Raiders 35, Saints 27: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27 · Caesars SuperdomeFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LV	3	13	6	13	35
NO	6	7	14	0	27

Home · 3-5New OrleansSaints27

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the New Orleans Saints 35-27 on Sun, Sep 27 at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA (Week 3, 2026 season). Records after the game: Raiders 4-5, Saints 3-5. K.Cousins (LV) led all players with +8.9 EPA on 39 dropbacks.

Who won Raiders vs Saints?

The Las Vegas Raiders won 35-27. By quarter: LV 3-13-6-13, NO 6-7-14-0.

Who was the best player in Raiders vs Saints?

By expected points added: K.Cousins (LV, +8.9 EPA on 39 dropbacks), B.Bowers (LV, +8.6 EPA on 13 targets) and C.Olave (NO, +7.7 EPA on 13 targets).

What was the turning point of Raiders vs Saints?

The biggest swing in win probability (25 points toward the Raiders) came in Q4 at 8:03: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left intended for B.Lance INTERCEPTED by H.Masses [M.Koonce] at NO 43. H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (J.Johnson). FUMBLES (J.Johnson), touched at NO 7, recovered by LV-A.Butler at NO 4.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Raiders 35, Saints 27: Week 3 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-27-lv-at-no (updated 2026-11-11).

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The Verdict

Week 3 issue →

Week 3EarnedGame file →

Raiders43% success · +0.10 EPA/play

3527

Saints54% success · +0.03 EPA/play

LV 65% deserveddeserved 35% NO

Raiders earned it: the snaps said Raiders by 2.2, a deserved win probability of 65%.

Deserved marginLV by 2.2

Real marginLV by 8

Luck pts LV+10.9

Luck pts NO−10.8

The swingQ4 8:03 · NO · −29 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short left intended for 18-B.Lance INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses [51-M.Koonce] at NO 43. 35-H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (83-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (83-J.Johnson), touched at NO 7, recovered by…

Flags that moved this game

1Roughing the PasserNO → helped LV · Wk 3 Q2 5:54 · (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle. PENALTY on NO-28-D.Stutsman, Roughing the Passer, 2 yards, enforced at NO 5…+3.8 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceNO → helped LV · Wk 3 Q2 6:43 · (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to 2-A.Jeanty. PENALTY on NO-7-J.Sanker, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards,…+3.6 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA154 plays, one strand4 lead changes · 7 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewAdrian Hill13 accepted flags in this game · 16.9 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: NO by 3.5 · Snaps: LV by 2.2Raiders covered; the snaps agree

35@27

Week 3

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Saints after the play22%what really happened

Q4 8:03 6-T.Shough pass short left intended for 18-B.Lance INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses [51-M.Koonce] at NO 43. 35-H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (83-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (83-J.Johnson), touched at NO 7, recovered by LV-69-A.Butler at NO 4.

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Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

NO ▲LV ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+25%Q4 8:03 · for LV(Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left intended for B.Lance INTERCEPTED by H.Masses [M.Koonce] at NO 43. H.Masses to NO 8 for 35 yards (J.Johnson). FUMBLES (J.Johnson), touched at NO 7, recovered by LV-A.Butler at NO 4.
+15%Q4 3:01 · for LV(No Huddle, Shotgun) A.Kamara up the middle to LV 20 for no gain (M.Koonce).
+14%Q4 13:04 · for LV(Shotgun) T.Shough sacked at LV 39 for -10 yards (M.Koonce). FUMBLES (M.Koonce) [M.Koonce], touched at LV 39, RECOVERED by LV-M.Crosby at LV 45.
+12%Q4 6:22 · for LV(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to B.Bowers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
+11%Q4 9:21 · for LVK.Cousins pass short left to C.White for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. K.Cousins is sacked. ATTEMPT FAILS.

