The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Browns 23 · 19 Buccaneers

138 plays, one strand. Browns won after 1 lead change; Browns peaked at 71% to win, Buccaneers at 85%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TB, down for CLE, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom line1 lead change; Browns peaked at 71% to win, Buccaneers at 85%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Buccaneers win, play by play. High = TB in control, low = CLE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for TB on offense, down for CLE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Buccaneers ↑

Browns ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: CLE on the left, TB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

CLETB

53Plays62

269Yards313

2Explosive plays7

2Offensive TDs1

0Turnovers1

71%Peak win prob.85%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

CLEPunt5yTBFG18yCLEFG45yTBFG48yCLEPunt-2yTBINT14yCLEFG5yTBPunt26yCLEPunt-2yTBPunt-1yCLE–9yTBFG21yTBTD65yCLEFG58yTBPunt8yCLETD68yTBPunt2yCLEPunt15yTBFG71yCLETD68yTB–41y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.4 expected points for Buccaneers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 11:16 · TB · Field goal
4-C.McLaughlin 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
+3.4 EP
2
Q1 1:48 · TB · Run
6-B.Mayfield scrambles right end to TB 31 for 14 yards (26-M.Harden). PENALTY on CLE-21-D.Ward, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at TB 3
+2.7 EP
3
Q1 1:19 · TB · Interception
6-B.Mayfield pass deep left intended for 17-T.Hurst INTERCEPTED by 26-M.Harden at CLE 47. 26-M.Harden to TB 28 for 25 yards (17-T.Hurst).
−6.2 EP
4
Q2 12:11 · TB · Completion
6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 17-T.Hurst to TB 42 for 21 yards (7-T.Campbell).
+3.1 EP
5
Q2 2:50 · CLE · Run
10-Q.Judkins right guard to CLE 34 for no gain (95-E.Roberts).
−2.9 EP
6
Q3 1:33 · CLE · Touchdown
4-D.Watson pass short middle to 12-D.Boston for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+5.2 EP
7
Q4 12:00 · TB · Completion
6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 15-T.Johnson to CLE 21 for 49 yards (7-T.Campbell).
+2.8 EP
8
Q4 3:57 · CLE · Touchdown
4-D.Watson pass short left to 86-B.Whiteheart for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.1 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

23@19

Week 2Changes the winner

If the Buccaneers had converted that fourth-and-11

Buccaneers after the play4%what really happened

Q4 0:22 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka.

Week 2

The rest of the week

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