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Week 10
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InjuryTommy Townsend: Questionable → Active9 min agoInjuryJustin Walley: Questionable → Active9 min agoInjuryPatrick Mahomes: Questionable → Active9 min agoInjuryT.J. Hockenson: Active → Questionable9 min agoInjuryJC Latham: Questionable → Active9 min agoInjuryMarcus Harris: Questionable → Active9 min agoInjuryJared Goff: Active → Questionable9 min agoInjuryAmon-Ra St. Brown: Active → Questionable9 min agoMinnesota VikingsInitial Vikings at Packers Injury Report for Week 10 of 2026Minnesota VikingsVikings Sign RB Damon Bankston & LB Josh Ross to Practice SquadSaints DeskSaints offense sits 22nd in EPA per play heading into Panthers game24 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers QB Jordan Love goes back-to-back as FedEx Air and Ground Player of WeekKansas City ChiefsWeek 10 Injury Report | Chiefs vs. FalconsDolphins DeskDolphins offense found its footing in Week 7 and lost it by Week 933 min agoBroncos DeskBroncos defense is giving back ground just as the offense finds its footing34 min agoGreen Bay PackersPackers-Vikings Injury Report | Nov. 11, 2026Tennessee TitansQuick Hits on the Titans From Wednesday of Jaguars WeekArizona CardinalsMichael Wilson Prognosis Good For 2027 ReturnDallas CowboysQuinnen Williams is all business in eyeing the 49ersPro Football RumorsLongtime Steelers RB, Coach Dick Hoak Dies At 86ESPNWill McDonald to get more playing time with the JetsPittsburgh SteelersKeeping the nose to the grindstone
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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Dolphins 13 · 35 49ers

121 plays, one strand. 49ers won without the lead ever changing hands; Dolphins peaked at 53% to win, 49ers at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SF, down for MIA, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Dolphins peaked at 53% to win, 49ers at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that 49ers win, play by play. High = SF in control, low = MIA in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SF on offense, down for MIA; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
49ers ↑Dolphins ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDSF ↑ HOMEMIA ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: MIA on the left, SF on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
MIASF
56Plays47
284Yards384
3Explosive plays6
1Offensive TDs5
0Turnovers0
53%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
MIAFG ✕39ySFTD59yMIAFG68ySFTD66yMIAFG58ySFTD65yMIAPunt3ySFTD76yMIA–16ySFTD28yMIAPunt3ySFPunt69yMIAPunt14ySFPunt10yMIATD83ySF–11y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.7 expected points against Dolphins.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:32 · MIA · Missed field goal

    47-R.Patterson 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.

    −3.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 5:33 · SF · Completion

    13-B.Purdy pass short middle to 23-C.McCaffrey to MIA 1 for 16 yards (9-J.Uche; 16-M.Taaffe).

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 3:01 · MIA · Completion

    2-M.Willis pass deep left to 6-M.Washington to SF 20 for 23 yards (20-U.Stout).

    +2.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 15:00 · SF · Completion

    13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 85-G.Kittle to MIA 25 for 40 yards (23-Z.Anderson) [9-J.Uche].

    +2.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 9:18 · SF · Completion

    13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 19-D.Samuel to SF 49 for 21 yards (8-J.Brents).

    +3.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 3:55 · MIA · Run

    (Punt formation) 48-B.Pinion FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 27, and recovers at MIA 28.

    −3.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 10:45 · SF · Incomplete

    13-B.Purdy pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on SF-13-B.Purdy, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at MIA 39.

    −2.8 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:41 · MIA · Touchdown

    2-M.Willis pass deep right to 84-R.Miller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +7.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
13@35Week 2Changes the winner

If the Dolphins kicker had made it from 51

Dolphins after the play36%what really happened
49ersDolphinsthe rest never happened

Q1 10:32 47-R.Patterson 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.

Week 2

The rest of the week

Every week →
Lions at Bills, Game DNA31@41Panthers at Falcons, Game DNA34@3Bengals at Texans, Game DNA20@6Browns at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@19Packers at Jets, Game DNA20@17Vikings at Bears, Game DNA9@3Saints at Ravens, Game DNA24@17Eagles at Titans, Game DNA24@20Steelers at Patriots, Game DNA3@20Jaguars at Broncos, Game DNA13@20Raiders at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Seahawks at Cardinals, Game DNA31@7Commanders at Cowboys, Game DNA20@37Colts at Chiefs, Game DNA30@33Giants at Rams, Game DNA6@28