Rams 35, Raiders 21: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Allegiant StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LAR	7	21	0	7	35
LV	3	3	0	15	21

Home · 4-5Las VegasRaiders21

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 7:21 PM ET

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Las Vegas Raiders 35-21 on Sun, Oct 25 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV (Week 7, 2026 season). Records after the game: Rams 5-4, Raiders 4-5. B.Corum (LA) led all players with +6.8 EPA on 17 carries.

Who won Rams vs Raiders?

The Los Angeles Rams won 35-21. By quarter: LAR 7-21-0-7, LV 3-3-0-15.

Who was the best player in Rams vs Raiders?

By expected points added: B.Corum (LA, +6.8 EPA on 17 carries), M.Stafford (LA, +5.2 EPA on 30 dropbacks) and P.Nacua (LA, +5.1 EPA on 10 targets).

What was the turning point of Rams vs Raiders?

The biggest swing in win probability (7 points toward the Rams) came in Q1 at 11:37: K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle [T.Hamilton].PENALTY on LV-K.Cousins, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at LA 30.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Rams 35, Raiders 21: Week 7 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-25-lar-at-lv (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 7 issue →

Week 7EarnedGame file →

Rams59% success · +0.21 EPA/play

3521

Raiders35% success · −0.16 EPA/play

LAR >99% deserveddeserved <1% LV

Rams earned it: the snaps said Rams by 18.0, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginLAR by 18.0

Real marginLAR by 14

Luck pts LAR−0.2

Luck pts LV+1.8

The swingQ1 11:44 · LV · +8 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker. PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at LV 31 - No Play.

Flags that moved this game

1Defensive Pass InterferenceLA → helped LV · Wk 7 Q1 11:44 · (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to 1-T.Tucker. PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 39…+8.1 WP
2Unnecessary RoughnessLV → helped LA · Wk 7 Q1 9:30 · 24-B.Corum up the middle to LV 42 for 5 yards (17-N.Dean; 5-E.Stokes). PENALTY on LV-44-T.Eichenberg, Unnecessary Roughness, 15…+6.4 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA149 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 8 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewRonald Torbert13 accepted flags in this game · 14 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: LAR by 3.5 · Snaps: LAR by 18.0Rams covered; the snaps agree

35@21

Week 7Changes the winner

If the Raiders kicker had made it from 51

Raiders after the play48%what really happened

Q1 10:53 14-M.Gay 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

LV ▲LAR ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+7%Q1 11:37 · for LARK.Cousins pass incomplete short middle [T.Hamilton].PENALTY on LV-K.Cousins, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at LA 30.
+6%Q1 11:44 · for LV(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to T.Tucker.PENALTY on LA-J.Wallace, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at LV 31 - No Play.
+5%Q1 10:53 · for LARM.Gay 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
+4%Q1 3:41 · for LVM.Washington left end pushed ob at LA 14 for 21 yards (A.Donald).
+4%Q1 7:10 · for LVB.Corum right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty.PENALTY on LA-K.Dotson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LV 2 - No Play.

Every drive, on the field

LV attacks →← LAR attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 1y · 1:29
Q1 13:31PUNT3p · -3y · 1:47
Q1 11:44MISS4p · 36y · 0:56
Q1 10:48TD8p · 59y · 4:23
Q1 6:25FG9p · 38y · 5:34
Q1 0:51TD12p · 80y · 5:50
Q2 10:01PUNT3p · 0y · 1:32
Q2 8:29TD7p · 81y · 4:14
Q2 4:15DOWNS6p · 17y · 2:19
Q2 1:56TD6p · 52y · 0:37
Q2 1:19FG8p · 55y · 1:19
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · -2y · 1:34
Q3 13:26DOWNS11p · 62y · 4:47
Q3 8:39FUM1p · 9y · 0:09
Q3 8:30DOWNS4p · 5y · 1:25
Q3 7:05PUNT7p · 30y · 4:39
Q3 2:26TD6p · 91y · 2:35
Q4 14:51INT1p · 0y · 0:12
Q4 14:39TD4p · 34y · 1:27
Q4 13:12TD12p · 70y · 6:38
Q4 6:34FG10p · 47y · 2:23
Q4 4:11END8p · 20y · 4:11

