Ravens 34, Cowboys 31: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27 · Maracanã StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
BAL	7	10	7	10	34
DAL	10	3	8	10	31

Home · 4-5DallasCowboys31

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Dallas Cowboys 34-31 on Sun, Sep 27 at Maracanã Stadium in Rio De Janeiro (Week 3, 2026 season). Records after the game: Ravens 4-5, Cowboys 4-5. L.Jackson (BAL) led all players with +12.6 EPA on 22 dropbacks.

Who won Ravens vs Cowboys?

The Baltimore Ravens won 34-31. By quarter: BAL 7-10-7-10, DAL 10-3-8-10.

Who was the best player in Ravens vs Cowboys?

By expected points added: L.Jackson (BAL, +12.6 EPA on 22 dropbacks), C.Lamb (DAL, +11.1 EPA on 9 targets) and D.Prescott (DAL, +7.7 EPA on 46 dropbacks).

What was the turning point of Ravens vs Cowboys?

The biggest swing in win probability (48 points toward the Ravens) came in Q4 at 0:00: T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Ravens 34, Cowboys 31: Week 3 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-27-bal-at-dal (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 3 issue →

Week 3RobbedGame file →

Ravens50% success · +0.13 EPA/play

3431

Cowboys47% success · +0.16 EPA/play

BAL 26% deserveddeserved 74% DAL

Cowboys played like a 3.5-point better team. A team that plays like that wins 74% of the time. Cowboys lost.

Deserved marginDAL by 3.5

Real marginBAL by 3

Luck pts BAL+1.4

Luck pts DAL−1.6

The swingQ4 0:01 · BAL · +27 pts of win probability. 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.

Flags that moved this game

1Defensive Pass InterferenceDAL → helped BAL · Wk 3 Q2 11:37 · (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to 81-D.Walker. PENALTY on DAL-14-M.Bell, Defensive Pass Interference, 49…+19.0 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceBAL → helped DAL · Wk 3 Q4 0:28 · (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 88-C.Lamb (2-N.Wiggins). PENALTY on BAL-2-N.Wiggins, Defensive Pass…+11.3 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA153 plays, one strand3 lead changes · 13 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewJohn Hussey16 accepted flags in this game · 13.9 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: BAL by 3 · Snaps: DAL by 3.5A push against the line; the snaps say Cowboys should have

34@31

Week 3Changes the winner

If the 56-yard kick at the gun had missed: overtime

Cowboys after the play0%what really happened

Q4 0:01 33-T.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

DAL ▲BAL ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+48%Q4 0:00 · for BALT.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.
+30%Q4 0:28 · for DAL(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to C.Lamb (N.Wiggins).PENALTY on BLT-N.Wiggins, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at BLT 22 - No Play.
+27%Q4 1:54 · for BAL (Shotgun) L.Jackson pass short left to Z.Flowers to DAL 2 for 14 yards (D.Winters).
+18%Q4 1:30 · for BALL.Jackson pass short middle to M.Hibner for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.
+17%Q4 0:14 · for BALD.Prescott pass incomplete short right to G.Pickens.

Every drive, on the field

DAL attacks →← BAL attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 6y · 1:33
Q1 13:27FG11p · 57y · 5:17
Q1 8:10DOWNS4p · 9y · 2:04
Q1 6:06TD5p · 30y · 1:34
Q1 4:32TD6p · 60y · 3:14
Q1 1:18PUNT4p · 15y · 1:25
Q2 14:53TD6p · 89y · 3:30
Q2 11:23DOWNS4p · 8y · 2:05
Q2 9:18FG9p · 34y · 4:34
Q2 4:44FG11p · 45y · 4:26
Q2 0:18HALF1p · 4y · 0:18
Q3 15:00FUM9p · 40y · 4:26
Q3 10:34PUNT3p · -4y · 1:39
Q3 8:55MISS6p · 26y · 3:01
Q3 5:54TD4p · 51y · 2:10
Q3 3:44TD6p · 67y · 1:56
Q3 1:48DOWNS8p · 76y · 3:45
Q4 13:03TD7p · 96y · 3:21
Q4 9:42PUNT3p · 5y · 2:13
Q4 7:29PUNT3p · 4y · 1:44
Q4 5:45TD11p · 64y · 4:15
Q4 1:30FG9p · 60y · 1:23
Q4 0:07FG2p · 27y · 0:07

