Titans 7, Giants 12: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27 · MetLife StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
TEN	0	0	0	7	7
NYG	3	6	3	0	12

Home · 5-2-1New YorkGiants12

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 4:03 AM ET

The New York Giants beat the Tennessee Titans 12-7 on Sun, Sep 27 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (Week 3, 2026 season). Records after the game: Titans 1-7, Giants 5-2-1. C.Skattebo (NYG) led all players with +2.3 EPA on 4 targets.

Who won Titans vs Giants?

The New York Giants won 12-7. By quarter: TEN 0-0-0-7, NYG 3-6-3-0.

Who was the best player in Titans vs Giants?

By expected points added: C.Skattebo (NYG, +2.3 EPA on 4 targets), D.Mooney (NYG, +1.7 EPA on 3 targets) and C.Tate (TEN, +1.7 EPA on 9 targets).

What was the turning point of Titans vs Giants?

The biggest swing in win probability (63 points toward the Giants) came in Q4 at 0:24: (Shotgun) C.Ward pass short left intended for E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback.PENALTY on NYG-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Titans 7, Giants 12: Week 3 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-27-ten-at-nyg (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 3 issue →

Week 3Coin flipGame file →

Titans40% success · −0.15 EPA/play

712

Giants39% success · −0.17 EPA/play

TEN 52% deserveddeserved 48% NYG

Giants won a coin flip: the snaps had it 48% for Giants.

Deserved marginTEN by 0.3

Real marginNYG by 5

Luck pts TEN−0.7

Luck pts NYG+1.6

The swingQ4 0:24 · TEN · −46 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.

Flags that moved this game

1EncroachmentNYG → helped TEN · Wk 3 Q4 0:50 · (Run formation) PENALTY on NYG-49-T.Edmunds, Encroachment, 6 yards, enforced at NYG 24 - No Play.+12.5 WP
2Offensive HoldingTEN → helped NYG · Wk 3 Q4 12:55 · 15-J.Stout punts 64 yards to TEN 21, Center-58-B.Mann. 17-C.Dike MUFFS catch, and recovers at TEN 18. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 12…+3.7 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1NYG · 4th & 21John Harbaugh chose Punt at opp 38, Wk 3 Q1 12:22, tied. Model: Field goal (clear call). Result: punted.−1.16 EP
2TEN · 4th & 3Robert Saleh chose Punt at own 42, Wk 3 Q1 4:19, down 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.52 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA142 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 6 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewAlan Eck17 accepted flags in this game · 14.3 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: NYG by 2.5 · Snaps: TEN by 0.3Giants covered; the snaps say Titans should have

7@12

Week 3Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Titans after the play3%what really happened

Q4 0:24 1-C.Ward pass short left intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-3-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

NYG ▲TEN ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+63%Q4 0:24 · for NYG(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short left intended for E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback.PENALTY on NYG-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at NYG 20.
+28%Q4 0:44 · for TEN(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short left to E.Ayomanor to NYG 7 for 11 yards (J.Pinnock).
+14%Q4 0:50 · for TEN(Run formation) PENALTY on NYG-T.Edmunds, Encroachment, 6 yards, enforced at NYG 24 - No Play.
+11%Q4 2:16 · for TEN(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to T.Pollard pushed ob at NYG 44 for 18 yards (T.Edmunds).
+10%Q4 0:50 · for NYG(Shotgun) C.Ward pass incomplete short middle to W.Robinson (A.Reese).

