Cowboys earned it: the snaps said Cowboys by 16.0, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.
The swingQ3 10:34 · PHI · +13 pts of win probability. 16-T.McKee pass short left to 9-M.Lemon pushed ob at DAL 24 for 15 yards (14-M.Bell).
The Dallas Cowboys beat the Philadelphia Eagles 38-21 on Mon, Oct 26 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA (Week 7, 2026 season). Records after the game: Cowboys 4-5, Eagles 2-7. D.Prescott (DAL) led all players with +12.5 EPA on 28 dropbacks.
The Dallas Cowboys won 38-21. By quarter: DAL 10-10-8-10, PHI 7-7-7-0.
By expected points added: D.Prescott (DAL, +12.5 EPA on 28 dropbacks), J.Williams (DAL, +9.6 EPA on 25 carries) and M.Lemon (PHI, +6.6 EPA on 8 targets).
The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Eagles) came in Q3 at 5:44: (Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to M.Lemon for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
Pigskin Nightly, “Cowboys 38, Eagles 21: Week 7 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-26-dal-at-phi (updated 2026-11-10).
Cowboys earned it: the snaps said Cowboys by 16.0, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.
The swingQ3 10:34 · PHI · +13 pts of win probability. 16-T.McKee pass short left to 9-M.Lemon pushed ob at DAL 24 for 15 yards (14-M.Bell).
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
If that interception had fallen incomplete
Q4 7:55 16-T.McKee pass short right intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 0-D.Overshown at DAL 30. 0-D.Overshown pushed ob at DAL 34 for 4 yards (88-D.Goedert).
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| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak PrescottQB | 15/27 | 212 | 7.9 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 88.1 | 118.1 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 25 | 155 | 6.2 | 1 | 34 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 10 | 38 | 3.8 | 0 | 11 |
| Dak PrescottQB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 |
| Hunter LuepkeFB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee LambWR | 5 | 12 | 74 | 14.8 | 2 | 30 |
| Ryan FlournoyWR | 4 | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 0 | 35 |
| George PickensWR | 4 | 6 | 57 | 14.3 | 1 | 21 |
| Brevyn Spann-FordTE | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 6 |
| Jake FergusonTE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan MingoWR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarvion OvershownLB | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Shemar JamesLB | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb DownsS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Markquese BellS | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alijah ClarkS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Quinnen WilliamsDT | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Joey Porter Jr.CB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik HookerS | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Otito OgbonniaDT | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin BarronLB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon AubreyPK | 3/3 | 100.0 | 55 | 3/3 | 12 |
| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner McKeeQB | 23/35 | 211 | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 2-11 | 26.1 | 79.6 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon BarkleyRB | 7 | 62 | 8.9 | 1 | 29 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 14 | 47 | 3.4 | 1 | 12 |
| Elijah MitchellRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 |
| Tanner McKeeQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makai LemonWR | 7 | 8 | 67 | 9.6 | 1 | 21 |
| Dallas GoedertTE | 5 | 7 | 48 | 9.6 | 0 | 18 |
| Hollywood BrownWR | 2 | 5 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 19 |
| Elijah MitchellRB | 3 | 4 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 15 |
| Darius CooperWR | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 14 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 12 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eli StowersTE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack BaunLB | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew MukubaS | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper DeJeanCB | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinyon MitchellCB | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Trotter Jr.LB | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moro OjomoDT | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arnold EbiketieLB | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron YoungDT | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan DavisDT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Riq WoolenCB | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake ElliottPK | 0/0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 3 |
The Cowboys' pass protection ranks 1st in sack rate (2.6% sacked, 268 dropbacks) against a Eagles pass rush ranked 31st (3.3% of dropbacks, 239 dropbacks faced).
1stDAL offense30 spots apart31stPHI defenseThe Cowboys' run game ranks 10th in EPA per rush (-0.02, 110 rushes) against a Eagles run defense ranked 30th (+0.01 allowed, 164 rushes faced).
10thDAL offense20 spots apart30thPHI defenseThe Eagles' ball security ranks 11th in turnovers per game (0.8 giveaways a game, 6 games) against a Cowboys takeaway defense ranked 30th (0.5 takeaways a game, 6 games).
11thPHI offense19 spots apart30thDAL defenseSmall sample, read with careWhy sample size mattersDropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.
Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.
A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.
Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.
Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.
Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.
Sample: DAL 6 games, 378 offensive and 371 defensive plays · PHI 6 games, 348 offensive and 403 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
K Brandon Aubrey ✓P Bryan Anger ✓LS Trent Sieg ✓
Also on the field with starter snapsJake Ferguson TE
K Jake Elliott ✓P Braden Mann ✓LS Rocco Underwood ✓
Also on the field with starter snapsJordan Davis DT
Last: Sun wk 6 at GB (L 13-23) · Green Bay · 19,776 mi flown this season
Last: Sun wk 6 vs CAR (L 14-25) · 10,006 mi flown this season