Ravens11 drives6scoring drives (4 TD)55%drives ending in pointsOWN 32avg starting field position3three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Cowboys11 drives6scoring drives (3 TD)55%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position1three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
8:10Field goalB.Aubrey 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.0–3
Q1
4:32Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Williams right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.0–10
Q1
1:18TouchdownE.Jones reported in as eligible. Direct snap to D.Henry. D.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.7–10
Q2
11:23TouchdownD.Henry right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.14–10
Q2
4:44Field goalT.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.17–10
Q2
0:18Field goal B.Aubrey 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.17–13
Q3
3:44TouchdownL.Jackson pass short right to C.Moore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.24–13
Q3
1:48Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass deep right to J.Ferguson for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. D.Prescott pass to C.Lamb is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.24–21
Q4
9:42TouchdownK.Turpin left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.24–28
Q4
1:30TouchdownL.Jackson pass short middle to M.Hibner for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.31–28
Q4
0:07Field goal B.Aubrey 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.31–31
Q4
0:00Field goalT.Loop 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.34–31

Team stats

BALvsDAL

378Total yards415

186Passing yards267

192Rushing yards148

6.5Yards per play5.8

23First downs27

3-9 · 33%Third down5-13 · 38%

0-2Fourth down1-2

4-6Red zone TDs3-5

15/20Comp / att25/40

5.1Yards per carry4.9

0Turnovers1

0Sacks allowed1 (−9 yds)

9 for 78Penalties7 for 88

29:22Possession30:38

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.134+0.104

Dropback EPA+0.573+0.166

Rush EPA-0.135-0.007

Success rate50%47%

Explosive plays115

Plays5872

Who moved the needle

L.JacksonDropbacks: 22+12.6

C.LambTargets: 9+11.1

D.PrescottDropbacks: 46+7.7

Z.FlowersTargets: 6+6.6

G.PickensTargets: 11+5.1

J.HillCarries: 5+2.6

Cost their side the most

D.HenryCarries: 26-10.8

J.FergusonTargets: 5-4.6

R.FlournoyTargets: 8-2.8

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Lamar JacksonQB	15/20	186	9.3	2	0	0-0	95.3	136.7

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Derrick HenryRB	26	89	3.4	2	29
Lamar JacksonQB	6	50	8.3	0	21
Justice HillRB	5	33	6.6	0	11
Zay FlowersWR	1	20	20.0	0	20

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Zay FlowersWR	5	6	84	16.8	0	27
Rashod BatemanWR	2	3	37	18.5	0	31
Mark AndrewsTE	3	5	24	8.0	0	10
Matt HibnerTE	2	2	23	11.5	1	21
Josh CuevasTE	1	1	14	14.0	0	14
Chris MooreWR	1	1	4	4.0	1	4
Derrick HenryRB	1	1	0	0.0	0	0
Devontez WalkerWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Roquan SmithLB	9	3	1	1	0	1
Jaylinn HawkinsS	8	5	0	0	0	0
Kyle HamiltonS	8	4	0	1	2	0
Trenton SimpsonLB	7	5	0	2	0	1
Marlon HumphreyCB	6	5	0	0	1	0
Malaki StarksS	6	4	0	0	0	0
Nate WigginsCB	4	3	0	0	1	0
Travis JonesDT	3	2	0	2	0	0
Mike GreenLB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Nnamdi MadubuikeDT	3	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Tyler LoopPK	2/2	100.0	56	4/4	10

Dallas Cowboys

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Dak PrescottQB	25/40	276	6.9	1	0	1-9	64.0	91.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Javonte WilliamsRB	19	98	5.2	1	22
Tyler GoodsonRB	6	22	3.7	0	10
Dak PrescottQB	4	19	4.8	0	7
KaVontae TurpinWR	1	9	9.0	1	9

