Eagles 7, Bears 27: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 3 · Mon, Sep 28 · Soldier FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	0	7	0	0	7
CHI	7	3	10	7	27

Home · 7-2ChicagoBears27

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

The Chicago Bears beat the Philadelphia Eagles 27-7 on Mon, Sep 28 at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL (Week 3, 2026 season). Records after the game: Eagles 2-7, Bears 7-2. K.Raymond (CHI) led all players with +7.0 EPA on 7 targets.

Who won Eagles vs Bears?

The Chicago Bears won 27-7. By quarter: PHI 0-7-0-0, CHI 7-3-10-7.

Who was the best player in Eagles vs Bears?

By expected points added: K.Raymond (CHI, +7.0 EPA on 7 targets), C.Keenum (CHI, +6.5 EPA on 35 dropbacks) and S.Barkley (PHI, +2.2 EPA on 15 carries).

What was the turning point of Eagles vs Bears?

The biggest swing in win probability (15 points toward the Bears) came in Q2 at 6:21: (Shotgun) A.Dalton pass short middle intended for D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by D.Thieneman at CHI -9. Touchback.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Eagles 7, Bears 27: Week 3 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-28-phi-at-chi (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 3 issue →

Week 3EarnedGame file →

Eagles40% success · −0.27 EPA/play

727

Bears49% success · +0.07 EPA/play

PHI 1% deserveddeserved 100% CHI

Bears earned it: the snaps said Bears by 14.1, a deserved win probability of 100%.

Deserved marginCHI by 14.1

Real marginCHI by 20

Luck pts PHI−4.8

Luck pts CHI+3.9

The swingQ2 6:21 · PHI · −13 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 13-D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Thieneman at CHI -9. Touchback.

Flags that moved this game

1Intentional GroundingPHI → helped CHI · Wk 3 Q1 7:01 · 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete short middle. PENALTY on PHI-1-J.Hurts, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 40.+4.0 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceCHI → helped PHI · Wk 3 Q2 12:00 · (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass incomplete deep right to 6-D.Smith (21-C.Lewis). PENALTY on CHI-21-C.Lewis, Defensive Pass…+3.6 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA133 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 9 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewShawn Hochuli15 accepted flags in this game · 14.4 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: PHI by 3.5 · Snaps: CHI by 14.1Bears covered; the snaps agree

7@27

Week 3Changes the winner

If the Eagles had stopped that fourth-and-1

Eagles after the play34%what really happened

Q1 10:52 11-C.Keenum pass short left to 87-S.Roush to PHI 16 for 16 yards (53-Z.Baun).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

CHI ▲PHI ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+15%Q2 6:21 · for CHI(Shotgun) A.Dalton pass short middle intended for D.Wicks INTERCEPTED by D.Thieneman at CHI -9. Touchback.
+13%Q3 5:47 · for CHIC.Keenum pass short middle to K.Raymond for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.
+10%Q3 15:00 · for PHIC.Santos kicks 65 yards from CHI 35 to landing zone to end zone, Touchback to the PHI 20.
+9%Q1 10:52 · for CHIC.Keenum pass short left to S.Roush to PHI 16 for 16 yards (Z.Baun).
+8%Q1 1:15 · for CHI(Shotgun) J.Hurts pass short right to T.Bigsby to PHI 15 for 5 yards (A.Booker; D.Bush). FUMBLES (A.Booker), RECOVERED by CHI-X.Woods at PHI 15.

Every drive, on the field

CHI attacks →← PHI attacks

Q1 15:00TD11p · 66y · 6:13
Q1 8:47PUNT5p · 29y · 2:38
Q1 6:09PUNT7p · 34y · 4:18
Q1 1:51FUM2p · -5y · 0:47
Q1 1:04DOWNS6p · 12y · 2:05
Q2 13:59INT12p · 95y · 7:45
Q2 6:14FG11p · 69y · 4:22
Q2 1:52TD8p · 67y · 1:52
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 5y · 1:32
Q3 13:28FG7p · 38y · 3:11
Q3 10:17PUNT3p · -2y · 1:41
Q3 8:36TD5p · 71y · 2:49
Q3 5:47PUNT3p · 4y · 2:35
Q3 3:12PUNT3p · -2y · 0:39
Q3 2:33INT5p · 24y · 2:10
Q3 0:23TD13p · 58y · 8:04
Q4 7:19DOWNS6p · 21y · 2:07
Q4 5:12END8p · 40y · 5:12

