Week 2 · 2026Raiders 26 · 14 Chargers
146 plays, one strand. Raiders won after 2 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 70%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAC, down for LV, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line2 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 70%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Chargers win, play by play. High = LAC in control, low = LV in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LAC on offense, down for LV; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: LV on the left, LAC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.8 expected points against Raiders.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 9:05 · LV · Interception−4.8 EP
8-K.Cousins pass deep left intended for 1-T.Tucker INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Hart at LAC 15. 20-C.Hart to LAC 17 for 2 yards (2-A.Jeanty).
- 2Q1 3:26 · LAC · Interception−4.6 EP
10-J.Herbert pass deep left intended for 83-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses at LV 48. 35-H.Masses to LAC 23 for 29 yards (28-K.Vidal).
- 3Q1 0:40 · LV · Run−4.5 EP
Direct snap to 2-A.Jeanty. 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LAC 1 for no gain (53-D.Phillips; 23-T.Jefferson).
- 4Q2 11:57 · LV · Touchdown+3.6 EP
8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 1-T.Tucker for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 5Q3 11:14 · LAC · Completion+4.6 EP
10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 9-T.Harris pushed ob at LV 5 for 53 yards (11-J.Chinn).
- 6Q3 3:59 · LV · Touchdown+3.1 EP
8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-C.White for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 7Q4 3:52 · LAC · Fumble lost−7.4 EP
8-O.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LV 41. 11-J.Chinn to LAC 16 f
- 8Q4 2:29 · LAC · Interception−3.4 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short left intended for 12-D.Davis INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses at LAC 48. 35-H.Masses to LAC 48 for no gain (12-D.Davis).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Chargers had fallen on their own fumble
Q4 3:52 8-O.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LV 41. 11-J.Chinn to LAC 16 for 43 yards (10-J.Herbert).