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
CeeDee LambWR	7	8	112	16.0	0	49
George PickensWR	7	11	82	11.7	0	19
Jake FergusonTE	3	5	23	7.7	1	19
Ryan FlournoyWR	2	8	22	11.0	0	13
Brevyn Spann-FordTE	1	1	19	19.0	0	19
KaVontae TurpinWR	1	2	9	9.0	0	9
Luke SchoonmakerTE	1	1	9	9.0	0	9
Javonte WilliamsRB	2	3	5	2.5	0	3
Tyler GoodsonRB	1	1	-5	-5.0	0	-5

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	QB HTS
Markquese BellS	8	5	0	0
Dee WintersLB	7	4	0	0
Jaishawn BarhamLB	7	4	2	0
Otito OgbonniaDT	6	5	0	1
Shavon Revel Jr.CB	5	3	0	0
Donovan EzeiruakuLB	4	3	0	0
Jalen ThompsonS	3	2	0	0
Caleb DownsS	3	2	0	0
Malachi LawrenceLB	3	1	0	0
Quinnen WilliamsDT	2	2	1	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Brandon AubreyPK	3/4	75.0	38	2/2	11

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 2 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Ravens dropback offense vs Cowboys pass defense
The Ravens' dropback offense ranks 7th in EPA per dropback (+0.26, 66 dropbacks) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 30th (+0.38 allowed, 75 dropbacks faced).
7thBAL offense23 spots apart30thDAL defense

When the Ravens have the ballEdge BAL · +23 ranks

BAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDAL pass defense

7th+0.2666 dropbacks

BAL +23

+0.38 allowed75 dropbacks faced30th

BAL run gameEPA per rushDAL run defense

2nd+0.1849 rushes

BAL +22

-0.00 allowed57 rushes faced24th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Cowboys have the ballEdge DAL · +9 ranks

DAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBAL pass defense

4th+0.3972 dropbacks

-0.07 allowed73 dropbacks faced11th

DAL run gameEPA per rushBAL run defense

17th-0.1234 rushes

DAL +9

+0.04 allowed44 rushes faced26th

Third downEdge DAL · +20 ranks

BAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDAL third-down defense

15th41.2%17 third downs

BAL +17

70.8% allowed24 third downs faced32nd

DAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBAL third-down defense

1st68.2%22 third downs

DAL +20

44.0% allowed25 third downs faced21st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge DAL · +14 ranks

BAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDAL red-zone defense

10th67%6 trips

BAL +13

75% allowed8 trips faced23rd

DAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBAL red-zone defense

3rd86%7 trips

DAL +14

67% allowed6 trips faced17th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

BAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDAL defense against big plays

5th12.2%115 plays

8.3% allowed132 plays faced10th

DAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBAL defense against big plays

28th5.7%106 plays

11.1% allowed117 plays faced23rd

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge BAL · +11 ranks

BAL pass protectionsack rateDAL pass rush

19th7.6% sacked66 dropbacks

BAL +11

2.7% of dropbacks75 dropbacks faced30th

DAL pass protectionsack rateBAL pass rush

4th2.8% sacked72 dropbacks

DAL +11

6.8% of dropbacks73 dropbacks faced15th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge DAL · +8 ranks

BAL ball securityturnovers per gameDAL takeaway defense

14th1.0 giveaways a game2 games

1.0 takeaways a game2 games12th

DAL ball securityturnovers per gameBAL takeaway defense

4th0.5 giveaways a game2 games

DAL +8

1.0 takeaways a game2 games12th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: BAL 2 games, 115 offensive and 117 defensive plays · DAL 2 games, 106 offensive and 132 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Jacoby BrissettQB→ Lamar Jackson

Ja'Kobi LaneWR→ Chris Moore

Ronnie StanleyLT→ Carson Vinson

Cam JurgensC→ Jovaughn Gwyn

Mike GreenWLB→ Tavius Robinson

Brevyn Spann-FordTE→ Jake Ferguson

Tyler SmithLG→ T.J. Bass

DeMarvion OvershownLILB→ Jaishawn Barham

Joey Porter Jr.LCB→ Shavon Revel Jr.

Malik HookerFS→ Jalen Thompson

AwayRavens3 questionable · 5 changes