Browns 27, Titans 24: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Nissan StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
CLE	7	10	0	10	27
TEN	14	0	0	10	24

Home · 1-7TennesseeTitans24

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

The Cleveland Browns beat the Tennessee Titans 27-24 on Sun, Oct 25 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN (Week 7, 2026 season). Records after the game: Browns 5-4, Titans 1-7. K.Concepcion (CLE) led all players with +7.8 EPA on 10 targets.

Who won Browns vs Titans?

The Cleveland Browns won 27-24. By quarter: CLE 7-10-0-10, TEN 14-0-0-10.

Who was the best player in Browns vs Titans?

By expected points added: K.Concepcion (CLE, +7.8 EPA on 10 targets), Q.Judkins (CLE, +3.7 EPA on 17 carries) and D.Watson (CLE, +2.8 EPA on 38 dropbacks).

What was the turning point of Browns vs Titans?

The biggest swing in win probability (24 points toward the Titans) came in Q4 at 1:13: (Shotgun) C.Ward pass deep left to C.Tate pushed ob at CLV 1 for 18 yards (M.Harden).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Browns 27, Titans 24: Week 7 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-25-cle-at-ten (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 7 issue →

Week 7EarnedGame file →

Browns56% success · +0.16 EPA/play

2724

Titans40% success · −0.05 EPA/play

CLE 96% deserveddeserved 4% TEN

Browns earned it: the snaps said Browns by 9.7, a deserved win probability of 96%.

Deserved marginCLE by 9.7

Real marginCLE by 3

Luck pts CLE−0.3

Luck pts TEN+2.2

The swingQ4 0:28 · CLE · +23 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 44-H.Fannin to TEN 19 for 36 yards (23-K.Winston).

Flags that moved this game

1Defensive OffsideTEN → helped CLE · Wk 7 Q2 2:27 · 4-D.Watson up the middle to TEN 9 for 2 yards (50-C.Barton). PENALTY on TEN-98-J.Simmons, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced…+7.1 WP
2Defensive Too Many Men on FieldCLE → helped TEN · Wk 7 Q3 9:06 · (Punt formation) PENALTY on CLE, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at TEN 20 - No Play.+6.9 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1CLE · 4th & 5Todd Monken chose Punt at opp 48, Wk 7 Q3 11:24, up 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.41 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA148 plays, one strand1 lead change · 14 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewScott Novak13 accepted flags in this game · 18.2 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: CLE by 1.5 · Snaps: CLE by 9.7Browns covered; the snaps agree

27@24

Week 7Changes the winner

If the 32-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Titans after the play0%what really happened

Q4 0:03 25-A.Szmyt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

TEN ▲CLE ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+24%Q4 1:13 · for TEN(Shotgun) C.Ward pass deep left to C.Tate pushed ob at CLV 1 for 18 yards (M.Harden).
+20%Q4 0:28 · for CLE(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin to TEN 19 for 36 yards (K.Winston).
+15%Q4 2:33 · for TEN(Shotgun) C.Ward pass deep middle to E.Ayomanor to CLV 17 for 26 yards (R.Hickman) [S.Williams].
+12%Q4 4:34 · for CLE(Shotgun) D.Watson left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+10%Q4 0:58 · for CLE(Shotgun) T.Pollard up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.

Every drive, on the field

TEN attacks →← CLE attacks

Q1 15:00TD6p · 65y · 2:03
Q1 12:57INT5p · 11y · 2:16
Q1 10:41TD4p · 24y · 2:06
Q1 8:35TD6p · 73y · 3:03
Q1 5:32PUNT3p · 3y · 1:20
Q1 4:12PUNT3p · 5y · 1:42
Q1 2:30DOWNS14p · 55y · 7:56
Q2 9:34FUM6p · 39y · 2:27
Q2 7:07INT1p · 0y · 0:06
Q2 7:01TD8p · 78y · 4:44
Q2 2:17PUNT3p · 4y · 0:32
Q2 1:45FG10p · 64y · 1:45
Q3 15:00PUNT7p · 33y · 3:43
Q3 11:17FUM6p · 27y · 2:51
Q3 8:26PUNT3p · -7y · 1:58
Q3 6:28PUNT5p · 20y · 2:53
Q3 3:35MISS9p · 57y · 4:31
Q4 14:04FG10p · 56y · 5:23
Q4 8:41TD8p · 71y · 4:07
Q4 4:34TD11p · 63y · 3:36
Q4 0:58FG4p · 55y · 0:58