Rams10 drives5scoring drives (5 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 27avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Raiders11 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 39avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
6:25TouchdownM.Stafford pass short left to D.Allen for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.7–0
Q1
0:51Field goalM.Gay 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.7–3
Q2
10:01TouchdownM.Stafford pass short left to D.Allen for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.14–3
Q2
4:15Touchdown(Shotgun) M.Stafford pass short left to P.Nacua for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.21–3
Q2
1:19TouchdownK.Williams left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.28–3
Q2
0:00Field goalM.Gay 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.28–6
Q4
14:51Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass deep left to T.Tucker for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. K.Cousins pass to B.Bowers is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.28–12
Q4
13:12TouchdownK.Cousins pass short right to A.Jeanty for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. K.Cousins pass to J.Nailor is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.28–18
Q4
6:34TouchdownB.Corum left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans. ** Injury Update: LV-P.Johnson has returned to the game.35–18
Q4
4:11Field goalM.Gay 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.35–21

Team stats

LARvsLV

386Total yards350

187Passing yards302

199Rushing yards48

5.7Yards per play5.5

28First downs18

5-10 · 50%Third down3-14 · 21%

0-0Fourth down2-5

5-5Red zone TDs1-5

23/29Comp / att27/45

5.2Yards per carry2.8

2Turnovers0

1 (−8 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−6 yds)

7 for 90Penalties6 for 64

34:14Possession25:46

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.174-0.163

Dropback EPA+0.174-0.112

Rush EPA+0.174-0.334

Success rate58%35%

Explosive plays44

Plays6566

Who moved the needle

B.CorumCarries: 17+6.8

M.StaffordDropbacks: 30+5.2

P.NacuaTargets: 10+5.1

B.BowersTargets: 9+3.3

T.TuckerTargets: 12+2.8

D.AllenTargets: 5+1.9

Cost their side the most

K.CousinsDropbacks: 50-9.1

C.WhiteTargets: 3-6.2

J.NailorTargets: 6-6.1

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Matthew StaffordQB	23/29	195	6.7	3	1	1-8	79.7	114.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Kyren WilliamsRB	16	99	6.2	1	17
Blake CorumRB	17	93	5.5	1	17
Puka NacuaWR	2	10	5.0	0	7
Matthew StaffordQB	3	-3	-1.0	0	-1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Puka NacuaWR	8	10	68	8.5	1	13
Colby ParkinsonTE	5	6	48	9.6	0	15
Kyren WilliamsRB	2	2	22	11.0	0	14
Davis AllenTE	4	5	20	5.0	2	6
Konata MumpfieldWR	1	2	15	15.0	0	15
Tyler HigbeeTE	2	3	14	7.0	0	15
Blake CorumRB	1	1	8	8.0	0	8

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Quentin LakeS	7	4	0	0	1	0
Omar SpeightsLB	6	5	0	2	0	0
Josh WallaceCB	6	3	0	0	1	0
Byron YoungLB	6	2	1	0	0	1
Jaylen McColloughS	5	2	0	0	0	0
Kamren KinchensS	5	2	0	0	1	0
Braden FiskeDE	4	3	1	1	0	1
Kam CurlS	4	2	0	1	0	0
Tyler DavisDE	4	2	0	0	0	0
Shaun DolacLB	3	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Brandon McManusPK	0/0	0.0	0	5/5	5

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Kirk CousinsQB	26/44	295	6.7	2	0	2-6	26.0	94.4
AJ ColeP	1/1	13	13.0	0	0	0-0	--	118.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Mike Washington Jr.RB	6	27	4.5	21
Ashton JeantyRB	8	15	1.9	8
Kirk CousinsQB	3	6	2.0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tre TuckerWR	5	12	103	20.6	1	41
Brock BowersTE	6	8	73	12.2	0	18
Ashton JeantyRB	8	8	61	7.6	1	22
Michael MayerTE	3	3	32	10.7	0	13
Jalen NailorWR	2	5	14	7.0	0	7
Connor HeywardFB	1	1	13	13.0	0	13
Ian ThomasTE	1	1	8	8.0	0	8
Cody WhiteWR	1	3	4	4.0	0	4
Mike Washington Jr.RB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Malik BensonWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Quay WalkerLB	12	6	2	0	0
Nakobe DeanLB	12	3	0	1	0
Darien PorterCB	7	6	0	0	0
Jeremy ChinnS	7	3	0	0	0
Tommy EichenbergLB	7	2	0	0	0
Hezekiah MassesCB	6	5	0	0	0
Adam ButlerDT	5	1	0	0	1
Maxx CrosbyDE	4	2	1	0	1
Treydan StukesS	4	1	0	0	0
Eric StokesCB	3	1	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Matt GayPK	3/4	75.0	36	0/0	9