Eagles9 drives1scoring drives (1 TD)11%drives ending in pointsOWN 27avg starting field position3three-and-outs4turnovers incl. downs

Bears8 drives5scoring drives (3 TD)63%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position1three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
8:47Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Keenum pass short middle to L.Burden for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.0–7
Q2
1:52Field goalC.Santos 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.0–10
Q2
0:00Touchdown(No Huddle) J.Hurts up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.7–10
Q3
10:17Field goal C.Santos 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.7–13
Q3
5:47TouchdownC.Keenum pass short middle to K.Raymond for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.7–20
Q4
7:19TouchdownC.Keenum up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-T.Taylor.PENALTY on CHI-J.Jackson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.7–27

Team stats

PHIvsCHI

248Total yards375

141Passing yards247

107Rushing yards128

5.3Yards per play5.4

14First downs24

2-9 · 22%Third down5-13 · 38%

0-2Fourth down2-3

1-2Red zone TDs2-5

16/26Comp / att24/34

5.6Yards per carry3.7

3Turnovers0

2 (−12 yds)Sacks allowed0

10 for 61Penalties5 for 45

23:07Possession36:53

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.304+0.093

Dropback EPA-0.635+0.185

Rush EPA+0.338-0.008

Success rate40%49%

Explosive plays54

Plays4767

Who moved the needle

K.RaymondTargets: 7+7.0

C.KeenumDropbacks: 35+6.5

S.BarkleyCarries: 15+2.2

C.LovelandTargets: 4+1.7

D.SwiftTargets: 3-0.4

D.SmithTargets: 8-0.8

Cost their side the most

J.HurtsDropbacks: 30-14.1

D.WicksTargets: 5-4.4

C.KeenumCarries: 3-3.0

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jalen HurtsQB	16/25	153	6.1	0	1	2-12	43.2	64.2
Andy DaltonQB	0/1	0	0.0	0	1	0-0	0.0	0.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Saquon BarkleyRB	15	82	5.5	0	17
Jalen HurtsQB	4	25	6.3	1	20

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
DeVonta SmithWR	6	8	65	10.8	30
Dontayvion WicksWR	2	5	32	16.0	19
Makai LemonWR	3	4	29	9.7	19
Will ShipleyRB	1	2	11	11.0	11
Zach ErtzTE	1	2	9	9.0	9
Tank BigsbyRB	1	1	5	5.0	5
Johnny MundtTE	1	1	4	4.0	4
Saquon BarkleyRB	1	2	-2	-2.0	-2

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Zack BaunLB	9	5	2	1	0
Andrew MukubaS	9	4	0	0	0
Jihaad CampbellLB	9	4	0	0	0
Quinyon MitchellCB	7	6	2	2	0
Marcus EppsS	5	4	0	0	0
Riq WoolenCB	5	3	0	0	0
Cooper DeJeanCB	5	2	0	2	0
Michael Carter IICB	4	3	0	0	0
Jalyx HuntLB	3	2	0	0	1
Jalen CarterDT	3	2	1	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jake ElliottPK	0/0	0.0	0	1/1	1

Chicago Bears

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Case KeenumQB	24/34	247	7.3	2	0	0-0	74.1	110.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
D'Andre SwiftRB	20	84	4.2	0	15
Kyle MonangaiRB	10	31	3.1	0	8
Luther Burden IIIWR	1	7	7.0	0	7
Case KeenumQB	4	6	1.5	1	7