Every drive, on the field

NYG attacks →← TEN attacks

Q1 15:00FUM0p · 0y · 0:09
Q1 14:51PUNT5p · -1y · 2:38
Q1 12:13PUNT3p · 5y · 1:24
Q1 10:49FG8p · 50y · 4:15
Q1 6:34PUNT3p · 7y · 2:23
Q1 4:11PUNT3p · 6y · 1:28
Q1 2:43PUNT3p · 1y · 1:33
Q1 1:10PUNT3p · 0y · 2:32
Q2 13:38PUNT3p · 3y · 1:39
Q2 11:59FG11p · 44y · 7:10
Q2 4:49PUNT3p · 6y · 1:58
Q2 2:51PUNT3p · -1y · 1:27
Q2 1:24MISS5p · 12y · 0:43
Q2 0:41FG7p · 30y · 0:41
Q3 15:00FG12p · 59y · 8:04
Q3 6:56DOWNS12p · 68y · 5:51
Q3 1:05PUNT5p · 8y · 3:22
Q4 12:43TD13p · 91y · 7:08
Q4 5:35PUNT4p · 12y · 2:32
Q4 3:03INT13p · 70y · 2:46
Q4 0:17END1p · -1y · 0:17

Titans10 drives1scoring drives (1 TD)10%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position5three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Giants10 drives4scoring drives (0 TD)40%drives ending in pointsOWN 30avg starting field position3three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
6:34Field goalD.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.0–3
Q2
4:49Field goalD.Zvada 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.0–6
Q2
0:00Field goalD.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.0–9
Q3
6:56Field goalD.Zvada 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.0–12
Q4
5:35Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYG-C.Hood was injured during the play. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.7–12

Team stats

TENvsNYG

262Total yards238

181Passing yards100

81Rushing yards138

4.6Yards per play4.1

17First downs16

5-13 · 38%Third down4-13 · 31%

0-1Fourth down0-0

1-3Red zone TDs0-2

23/36Comp / att14/22

3.9Yards per carry4.2

2Turnovers0

0Sacks allowed3 (−18 yds)

7 for 63Penalties10 for 88

25:34Possession34:26

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.147-0.116

Dropback EPA-0.180-0.180

Rush EPA-0.089-0.062

Success rate40%39%

Explosive plays35

Plays5757

Who moved the needle

C.SkatteboTargets: 4+2.3

D.MooneyTargets: 3+1.7

C.TateTargets: 9+1.7—

N.HarrisCarries: 9+1.4

T.PollardTargets: 4+0.3

W.RobinsonTargets: 11-0.2

Cost their side the most

C.WardDropbacks: 36-6.5

C.SkatteboCarries: 20-5.3

J.WinstonDropbacks: 26-4.7

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Cam WardQB	23/36	181	5.0	1	1	0-0	42.5	74.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Tony PollardRB	17	74	4.4	16
Tyjae SpearsRB	3	5	1.7	3
Cam WardQB	1	2	2.0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Carnell TateWR	6	9	58	9.7	0	20
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR	7	11	57	8.1	1	16
Tony PollardRB	4	4	22	5.5	0	18
Daniel BellingerTE	2	2	16	8.0	0	10
Gunnar HelmTE	2	4	14	7.0	0	9
Elic AyomanorWR	1	3	11	11.0	0	11
Chimere DikeWR	1	1	3	3.0	0	3
Calvin RidleyWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jeffery SimmonsDT	10	5	1	2	0	2
Anthony Hill Jr.LB	8	4	0	0	0	0
Cedric GrayLB	7	3	0	0	0	0
Amani HookerS	6	5	0	0	1	0
Marcus HarrisCB	6	4	0	2	0	0
Cor'Dale FlottCB	5	2	0	0	0	0
Cody BartonLB	5	1	0	0	1	0
Alontae TaylorCB	4	4	1	1	0	1
Kevin Winston Jr.S	4	3	0	0	0	0
Jermaine Johnson IIDE	4	0	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Joey SlyePK	0/1	0.0	0	1/1	1

New York Giants

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jameis WinstonQB	14/22	118	5.4	0	0	3-18	27.8	77.5