Every drive, on the field

NO attacks →← LV attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 2y · 0:53
Q1 14:07FG12p · 53y · 6:32
Q1 7:35TD13p · 79y · 6:45
Q1 0:50FG9p · 42y · 4:23
Q2 11:27PUNT3p · -3y · 1:56
Q2 9:31TD8p · 53y · 3:45
Q2 5:46TD10p · 72y · 3:52
Q2 1:54FG11p · 58y · 1:54
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 5y · 1:30
Q3 13:30TD12p · 87y · 6:50
Q3 6:40FUM0p · 0y · 0:07
Q3 6:33TD2p · 32y · 0:47
Q3 5:46TD5p · 71y · 2:26
Q3 3:20PUNT5p · 12y · 1:19
Q3 2:01PUNT3p · 0y · 0:25
Q3 1:36FUM9p · 22y · 3:41
Q4 12:55TD6p · 55y · 3:34
Q4 9:21INT3p · 4y · 1:33
Q4 7:48TD3p · 4y · 1:26
Q4 6:22FUM9p · 44y · 4:07
Q4 2:15PUNT4p · 8y · 0:37
Q4 1:38FUM3p · 20y · 0:45
Q4 0:53END2p · -2y · 0:53

Raiders11 drives7scoring drives (4 TD)64%drives ending in pointsOWN 45avg starting field position2three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Saints11 drives4scoring drives (4 TD)36%drives ending in pointsOWN 30avg starting field position2three-and-outs4turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
7:35Field goalM.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.3–0
Q1
0:50Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to J.Johnson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Carlson extra point is Blocked (T.Booker), Center-C.Adomitis, Holder-R.Wright.3–6
Q2
11:27Field goalM.Gay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.6–6
Q2
5:46TouchdownT.Zuhn reported in as eligible. K.Cousins pass short right to M.Mayer for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.13–6
Q2
1:54Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Shough pass short left to N.Fant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Adomitis, Holder-R.Wright.13–13
Q2
0:00Field goalM.Gay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.16–13
Q3
6:40TouchdownT.Shough pass short left to J.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [M.Crosby]. D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Adomitis, Holder-R.Wright.16–20
Q3
5:46TouchdownT.Shough pass short right to N.Fant for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Adomitis, Holder-R.Wright.16–27
Q3
3:20TouchdownM.Washington right guard pushed ob at NO 1 for 35 yards (J.Reid).Las Vegas challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED.M.Washington right guard for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. K.Cousins pass to A.Jeanty is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.22–27
Q4
9:21TouchdownK.Cousins pass short left to C.White for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. K.Cousins is sacked. ATTEMPT FAILS.28–27
Q4
6:22Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to B.Bowers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.35–27

Team stats

LVvsNO

340Total yards381

227Passing yards233

113Rushing yards148

5.4Yards per play5.3

24First downs27

7-12 · 58%Third down9-15 · 60%

0-0Fourth down0-1

3-6Red zone TDs4-4

22/33Comp / att29/42

4.2Yards per carry5.3

1Turnovers4

3 (−21 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−22 yds)

5 for 19Penalties8 for 36

27:32Possession32:28

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.105-0.065

Dropback EPA+0.229-0.112

Rush EPA-0.095+0.013

Success rate43%54%

Explosive plays44

Plays6372

Who moved the needle

K.CousinsDropbacks: 39+8.9

B.BowersTargets: 13+8.6

C.OlaveTargets: 13+7.7

N.FantTargets: 4+4.7

M.WashingtonCarries: 5+4.3

M.MayerTargets: 3+3.3

Cost their side the most

B.LanceTargets: 3-8.1

A.JeantyCarries: 19-6.6

T.ShoughDropbacks: 45-5.0

Box score

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Kirk CousinsQB	22/33	248	7.5	3	0	3-21	71.0	119.3

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Ashton JeantyRB	19	56	2.9	0	12
Mike Washington Jr.RB	5	54	10.8	1	36
Kirk CousinsQB	3	3	1.0	0	5

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Brock BowersTE	10	14	116	11.6	1	20
Tre TuckerWR	4	4	43	10.8	0	15
Ashton JeantyRB	3	3	37	12.3	0	22
Michael MayerTE	3	3	32	10.7	1	18
Jalen NailorWR	1	3	16	16.0	0	16
Cody WhiteWR	1	3	4	4.0	1	4
Malik BensonWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Nakobe DeanLB	12	11	0	1	1	0
Jeremy ChinnS	8	7	1	1	0	1
Taron JohnsonCB	8	7	0	0	1	0
Quay WalkerLB	8	2	0	1	0	0
Isaiah Pola-MaoS	6	5	0	0	0	0
Hezekiah MassesCB	6	4	0	0	1	0
Malcolm KoonceDE	3	3	1	1	0	3
Tonka HemingwayDT	3	1	0	1	0	0
Adam ButlerDT	3	0	0	0	0	0
Kwity PayeDE	3	0	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Matt GayPK	3/3	100.0	41	2/2	11

New Orleans Saints

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Tyler ShoughQB	29/42	255	6.1	4	1	2-22	59.9	106.7

