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Lions DeskLions offense has slid from 0.326 EPA a play in Week 5 to 0.009 in Week 9just nowColts DeskColts rank 32nd against the run while the offense rushes at a top-five level11 min agoInjuryJacob Rodriguez: Active → Cleared11 min agoInjuryJaylen Wright: Questionable → Active11 min agoInjuryAbdul Carter: Questionable → Active11 min agoInjuryPatrick Mahomes: Active → Questionable11 min agoInjuryDalton Kincaid: Active → Questionable11 min agoInjuryTrey Smack: Active → Questionable11 min agoInjuryTucker Addington: Active → Questionable11 min agoInjuryJared Goff: Active → Questionable26 min agoMinnesota VikingsInitial Vikings at Packers Injury Report for Week 10 of 2026Minnesota VikingsVikings Sign RB Damon Bankston & LB Josh Ross to Practice SquadSaints DeskSaints offense sits 22nd in EPA per play heading into Panthers game41 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers QB Jordan Love goes back-to-back as FedEx Air and Ground Player of WeekKansas City ChiefsWeek 10 Injury Report | Chiefs vs. FalconsDolphins DeskDolphins offense found its footing in Week 7 and lost it by Week 950 min agoBroncos DeskBroncos defense is giving back ground just as the offense finds its footing51 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers-Vikings Injury Report | Nov. 11, 2026Tennessee TitansQuick Hits on the Titans From Wednesday of Jaguars WeekArizona CardinalsMichael Wilson Prognosis Good For 2027 ReturnDallas CowboysQuinnen Williams is all business in eyeing the 49ersPro Football RumorsLongtime Steelers RB, Coach Dick Hoak Dies At 86
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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Giants 6 · 28 Rams

131 plays, one strand. Rams won without the lead ever changing hands; Giants peaked at 51% to win, Rams at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for NYG, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Giants peaked at 51% to win, Rams at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = NYG in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAR on offense, down for NYG; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Rams ↑Giants ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDINTINTFUMTDTDLAR ↑ HOMENYG ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NYG on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NYGLAR
55Plays56
182Yards484
1Explosive plays11
0Offensive TDs4
1Turnovers2
51%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYGPunt27yLARPunt5yNYGPunt15yLARTD90yNYGPunt1yLARTD88yNYGINT48yLARINT5yNYGPunt21yLARFUM5yNYGFG0yLARFG ✕40yLARPunt22yNYGPunt17yLARTD86yNYGFG18yLARPunt34yNYGPunt0yLARTD64yNYG–35yLAR–45y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.8 expected points for Rams.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 0:19 · LAR · Touchdown

    9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.8 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 12:50 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to NYG 14 for 64 yards (8-J.Holland).

    +5.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 11:13 · LAR · Touchdown

    9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 10:20 · NYG · Completion

    19-J.Winston pass deep left to 17-D.Mooney pushed ob at LA 31 for 33 yards (3-K.Curl) [94-D.Johnson].

    +2.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 6:31 · NYG · Interception

    19-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 22-T.McDuffie [0-B.Young] at LA -1. 22-T.McDuffie to LA 21 for 22 yards

    −4.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q2 3:11 · LAR · Fumble lost

    23-K.Williams up the middle to LA 11 for 5 yards (8-J.Holland; 52-A.Reese). FUMBLES (8-J.Holland), RECOVERED by NYG-8-J.Holland at LA 11.

    −5.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q3 5:50 · NYG · Completion

    19-J.Winston pass short middle to 17-D.Mooney to LA 34 for 15 yards (30-J.Wallace).

    +2.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 6:17 · NYG · Incomplete

    19-J.Winston pass incomplete deep right to 88-M.Fields (1-E.Forbes). Penalty on NYG-88-M.Fields, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.

    −3.1 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Giants had recovered that fumble

Giants after the play2%what really happened
RamsGiantsthe rest never happened

Q4 11:21 24-B.Corum left guard to NYG 18 for 4 yards (8-J.Holland). FUMBLES (8-J.Holland), and recovers at NYG 21.

Week 2

The rest of the week