Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
Green Bay PackersMike's Mid-Week Chat | Nov. 11, 2026InjuryLuke Goedeke: Active → Clearedjust nowHouston TexansH-Town History Is About to Light Up the SkyCincinnati BengalsBengals Week 10 NFL Power Rankings RoundupAtlanta FalconsFalcons release kicker Nick Folk, sign Jake MoodyJacksonville JaguarsScout's Take: Bucky Brooks Examines Jaguars' Week 10 vs. Titans, Takeaways from 33-10 Win Over RavensMinnesota VikingsDeeJay Dallas Salutes Sibling & Family History of ServiceDallas CowboysCowboys quiet at trade deadline after active year of tradesNew York GiantsInside the Numbers: Thursday Night Football EditionSan Francisco 49ersMorning Report: Dugger and Rookies Stepping Up, Latest Rankings 🗞️Arizona CardinalsHow To Watch: Cardinals vs. Rams, Week 10Patriots DeskPatriots threw on 73% of early downs in Week 9 and the offense stalled46 min agoBills DeskJosh Allen's passing efficiency has cooled while his legs still pay off46 min agoDallas CowboysMailbag: How can the Cowboys reduce penalties?Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills recognize these WNY high school football coaches | Week 10 2026Indianapolis ColtsColts to celebrate military heroes during 2026 'Salute To Service' gameDetroit LionsLIONS DAILY: Film review: Offensive and defensive takeaways from win over DolphinsInjuryPuka Nacua: Questionable → Doubtful51 min agoInjuryDeshaun Watson: Active → Out51 min agoInjuryDeshaun Watson: Questionable → Active1 h agoInjuryPuka Nacua: Doubtful → Questionable1 h agoInjuryEric Wilson: Active → Cleared12 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Raiders 26 · 14 Chargers

146 plays, one strand. Raiders won after 2 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 70%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAC, down for LV, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line2 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 70%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Chargers win, play by play. High = LAC in control, low = LV in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAC on offense, down for LV; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Chargers ↑Raiders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTINTTDTDTDTDFUMTDINTLAC ↑ HOMELV ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LV on the left, LAC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LVLAC
57Plays62
308Yards310
4Explosive plays2
3Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers3
100%Peak win prob.70%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
LACFG ✕28yLVINT30yLACPunt15yLVPunt7yLACINT5yLV–22yLACPunt8yLVTD56yLACTD79yLVPunt19yLACPunt21yLVFG43yLAC–17yLVPunt1yLACTD79yLVTD79yLACPunt9yLVPunt18yLACPunt28yLVPunt9yLACFUM17yLVTD16yLACINT4yLVPunt8yLAC–0y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.8 expected points against Raiders.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 9:05 · LV · Interception

    8-K.Cousins pass deep left intended for 1-T.Tucker INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Hart at LAC 15. 20-C.Hart to LAC 17 for 2 yards (2-A.Jeanty).

    −4.8 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 3:26 · LAC · Interception

    10-J.Herbert pass deep left intended for 83-D.Njoku INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses at LV 48. 35-H.Masses to LAC 23 for 29 yards (28-K.Vidal).

    −4.6 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 0:40 · LV · Run

    Direct snap to 2-A.Jeanty. 2-A.Jeanty up the middle to LAC 1 for no gain (53-D.Phillips; 23-T.Jefferson).

    −4.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 11:57 · LV · Touchdown

    8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 1-T.Tucker for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 11:14 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 9-T.Harris pushed ob at LV 5 for 53 yards (11-J.Chinn).

    +4.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 3:59 · LV · Touchdown

    8-K.Cousins pass short right to 82-C.White for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 3:52 · LAC · Fumble lost

    8-O.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LV 41. 11-J.Chinn to LAC 16 f

    −7.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:29 · LAC · Interception

    10-J.Herbert pass short left intended for 12-D.Davis INTERCEPTED by 35-H.Masses at LAC 48. 35-H.Masses to LAC 48 for no gain (12-D.Davis).

    −3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
26@14Week 2Changes the winner

If the Chargers had fallen on their own fumble

Chargers after the play14%what really happened
ChargersRaidersthe rest never happened

Q4 3:52 8-O.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (17-N.Dean). FUMBLES (17-N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-11-J.Chinn at LV 41. 11-J.Chinn to LAC 16 for 43 yards (10-J.Herbert).

Week 2

The rest of the week