Browns11 drives5scoring drives (3 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 24avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Titans10 drives4scoring drives (3 TD)40%drives ending in pointsOWN 37avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
12:57Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.Pollard right tackle for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.0–7
Q1
8:35Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Pollard left end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.0–14
Q1
5:32TouchdownQ.Judkins right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.7–14
Q2
2:17Touchdown(Shotgun) Q.Judkins left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.14–14
Q2
0:00Field goal A.Szmyt 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.17–14
Q4
8:41Field goalJ.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend. ** Injury Update: TEN-T.Townsend has returned to the game.17–17
Q4
4:34Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Watson left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.24–17
Q4
0:58Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Pollard up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.24–24
Q4
0:00Field goal A.Szmyt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.27–24

Team stats

CLEvsTEN

491Total yards322

308Passing yards181

183Rushing yards141

7.4Yards per play5.2

26First downs18

5-11 · 45%Third down5-13 · 38%

0-0Fourth down1-2

3-5Red zone TDs2-4

25/36Comp / att20/31

6.3Yards per carry4.7

2Turnovers2

1 (−0 yds)Sacks allowed1 (−0 yds)

8 for 48Penalties5 for 35

31:14Possession28:46

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.147-0.060

Dropback EPA+0.074+0.009

Rush EPA+0.245-0.138

Success rate56%40%

Explosive plays115

Plays6662

Who moved the needle

K.ConcepcionTargets: 10+7.8

Q.JudkinsCarries: 17+3.7

D.WatsonDropbacks: 38+2.8

D.SampsonTargets: 3+2.6

E.AyomanorTargets: 7+2.6

C.TateTargets: 7+2.0

Cost their side the most

D.BostonTargets: 8-7.1

W.RobinsonTargets: 6-4.3

T.PollardCarries: 25-2.7

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Deshaun WatsonQB	25/36	308	8.6	0	1	1-0	53.1	84.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Quinshon JudkinsRB	17	96	5.6	2	30
Dylan SampsonRB	6	45	7.5	0	19
KC ConcepcionWR	3	23	7.7	0	18
Deshaun WatsonQB	3	19	6.3	1	9

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
KC ConcepcionWR	8	10	129	16.1	32
Harold Fannin Jr.TE	6	9	91	15.2	36
Dylan SampsonRB	3	3	32	10.7	22
Denzel BostonWR	3	8	27	9.0	15
Jerry JeudyWR	4	4	21	5.3	8
Quinshon JudkinsRB	1	1	8	8.0	8

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Quincy WilliamsLB	10	7	0	2	0	0
Ronnie HickmanS	10	6	0	0	0	0
Carson SchwesingerLB	8	4	0	0	0	0
Grant DelpitS	6	5	0	0	1	2
Sam WilliamsLB	5	3	0	2	0	1
Myles HardenCB	4	2	0	1	1	0
Tyson CampbellCB	4	1	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS	3	3	0	1	0	0
Adin HuntingtonDE	2	2	1	0	0	1
Denzel WardCB	2	1	0	0	3	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Andre SzmytPK	2/3	66.7	32	3/3	9

Tennessee Titans

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Cam WardQB	20/31	181	5.8	0	1	1-0	66.3	66.7

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tony PollardRB	25	129	5.2	3	36
Michael CarterRB	3	7	2.3	0	3
Cam WardQB	2	5	2.5	0	5

