The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Bengals 20 · 6 Texans

165 plays, one strand. Bengals won without the lead ever changing hands; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Texans at 71%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for HOU, down for CIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game page Download poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Texans at 71%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Texans win, play by play. High = HOU in control, low = CIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for HOU on offense, down for CIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Texans ↑

Bengals ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: CIN on the left, HOU on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

CINHOU

58Plays76

268Yards374

4Explosive plays7

2Offensive TDs0

0Turnovers0

100%Peak win prob.71%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

CINPunt6yHOUPunt2yCINPunt8yHOUPunt5yCINPunt30yHOU–86yCINPunt21yHOU–48yCINTD81yHOUFG49yCINPunt10yHOU–18yHOUPunt0yCINFG8yHOUFG ✕38yCINTD57yHOUFG42yCINFG33yHOUPunt30yCINPunt5yHOUPunt4yCINPunt7yHOU–15yCINPunt2yHOU–37y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.2 expected points for Texans.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 3:57 · HOU · Completion
7-C.Stroud pass short right to 86-D.Schultz to 50 for 35 yards (27-J.Battle).
+3.2 EP
2
Q2 13:28 · HOU · Incomplete
(Field Goal formation) 38-K.Kroeger to CIN 24 for -8 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at CIN 25. 38-K.Kroeger pass incomplete short right.
−3.3 EP
3
Q2 6:58 · HOU · Run
57-B.Fisher reported in as eligible. 32-D.Montgomery right tackle to CIN 19 for -1 yards (97-D.Lawrence).
−4.3 EP
4
Q2 3:37 · CIN · Touchdown
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.3 EP
5
Q3 8:19 · HOU · Run
4-W.Marks right guard to CIN 40 for no gain (98-T.Slaton).
−2.7 EP
6
Q3 7:33 · HOU · Missed field goal
15-K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-40-A.Brinkman, Holder-38-K.Kroeger.
−3.0 EP
7
Q3 3:12 · CIN · Touchdown
9-J.Burrow pass deep right to 1-J.Chase for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.2 EP
8
Q4 3:20 · HOU · Incomplete
7-C.Stroud pass incomplete short middle to 17-J.Wayne (27-J.Battle).
−3.1 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

20@6

Week 2

If the 51-yard kick had missed

Texans after the play29%what really happened

Q3 12:32 2-E.McPherson 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

Week 2

The rest of the week

20@37

30@33

6@28