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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Jaguars 13 · 20 Broncos

134 plays, one strand. Broncos won after 1 lead change; Jaguars peaked at 85% to win, Broncos at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DEN, down for JAX, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Jaguars peaked at 85% to win, Broncos at 99%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Broncos win, play by play. High = DEN in control, low = JAX in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DEN on offense, down for JAX; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Broncos ↑Jaguars ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTINTTDTDDEN ↑ HOMEJAX ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: JAX on the left, DEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
JAXDEN
55Plays56
268Yards395
4Explosive plays9
1Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
85%Peak win prob.99%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DENPunt5yJAXPunt17yDENPunt24yJAXPunt4yDENPunt20yJAXTD77yDENFG63yJAXPunt-4yDENINT76yJAXFG59yJAXFG61yDENFG50yJAXINT13yDENTD64yJAXFG ✕32yDENTD31yJAXPunt9yDEN–62y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points against Jaguars.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 5:08 · JAX · Sack

    16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 42 for -11 yards (51-Q.Robinson).

    −2.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 13:06 · JAX · Completion

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to DEN 1 for 32 yards (22-B.Jones).

    +3.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 10:04 · DEN · Completion

    10-B.Nix pass deep middle to 17-J.Waddle to JAX 1 for 49 yards (1-M.Brown).

    +3.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 7:52 · DEN · Run

    27-J.Dobbins left end to JAX 2 for -1 yards (47-D.Gardeck, 41-J.Hines-Allen).

    −2.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 2:15 · DEN · Interception

    10-B.Nix pass deep left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 2-J.Lewis at JAX -8. Touchback.

    −4.3 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 1:40 · JAX · Interception

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep left intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 21-R.Moss [15-N.Bonitto] at DEN 33. 21-R.Moss to DEN 36 for 3 yards

    −3.4 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 11:11 · JAX · Completion

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 3-J.Meyers to DEN 38 for 28 yards (9-T.Hufanga).

    +3.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 9:45 · JAX · Missed field goal

    39-C.Little 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

    −3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
13@20Week 2Changes the winner

If the Jaguars kicker had made it from 54

Jaguars after the play39%what really happened
BroncosJaguarsthe rest never happened

Q4 9:45 39-C.Little 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

Week 2

The rest of the week

Every week →
Lions at Bills, Game DNA31@41Panthers at Falcons, Game DNA34@3Bengals at Texans, Game DNA20@6Browns at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@19Packers at Jets, Game DNA20@17Vikings at Bears, Game DNA9@3Saints at Ravens, Game DNA24@17Eagles at Titans, Game DNA24@20Steelers at Patriots, Game DNA3@20Raiders at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Dolphins at 49ers, Game DNA13@35Seahawks at Cardinals, Game DNA31@7Commanders at Cowboys, Game DNA20@37Colts at Chiefs, Game DNA30@33Giants at Rams, Game DNA6@28