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Carnell TateWR	5	7	69	13.8	18
Elic AyomanorWR	3	7	44	14.7	26
Tony PollardRB	3	3	26	8.7	16
Gunnar HelmTE	3	4	24	8.0	14
Michael CarterRB	1	1	7	7.0	7
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR	4	6	7	1.8	7
Daniel BellingerTE	1	2	4	4.0	4
Chimere DikeWR	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	PD	QB HTS
Kevin Winston Jr.S	14	8	0	0	0
Anthony Hill Jr.LB	12	5	0	0	0
Marcus HarrisCB	7	1	0	0	0
Joshua WilliamsCB	6	2	0	0	0
Amani HookerS	5	2	0	0	0
Cedric GrayLB	5	2	0	0	0
Cor'Dale FlottCB	4	3	0	1	0
Jeffery SimmonsDT	4	2	0	1	2
Oluwafemi OladejoDE	3	2	1	0	1
Timmy HorneDT	3	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Joey SlyePK	1/1	100.0	29	3/3	6

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 6 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Titans pass rush vs Browns pass protection
The Titans' pass rush ranks 7th in sack rate (7.5% of dropbacks, 213 dropbacks faced) and faces a Browns pass protection ranked 32nd (10.8% sacked, 222 dropbacks).
32ndCLE offense25 spots apart7thTEN defense
2Browns pass defense vs Titans dropback offense
The Browns' pass defense ranks 11th in EPA per dropback (-0.00 allowed, 233 dropbacks faced) and faces a Titans dropback offense ranked 30th (-0.18, 200 dropbacks).
30thTEN offense19 spots apart11thCLE defense
3Browns red-zone defense vs Titans red-zone offense
The Browns' red-zone defense ranks 5th in red-zone touchdown rate (47% allowed, 15 trips faced) and faces a Titans red-zone offense ranked 30th (47%, 15 trips).
30thTEN offense25 spots apart5thCLE defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Browns have the ballEdge TEN · +16 ranks

CLE dropback offenseEPA per dropbackTEN pass defense

21st+0.01222 dropbacks

+0.14 allowed213 dropbacks faced27th

CLE run gameEPA per rushTEN run defense

31st-0.26127 rushes

TEN +16

-0.08 allowed173 rushes faced15th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Titans have the ballEdge CLE · +19 ranks

TEN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCLE pass defense

30th-0.18200 dropbacks

CLE +19

-0.00 allowed233 dropbacks faced11th

TEN run gameEPA per rushCLE run defense

18th-0.10118 rushes

-0.08 allowed143 rushes faced16th

Third downEdge TEN · +16 ranks

CLE third-down offensethird-down conversion rateTEN third-down defense

32nd30.8%78 third downs

TEN +16

40.5% allowed79 third downs faced16th

TEN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCLE third-down defense

27th34.8%69 third downs

CLE +10

40.7% allowed86 third downs faced17th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge CLE · +25 ranks

CLE red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateTEN red-zone defense

22nd50%12 trips

TEN +8

55% allowed20 trips faced14th

TEN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCLE red-zone defense

30th47%15 trips

CLE +25

47% allowed15 trips faced5th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge TEN · +8 ranks

CLE big-play offenseexplosive-play rateTEN defense against big plays

26th7.2%349 plays

TEN +8

9.3% allowed386 plays faced18th

TEN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCLE defense against big plays

29th6.3%318 plays

11.4% allowed376 plays faced29th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge TEN · +25 ranks

CLE pass protectionsack rateTEN pass rush

32nd10.8% sacked222 dropbacks

TEN +25

7.5% of dropbacks213 dropbacks faced7th

TEN pass protectionsack rateCLE pass rush

11th5.0% sacked200 dropbacks

8.2% of dropbacks233 dropbacks faced5th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CLE · +14 ranks

CLE ball securityturnovers per gameTEN takeaway defense

13th1.0 giveaways a game6 games

CLE +14

0.8 takeaways a game6 games27th

TEN ball securityturnovers per gameCLE takeaway defense

13th1.0 giveaways a game6 games

1.2 takeaways a game6 games14th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: CLE 6 games, 349 offensive and 376 defensive plays · TEN 6 games, 318 offensive and 386 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Michael BurtonFB→ Dylan Sampson

Easton Mascarenas-ArnoldWLB→ Sam Williams

Solomon ThomasRDT→ Jeffery Simmons

AwayBrowns2 questionable · 2 changes