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 6 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Raiders pass protection vs Rams pass rush
The Raiders' pass protection ranks 4th in sack rate (3.4% sacked, 233 dropbacks) against a Rams pass rush ranked 28th (3.9% of dropbacks, 203 dropbacks faced).
4thLV offense24 spots apart28thLAR defense
2Rams run defense vs Raiders run game
The Rams' run defense ranks 13th in EPA per rush (-0.11 allowed, 164 rushes faced) and faces a Raiders run game ranked 29th (-0.22, 145 rushes).
29thLV offense16 spots apart13thLAR defense
3Raiders takeaway defense vs Rams ball security
The Raiders' takeaway defense ranks 3rd in turnovers per game (1.7 takeaways a game, 6 games) and faces a Rams ball security ranked 21st (1.5 giveaways a game, 6 games).
21stLAR offense18 spots apart3rdLV defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Rams have the ballEdge LAR · +10 ranks

LAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLV pass defense

15th+0.08266 dropbacks

LAR +10

+0.13 allowed221 dropbacks faced25th

LAR run gameEPA per rushLV run defense

12th-0.04138 rushes

-0.11 allowed145 rushes faced12th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Raiders have the ballEdge LAR · +16 ranks

LV dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAR pass defense

9th+0.17233 dropbacks

+0.02 allowed203 dropbacks faced16th

LV run gameEPA per rushLAR run defense

29th-0.22145 rushes

LAR +16

-0.11 allowed164 rushes faced13th

Third downEdge LAR · +14 ranks

LAR third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLV third-down defense

7th45.9%74 third downs

LAR +14

42.5% allowed73 third downs faced21st

LV third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAR third-down defense

8th44.7%76 third downs

34.2% allowed73 third downs faced8th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge LAR · +15 ranks

LAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLV red-zone defense

13th63%24 trips

LAR +15

74% allowed23 trips faced28th

LV red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAR red-zone defense

21st52%25 trips

LAR +11

52% allowed21 trips faced10th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge LAR · +14 ranks

LAR big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLV defense against big plays

16th9.2%404 plays

LAR +14

11.5% allowed366 plays faced30th

LV big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAR defense against big plays

21st8.2%378 plays

LAR +11

8.2% allowed367 plays faced10th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge LV · +24 ranks

LAR pass protectionsack rateLV pass rush

5th3.8% sacked266 dropbacks

LAR +8

6.8% of dropbacks221 dropbacks faced13th

LV pass protectionsack rateLAR pass rush

4th3.4% sacked233 dropbacks

LV +24

3.9% of dropbacks203 dropbacks faced28th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge LV · +18 ranks

LAR ball securityturnovers per gameLV takeaway defense

21st1.5 giveaways a game6 games

LV +18

1.7 takeaways a game6 games3rd

LV ball securityturnovers per gameLAR takeaway defense

13th1.0 giveaways a game6 games

1.0 takeaways a game6 games20th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LAR 6 games, 404 offensive and 367 defensive plays · LV 6 games, 378 offensive and 366 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

CJ DanielsWR→ Puka Nacua

Ty HamiltonNT→ Tyler Davis

Nate LandmanLILB→ Josaiah Stewart

Myles GarrettSLB→ Wesley Bailey

Trent McDuffieRCB→ Jaylen Watson

Fernando MendozaQB→ Kirk Cousins

Connor HeywardFB→ Mike Washington Jr.

Jack BechWR→ Malik Benson

Trey Zuhn IIIRG→ Caleb Rogers

Tonka HemingwayRDE→ Tommy Eichenberg

AwayRams1 next man up · 2 questionable · 5 changes