Giants 27, Texans 21: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Reliant StadiumFinal/OT

Final

	1	2	3	4	OT	T
NYG	7	7	0	7	6	27
HOU	3	11	0	7	0	21

Home · 3-5HoustonTexans21

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET

The New York Giants beat the Houston Texans 27-21 on Sun, Oct 25 at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX (Week 7, 2026 season). Records after the game: Giants 5-2-1, Texans 3-5. M.Fields (NYG) led all players with +8.1 EPA on 5 targets.

Who won Giants vs Texans?

The New York Giants won 27-21. By quarter: NYG 7-7-0-7-6, HOU 3-11-0-7-0.

Who was the best player in Giants vs Texans?

By expected points added: M.Fields (NYG, +8.1 EPA on 5 targets), J.McCarthy (NYG, +5.4 EPA on 30 dropbacks) and M.Nabers (NYG, +4.7 EPA on 9 targets).

What was the turning point of Giants vs Texans?

The biggest swing in win probability (30 points toward the Giants) came in overtime at 8:23: C.Skattebo up the middle to HST 30 for 42 yards (K.Lassiter).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Giants 27, Texans 21: Week 7 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-25-nyg-at-hou (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 7 issue →

Week 7EarnedGame file →

Giants41% success · +0.24 EPA/play

2721

Texans38% success · −0.10 EPA/play

NYG >99% deserveddeserved <1% HOU

Giants earned it: the snaps said Giants by 15.4, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginNYG by 15.4

Real marginNYG by 6

Luck pts NYG−4.4

Luck pts HOU+6.2

The swingOT 8:23 · NYG · +26 pts of win probability. 44-C.Skattebo up the middle to HOU 30 for 42 yards (3-K.Lassiter).

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingHOU → helped NYG · Wk 7 Q1 0:43 · (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 4-W.Marks to 50 for no gain (22-A.Phillips). PENALTY on HOU-79-A.Ersery, Offensive…+3.8 WP
2Defensive HoldingNYG → helped HOU · Wk 7 Q2 10:32 · (Shotgun) 71-B.Smith reported in as eligible. 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short right to 12-N.Collins. PENALTY on…+3.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1NYG · 4th & 13John Harbaugh chose Punt at opp 37, Wk 7 Q3 10:13, tied. Model: Field goal (clear call). Result: punted.−1.30 EP
2HOU · 4th & 1DeMeco Ryans chose Punt at own 23, Wk 7 Q3 8:12, tied. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.16 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA143 plays, one strand1 lead change · 11 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewLand Clark14 accepted flags in this game · 14.3 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: HOU by 10 · Snaps: NYG by 15.4Giants covered; the snaps agree

27@21

Week 7Changes the winner

If the Texans had stopped that fourth-and-2

Texans after the play50%what really happened

Q1 7:39 17-D.Mooney left end to HOU 44 for 3 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

HOU ▲NYG ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT

The five biggest swings

+30%OT 8:23 · for NYGC.Skattebo up the middle to HST 30 for 42 yards (K.Lassiter).
+27%Q4 0:52 · for HOUK.Fairbairn kicks 62 yards from HST 35 to NYG 3. C.Jones to NYG 20 for 17 yards (B.Jordan).
+15%OT 7:25 · for NYG (Shotgun) D.Singletary up the middle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+15%Q4 8:55 · for NYG(Shotgun) C.Skattebo right guard for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.
+11%Q4 9:36 · for NYG(Shotgun) J.McCarthy pass short left to M.Fields pushed ob at HST 16 for 14 yards (T.Smith).

Every drive, on the field

HOU attacks →← NYG attacks

Q1 15:00FG6p · 25y · 3:20
Q1 11:40TD9p · 66y · 5:14
Q1 6:26PUNT3p · 3y · 1:09
Q1 5:17MISS7p · 39y · 3:59
Q1 1:18PUNT3p · -11y · 1:28
Q2 14:50PUNT3p · 4y · 2:11
Q2 12:39FG7p · 39y · 3:36
Q2 9:03TD9p · 78y · 5:31
Q2 3:32TD8p · 90y · 2:58
Q2 0:34MISS5p · 31y · 0:34
Q3 15:00PUNT8p · 33y · 4:53
Q3 10:07PUNT3p · 9y · 2:02
Q3 8:05PUNT3p · 3y · 1:10
Q3 6:55PUNT9p · 21y · 4:42
Q3 2:13TD14p · 80y · 8:18
Q4 8:55PUNT5p · 12y · 2:10
Q4 6:45PUNT3p · -10y · 1:39
Q4 5:06TD9p · 48y · 4:14
Q4 0:52HALF3p · 12y · 0:52
Q5 10:00PUNT3p · 0y · 1:06
Q5 8:54TD3p · 81y · 1:29