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Kalif RaymondWR	6	7	90	15.0	1	41
Luther Burden IIIWR	7	11	61	8.7	1	25
Rome OdunzeWR	3	6	44	14.7	0	22
Colston LovelandTE	4	4	31	7.8	0	12
Sam RoushTE	1	1	16	16.0	0	16
D'Andre SwiftRB	2	3	4	2.0	0	4
Zavion ThomasWR	1	1	1	1.0	0	1
Cole KmetTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Dillon ThienemanS	6	4	0	0	1	0
Jaylon JohnsonCB	5	5	0	1	0	0
Devin BushLB	5	3	0	1	0	0
Xavier Woods	5	2	0	0	0	0
Malik Muhammad IICB	5	2	0	0	0	1
Elijah HicksS	4	3	0	0	0	0
Austin BookerDE	4	3	0	0	0	1
T.J. EdwardsLB	3	2	0	1	3	0
Cam LewisCB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Dayo OdeyingboDE	3	1	1	1	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Cairo SantosPK	2/2	100.0	48	3/3	9

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 2 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Bears run game vs Eagles run defense
The Bears' run game ranks 7th in EPA per rush (+0.01, 60 rushes) against a Eagles run defense ranked 25th (+0.02 allowed, 56 rushes faced).
7thCHI offense18 spots apart25thPHI defense
2Bears third-down offense vs Eagles third-down defense
The Bears' third-down offense ranks 5th in third-down conversion rate (51.7%, 29 third downs) against a Eagles third-down defense ranked 17th (39.3% allowed, 28 third downs faced).
5thCHI offense12 spots apart17thPHI defense
3Bears pass rush vs Eagles pass protection
The Bears' pass rush ranks 11th in sack rate (7.5% of dropbacks, 67 dropbacks faced) and faces a Eagles pass protection ranked 23rd (8.0% sacked, 75 dropbacks).
23rdPHI offense12 spots apart11thCHI defense

When the Eagles have the ballEdge PHI · +11 ranks

PHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCHI pass defense

12th+0.1875 dropbacks

PHI +11

+0.20 allowed67 dropbacks faced23rd

PHI run gameEPA per rushCHI run defense

20th-0.1448 rushes

-0.14 allowed46 rushes faced15th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Bears have the ballEdge CHI · +18 ranks

CHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPHI pass defense

8th+0.2579 dropbacks

CHI +10

+0.11 allowed63 dropbacks faced18th

CHI run gameEPA per rushPHI run defense

7th+0.0160 rushes

CHI +18

+0.02 allowed56 rushes faced25th

Third downEdge CHI · +12 ranks

PHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCHI third-down defense

4th53.1%32 third downs

31.8% allowed22 third downs faced8th

CHI third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePHI third-down defense

5th51.7%29 third downs

CHI +12

39.3% allowed28 third downs faced17th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge PHI · +8 ranks

PHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCHI red-zone defense

19th57%7 trips

PHI +8

80% allowed5 trips faced27th

CHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePHI red-zone defense

19th57%7 trips

71% allowed7 trips faced20th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge CHI · +13 ranks

PHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCHI defense against big plays

22nd8.1%123 plays

10.6% allowed113 plays faced21st

CHI big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePHI defense against big plays

4th12.2%139 plays

CHI +13

10.1% allowed119 plays faced17th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CHI · +12 ranks

PHI pass protectionsack rateCHI pass rush

23rd8.0% sacked75 dropbacks

CHI +12

7.5% of dropbacks67 dropbacks faced11th

CHI pass protectionsack ratePHI pass rush

20th7.6% sacked79 dropbacks

4.8% of dropbacks63 dropbacks faced25th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CHI · +9 ranks

PHI ball securityturnovers per gameCHI takeaway defense

14th1.0 giveaways a game2 games

1.0 takeaways a game2 games12th

CHI ball securityturnovers per gamePHI takeaway defense

21st1.5 giveaways a game2 games

CHI +9

0.0 takeaways a game2 games30th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: PHI 2 games, 123 offensive and 119 defensive plays · CHI 2 games, 139 offensive and 113 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Joe MiltonQB→ Jalen Hurts

Darius CooperWR→ DeVonta Smith

Hollywood BrownWR→ Dontayvion Wicks

Dallas GoedertTE→ Johnny Mundt

Landon DickersonLG→ Lane Johnson

Markel BellRT→ Cam Jurgens

Byron YoungLDE→ Jordan Davis

Jeremiah Trotter Jr.RILB→ Jihaad Campbell

Jonathan GreenardSLB→ Jalyx Hunt

Caleb WilliamsQB→ Case Keenum

Jeffery SimmonsRDT→ Dayo Odeyingbo