Week 2 · 2026Giants 6 · 28 Rams
131 plays, one strand. Rams won without the lead ever changing hands; Giants peaked at 51% to win, Rams at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for NYG, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Giants peaked at 51% to win, Rams at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = NYG in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LAR on offense, down for NYG; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: NYG on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.8 expected points for Rams.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 0:19 · LAR · Touchdown+3.8 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 2Q2 12:50 · LAR · Completion+5.4 EP
9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 17-D.Adams to NYG 14 for 64 yards (8-J.Holland).
- 3Q2 11:13 · LAR · Touchdown+2.9 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short left to 23-K.Williams for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 4Q2 10:20 · NYG · Completion+2.5 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep left to 17-D.Mooney pushed ob at LA 31 for 33 yards (3-K.Curl) [94-D.Johnson].
- 5Q2 6:31 · NYG · Interception−4.6 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 22-T.McDuffie [0-B.Young] at LA -1. 22-T.McDuffie to LA 21 for 22 yards
- 6Q2 3:11 · LAR · Fumble lost−5.3 EP
23-K.Williams up the middle to LA 11 for 5 yards (8-J.Holland; 52-A.Reese). FUMBLES (8-J.Holland), RECOVERED by NYG-8-J.Holland at LA 11.
- 7Q3 5:50 · NYG · Completion+2.4 EP
19-J.Winston pass short middle to 17-D.Mooney to LA 34 for 15 yards (30-J.Wallace).
- 8Q4 6:17 · NYG · Incomplete−3.1 EP
19-J.Winston pass incomplete deep right to 88-M.Fields (1-E.Forbes). Penalty on NYG-88-M.Fields, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Giants had recovered that fumble
Q4 11:21 24-B.Corum left guard to NYG 18 for 4 yards (8-J.Holland). FUMBLES (8-J.Holland), and recovers at NYG 21.