Giants10 drives4scoring drives (4 TD)40%drives ending in pointsOWN 27avg starting field position3three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Texans10 drives4scoring drives (2 TD)40%drives ending in pointsOWN 29avg starting field position4three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:40Field goal K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.0–3
Q1
6:26Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.Tracy up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.7–3
Q2
9:03Field goal K.Fairbairn 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.7–6
Q2
3:32TouchdownJ.Winston up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.14–6
Q2
0:34Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Stroud pass short middle to M.Harrison for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. C.Stroud pass to C.Stover is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.14–14
Q4
8:55Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Skattebo right guard for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Zvada extra point is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.21–14
Q4
0:52Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Stroud pass short right to X.Hutchinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.21–21
OT
7:25Touchdown (Shotgun) D.Singletary up the middle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.27–21

Team stats

NYGvsHOU

420Total yards237

232Passing yards153

188Rushing yards84

6.5Yards per play4.4

22First downs15

5-13 · 38%Third down3-12 · 25%

2-2Fourth down1-1

3-3Red zone TDs2-2

20/28Comp / att17/28

5.5Yards per carry3.4

0Turnovers0

3 (−20 yds)Sacks allowed1 (−0 yds)

4 for 50Penalties10 for 80

35:50Possession26:45

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.244-0.062

Dropback EPA+0.179-0.016

Rush EPA+0.301-0.122

Success rate41%38%

Explosive plays104

Plays6455

Who moved the needle

M.FieldsTargets: 5+8.1

J.McCarthyDropbacks: 30+5.4

M.NabersTargets: 9+4.7

C.SkatteboCarries: 17+3.4

D.SingletaryCarries: 5+2.8

J.WinstonCarries: 4+2.7

Cost their side the most

W.MarksCarries: 19-5.2

N.CollinsTargets: 5-3.8

X.HutchinsonTargets: 6-1.6

Box score

New York Giants

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
J.J. McCarthyQB	20/28	252	9.0	0	0	3-20	58.1	99.1

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Cam SkatteboRB	17	124	7.3	1	42
Devin SingletaryRB	5	41	8.2	1	30
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB	6	15	2.5	1	7
Jameis WinstonQB	4	4	1.0	1	2
Darnell MooneyWR	1	3	3.0	0	3
J.J. McCarthyQB	1	1	1.0	0	1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Malik NabersWR	7	9	111	15.9	42
Malachi FieldsWR	4	5	83	20.8	47
Thomas Fidone IITE	1	1	29	29.0	29
Devin SingletaryRB	3	3	14	4.7	9
Isaiah LikelyTE	2	4	12	6.0	8
Darnell MooneyWR	1	3	4	4.0	4
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB	1	1	2	2.0	2
Cam SkatteboRB	1	1	-3	-3.0	-3

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Micah McFaddenLB	10	10	0	2	0	1
Ar'Darius WashingtonS	7	5	0	0	0	0
Arvell ReeseLB	7	5	0.5	1	0	0
Kayvon ThibodeauxLB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Abdul CarterLB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Jason PinnockS	3	2	0	0	1	0
Bobby Jamison-TravisDT	3	1	0	0	0	0
Trace FordLB	3	0	0	0	0	0
Paulson AdeboCB	2	2	0	1	0	0
Shelby HarrisDT	2	1	0	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Dominic ZvadaPK	0/2	0.0	0	3/3	3

Houston Texans

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
C.J. StroudQB	17/28	153	5.5	2	0	1-0	75.9	99.3

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Woody MarksRB	19	66	3.5	11
Xavier HutchinsonWR	2	12	6.0	10
C.J. StroudQB	2	4	2.0	2
Tank DellWR	1	2	2.0	2
Cade StoverTE	1	0	0.0	0