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Cam SkatteboRB	20	60	3.0	13
Najee Harris	9	52	5.8	11
Jameis WinstonQB	2	14	7.0	15
Darnell MooneyWR	1	9	9.0	9
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB	1	3	3.0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Cam SkatteboRB	3	4	40	13.3	30
Malik NabersWR	5	6	26	5.2	12
Darnell MooneyWR	2	3	20	10.0	13
Malachi FieldsWR	2	2	19	9.5	10
Isaiah LikelyTE	2	5	13	6.5	10
Odell Beckham Jr.WR	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Arvell ReeseLB	13	10	1	1	0
Dru PhillipsCB	11	8	0	0	0
Tremaine EdmundsLB	10	6	0	1	1
Colton HoodCB	4	3	0	0	0
Jason PinnockS	3	3	1	0	0
Greg Newsome IICB	3	1	0	2	0
Chauncey GolstonDE	2	2	0	0	0
Shelby HarrisDT	2	0	0	0	0
Jevon HollandS	2	0	0	2	0
DJ ReaderDT	1	1	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Dominic ZvadaPK	4/4	100.0	39	0/0	12

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 2 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Titans defense against big plays vs Giants big-play offense
The Titans' defense against big plays ranks 10th in explosive-play rate (8.3% allowed, 132 plays faced) and faces a Giants big-play offense ranked 32nd (4.2%, 120 plays).
32ndNYG offense22 spots apart10thTEN defense

When the Titans have the ballEdge TEN · +17 ranks

TEN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNYG pass defense

25th-0.0663 dropbacks

+0.43 allowed68 dropbacks faced31st

TEN run gameEPA per rushNYG run defense

5th+0.0437 rushes

TEN +17

-0.04 allowed40 rushes faced22nd

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Giants have the ballEdge NYG · +9 ranks

NYG dropback offenseEPA per dropbackTEN pass defense

17th+0.0767 dropbacks

NYG +9

+0.25 allowed68 dropbacks faced26th

NYG run gameEPA per rushTEN run defense

14th-0.0853 rushes

-0.06 allowed64 rushes faced18th

Third downEdge NYG · +16 ranks

TEN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNYG third-down defense

17th40.0%25 third downs

TEN +14

68.4% allowed19 third downs faced31st

NYG third-down offensethird-down conversion rateTEN third-down defense

6th50.0%24 third downs

NYG +16

44.8% allowed29 third downs faced22nd

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge TEN · +14 ranks

TEN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNYG red-zone defense

17th60%5 trips

TEN +14

100% allowed6 trips faced31st

NYG red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateTEN red-zone defense

10th67%6 trips

57% allowed7 trips faced13th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge TEN · +22 ranks

TEN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNYG defense against big plays

19th9.0%100 plays

11.1% allowed108 plays faced23rd

NYG big-play offenseexplosive-play rateTEN defense against big plays

32nd4.2%120 plays

TEN +22

8.3% allowed132 plays faced10th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge NYG · +11 ranks

TEN pass protectionsack rateNYG pass rush

22nd7.9% sacked63 dropbacks

TEN +9

1.5% of dropbacks68 dropbacks faced31st

NYG pass protectionsack rateTEN pass rush

15th6.0% sacked67 dropbacks

NYG +11

4.4% of dropbacks68 dropbacks faced26th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

TEN ball securityturnovers per gameNYG takeaway defense

1st0.0 giveaways a game2 games

1.5 takeaways a game2 games7th

NYG ball securityturnovers per gameTEN takeaway defense

14th1.0 giveaways a game2 games

1.0 takeaways a game2 games12th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: TEN 2 games, 100 offensive and 132 defensive plays · NYG 2 games, 120 offensive and 108 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Atonio MafiRG→ Jackson Slater

Solomon ThomasRDT→ Jeffery Simmons

Joshua WilliamsLCB→ Alontae Taylor

Tony AdamsSS→ Amani Hooker

J.J. McCarthyQB→ Jameis Winston

Devin SingletaryRB→ Cam Skattebo

Bryan HudsonC→ Francis Mauigoa

Aaron StinnieRG→ John Michael Schmitz Jr.

Darius AlexanderRDE→ Chauncey Golston

Micah McFaddenRILB→ Tremaine Edmunds

Deonte BanksLCB→ Colton Hood