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Travis Etienne Jr.RB	13	57	4.4	16
Tyler ShoughQB	1	36	36.0	36
Alvin KamaraRB	9	36	4.0	11
Kendre MillerRB	4	14	3.5	5
CJ DonaldsonRB	1	5	5.0	5

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Chris OlaveWR	9	13	107	11.9	0	19
Juwan JohnsonTE	8	8	53	6.6	2	22
Devaughn VeleWR	3	6	39	13.0	0	17
Noah FantTE	4	4	33	8.3	2	16
Travis Etienne Jr.RB	2	2	13	6.5	0	7
Alvin KamaraRB	1	1	5	5.0	0	5
Kendre MillerRB	2	3	5	2.5	0	4
Bryce LanceWR	0	3	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Kaden EllissLB	9	4	0	1	0	0
Danny StutsmanLB	7	4	0	0	0	0
Jonas SankerS	7	3	0	0	0	0
Kool-Aid McKinstryCB	5	3	0	0	2	0
Davon GodchauxDT	5	2	0	0	0	0
Justin ReidS	4	3	0	0	0	0
Carl GrandersonDE	4	1	0	0	0	0
Khristian BoydDT	3	2	1	2	0	1
Anfernee JenningsLB	3	2	0	0	1	0
Julian BlackmonS	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Daniel Carlson	0/0	0.0	0	3/4	3

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 2 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Raiders pass rush vs Saints pass protection
The Raiders' pass rush ranks 2nd in sack rate (11.8% of dropbacks, 68 dropbacks faced) and faces a Saints pass protection ranked 21st (7.8% sacked, 102 dropbacks).
21stNO offense19 spots apart2ndLV defense

When the Raiders have the ballNo big edge

LV dropback offenseEPA per dropbackNO pass defense

15th+0.1063 dropbacks

+0.05 allowed78 dropbacks faced16th

LV run gameEPA per rushNO run defense

29th-0.2458 rushes

+0.04 allowed50 rushes faced27th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Saints have the ballEdge LV · +10 ranks

NO dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLV pass defense

16th+0.09102 dropbacks

LV +10

-0.12 allowed68 dropbacks faced6th

NO run gameEPA per rushLV run defense

10th-0.0548 rushes

LV +9

-0.44 allowed44 rushes faced1st

Third downNo big edge

LV third-down offensethird-down conversion rateNO third-down defense

17th40.0%25 third downs

40.9% allowed22 third downs faced19th

NO third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLV third-down defense

6th50.0%32 third downs

29.2% allowed24 third downs faced4th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge LV · +13 ranks

LV red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateNO red-zone defense

7th71%7 trips

LV +13

71% allowed7 trips faced20th

NO red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLV red-zone defense

16th63%8 trips

75% allowed4 trips faced23rd

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

LV big-play offenseexplosive-play rateNO defense against big plays

24th7.4%121 plays

10.2% allowed128 plays faced19th

NO big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLV defense against big plays

17th9.3%150 plays

9.8% allowed112 plays faced16th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge LV · +19 ranks

LV pass protectionsack rateNO pass rush

6th3.2% sacked63 dropbacks

LV +16

5.1% of dropbacks78 dropbacks faced22nd

NO pass protectionsack rateLV pass rush

21st7.8% sacked102 dropbacks

LV +19

11.8% of dropbacks68 dropbacks faced2nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge LV · +19 ranks

LV ball securityturnovers per gameNO takeaway defense

21st1.5 giveaways a game2 games

NO +9

1.0 takeaways a game2 games12th

NO ball securityturnovers per gameLV takeaway defense

21st1.5 giveaways a game2 games

LV +19

2.5 takeaways a game2 games2nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LV 2 games, 121 offensive and 112 defensive plays · NO 2 games, 150 offensive and 128 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Fernando MendozaQB→ Kirk Cousins

Trey Zuhn IIIRG→ Jackson Powers-Johnson

Darien PorterRCB→ Hezekiah Masses

Treydan StukesFS→ Isaiah Pola-Mao

Alvin KamaraRB→ Travis Etienne Jr.

Jordyn TysonWR→ Bryce Lance

Kelvin Banks Jr.LT→ Erik McCoy

William ShermanC→ Asim Richards

Pete WernerRILB→ Danny Stutsman

Martin Emerson Jr.RCB→ Quincy Riley

AwayRaiders1 questionable · 4 changes