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Dalton SchultzTE	5	6	45	9.0	0	17
Tank DellWR	1	1	43	43.0	0	43
Kayshon BoutteWR	1	2	25	25.0	0	25
Xavier HutchinsonWR	3	6	17	5.7	1	12
Woody MarksRB	1	1	15	15.0	0	15
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR	1	4	6	6.0	1	6
Nico CollinsWR	2	5	6	3.0	0	4
Cade StoverTE	1	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1
Jaylin NoelWR	2	2	-3	-1.5	0	1

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
M.J. StewartS	12	5	0.5	0	1	1
Henry To'oTo'oLB	10	3	0.5	2	0	1
Azeez Al-ShaairLB	9	2	0	0	0	0
Kamari LassiterCB	8	5	1	1	0	1
Sheldon RankinsDT	5	5	0	1	0	1
Will Anderson Jr.DE	5	1	0	0	0	0
Calen BullockS	4	3	0	0	0	0
Derek Stingley Jr.CB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Tommy TogiaiDT	3	2	0	0	0	0
Jake HansenLB	3	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Ka'imi FairbairnPK	2/2	100.0	58	1/1	7

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 6 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Texans pass rush vs Giants pass protection
The Texans' pass rush ranks 10th in sack rate (7.4% of dropbacks, 244 dropbacks faced) and faces a Giants pass protection ranked 25th (7.6% sacked, 238 dropbacks).
25thNYG offense15 spots apart10thHOU defense
2Texans run defense vs Giants run game
The Texans' run defense ranks 11th in EPA per rush (-0.12 allowed, 135 rushes faced) and faces a Giants run game ranked 24th (-0.16, 154 rushes).
24thNYG offense13 spots apart11thHOU defense

When the Giants have the ballEdge HOU · +13 ranks

NYG dropback offenseEPA per dropbackHOU pass defense

16th+0.06238 dropbacks

+0.06 allowed244 dropbacks faced20th

NYG run gameEPA per rushHOU run defense

24th-0.16154 rushes

HOU +13

-0.12 allowed135 rushes faced11th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Texans have the ballEdge HOU · +11 ranks

HOU dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYG pass defense

10th+0.15238 dropbacks

HOU +11

+0.07 allowed213 dropbacks faced21st

HOU run gameEPA per rushNYG run defense

23rd-0.16132 rushes

-0.06 allowed142 rushes faced21st

Third downEdge NYG · +9 ranks

NYG third-down offensethird-down conversion rateHOU third-down defense

10th43.2%81 third downs

NYG +9

42.1% allowed76 third downs faced19th

HOU third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYG third-down defense

16th39.5%76 third downs

42.3% allowed71 third downs faced20th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge HOU · +8 ranks

NYG red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateHOU red-zone defense

15th58%19 trips

59% allowed17 trips faced17th

HOU red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYG red-zone defense

17th54%24 trips

HOU +8

71% allowed17 trips faced25th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge HOU · +10 ranks

NYG big-play offenseexplosive-play rateHOU defense against big plays

25th7.4%392 plays

HOU +8

9.0% allowed379 plays faced17th

HOU big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYG defense against big plays

11th10.0%370 plays

HOU +10

9.9% allowed355 plays faced21st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge HOU · +15 ranks

NYG pass protectionsack rateHOU pass rush

25th7.6% sacked238 dropbacks

HOU +15

7.4% of dropbacks244 dropbacks faced10th

HOU pass protectionsack rateNYG pass rush

17th5.9% sacked238 dropbacks

HOU +13

3.8% of dropbacks213 dropbacks faced30th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge HOU · +8 ranks

NYG ball securityturnovers per gameHOU takeaway defense

24th1.7 giveaways a game6 games

1.0 takeaways a game6 games20th

HOU ball securityturnovers per gameNYG takeaway defense

3rd0.5 giveaways a game6 games

HOU +8

1.3 takeaways a game6 games11th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: NYG 6 games, 392 offensive and 355 defensive plays · HOU 6 games, 370 offensive and 379 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Devin SingletaryRB→ Cam Skattebo

Aaron StinnieRG→ Francis Mauigoa

Darius AlexanderRDE→ Bobby Jamison-Travis

Greg Newsome IIRCB→ Paulson Adebo

Jevon HollandFS→ Jason Pinnock

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR→ Kayshon Boutte

Jake HansenSLB→ Kayden McDonald

Jalen PitreNB→ Tremon Smith

Reed BlankenshipSS→ M.J. Stewart

AwayGiants2 next man up · 2 questionable · 5 changes