanielsDropbacks: 41-4.8

A.EkelerCarries: 8-3.3

T.HigbeeTargets: 5-2.9

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Matthew StaffordQB	26/43	228	5.3	1	1	1-9	34.3	72.6

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Blake CorumRB	11	58	5.3	1	15
Kyren WilliamsRB	15	45	3.0	0	9
Puka NacuaWR	2	20	10.0	0	15
Matthew StaffordQB	1	1	1.0	0	1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Puka NacuaWR	14	19	150	10.7	1	21
Konata MumpfieldWR	2	2	20	10.0	0	13
Kyren WilliamsRB	3	4	16	5.3	0	9
Tutu AtwellWR	2	5	16	8.0	0	12
Colby ParkinsonTE	4	4	13	3.3	0	10
Tyler HigbeeTE	1	5	13	13.0	0	13
Blake CorumRB	0	2	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Kam CurlS	8	4	0	0	0	0
Nate LandmanLB	7	3	0	0	1	0
Quentin LakeS	7	3	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Forbes Jr.CB	6	6	0	1	3	0
Braden FiskeDE	5	3	0.5	1	0	1
Josh WallaceCB	5	3	0	0	0	0
Omar SpeightsLB	5	2	0	1	0	0
Jaylen McColloughS	5	4	0	0	0	0
Byron YoungLB	4	2	0	0	1	1
Shaun DolacLB	3	1	0.5	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Brandon McManusPK	2/2	100.0	33	2/2	8

Washington Commanders

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jayden DanielsQB	24/35	274	7.8	1	0	4-21	56.3	101.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Rachaad WhiteRB	7	28	4.0	14
Jayden DanielsQB	4	16	4.0	7
Austin EkelerRB	8	16	2.0	7

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Van JeffersonWR	5	7	58	11.6	1	21
Chig OkonkwoTE	6	7	57	9.5	0	16
Stefon DiggsWR	3	5	51	17.0	0	42
Rachaad WhiteRB	2	3	41	20.5	0	45
Antonio WilliamsWR	3	6	25	8.3	0	18
Austin EkelerRB	2	3	18	9.0	0	12
Jaden BradleyWR	1	1	12	12.0	0	12
Colson YankoffTE	1	1	6	6.0	0	6
Luke McCaffreyWR	1	1	6	6.0	0	6

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Frankie LuvuLB	15	7	1	2	0	2
Sonny StylesLB	13	6	0	1	0	0
Nick CrossS	8	6	0	1	3	0
Quan MartinS	8	5	0	0	1	0
Jeremy ReavesS	6	2	0	0	0	0
Shy TuttleDT	4	1	0	1	0	0
Trey AmosCB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Charles OmenihuDE	3	1	0	0	0	1
Jer'Zhan NewtonDT	3	1	0	0	0	0
K'Lavon ChaissonLB	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Drew StevensPK	2/2	100.0	41	1/1	7

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 8 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Rams third-down defense vs Commanders third-down offense
The Rams' third-down defense ranks 6th in third-down conversion rate (33.3% allowed, 102 third downs faced) and faces a Commanders third-down offense ranked 31st (31.9%, 94 third downs).
31stWSH offense25 spots apart6thLAR defense
2Rams red-zone offense vs Commanders red-zone defense
The Rams' red-zone offense ranks 3rd in red-zone touchdown rate (69%, 32 trips) against a Commanders red-zone defense ranked 30th (79% allowed, 24 trips faced).
3rdLAR offense27 spots apart30thWSH defense
3Rams run defense vs Commanders run game
The Rams' run defense ranks 3rd in EPA per rush (-0.16 allowed, 201 rushes faced) and faces a Commanders run game ranked 20th (-0.11, 162 rushes).
20thWSH offense17 spots apart3rdLAR defense

When the Rams have the ballEdge LAR · +8 ranks

LAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackWSH pass defense

17th+0.07322 dropbacks

+0.09 allowed289 dropbacks faced21st

LAR run gameEPA per rushWSH run defense

7th+0.01200 rushes

LAR +8

-0.08 allowed155 rushes faced15th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Commanders have the ballEdge LAR · +17 ranks

WSH dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAR pass defense

19th+0.05273 dropbacks

LAR +15

-0.06 allowed290 dropbacks faced4th

WSH run gameEPA per rushLAR run defense

20th-0.11162 rushes

LAR +17

-0.16 allowed201 rushes faced3rd

Third downEdge LAR · +25 ranks

LAR third-down offensethird-down conversion rateWSH third-down defense

6th45.7%94 third downs

LAR +20

44.2% allowed95 third downs faced26th

WSH third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAR third-down defense

31st31.9%94 third downs

LAR +25

33.3% allowed102 third downs faced6th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge LAR · +27 ranks

LAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateWSH red-zone defense

3rd69%32 trips

LAR +27

79% allowed24 trips faced30th

WSH red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAR red-zone defense

22nd52%21 trips

LAR +16

43% allowed28 trips faced6th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge WSH · +15 ranks

LAR big-play offenseexplosive-play rateWSH defense against big plays

23rd8.4%522 plays

WSH +15

8.1% allowed444 plays faced8th

WSH big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAR defense against big plays

14th9.4%435 plays

7.9% allowed491 plays faced7th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge LAR · +17 ranks

LAR pass protectionsack rateWSH pass rush

6th3.7% sacked322 dropbacks

LAR +17

5.5% of dropbacks289 dropbacks faced23rd

WSH pass protectionsack rateLAR pass rush

16th5.9% sacked273 dropbacks

WSH +12

4.1% of dropbacks290 dropbacks faced28th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge WSH · +18 ranks

LAR ball securityturnovers per gameWSH takeaway defense

23rd1.5 giveaways a game8 games

WSH +15

1.4 takeaways a game7 games8th

WSH ball securityturnovers per gameLAR takeaway defense

1st0.4 giveaways a game7 games

WSH +18

1.0 takeaways a game8 games19th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LAR 8 games, 522 offensive and 491 defensive plays · WSH 7 games, 435 offensive and 444 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

CJ DanielsWR→ Puka Nacua

Steve AvilaLG→ Beaux Limmer

Ty HamiltonNT→ Tyler Davis

Trent McDuffieRCB→ Emmanuel Forbes Jr.

Treylon BurksWR→ Van Jefferson

Nick AllegrettiC→ Matt Gulbin

Tim SettleNT→ K'Lavon Chaisson

Rasul DouglasLCB→ Trey Amos

AwayRams1 next man up · 2 questionable · 4 changes