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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Vikings 9 · 3 Bears

143 plays, one strand. Vikings won without the lead ever changing hands; Vikings peaked at 93% to win, Bears at 66%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CHI, down for MIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Vikings peaked at 93% to win, Bears at 66%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Bears win, play by play. High = CHI in control, low = MIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CHI on offense, down for MIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Bears ↑Vikings ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTFUMCHI ↑ HOMEMIN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: MIN on the left, CHI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
MINCHI
51Plays69
246Yards297
4Explosive plays6
0Offensive TDs0
0Turnovers2
93%Peak win prob.66%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
MINFG55yCHIFG47yMINPunt8yCHIINT3yMINPunt7yCHIPunt2yMINFG33yCHIPunt51yMINPunt16yCHI–-10yCHIFUM64yMINPunt30yCHIPunt21yMINPunt21yCHIPunt13yMINPunt14yCHIFG ✕62yMINFG62yCHI–44y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Vikings.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 3:47 · MIN · Run

    11-C.Wentz FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIN 29, and recovers at MIN 12. 11-C.Wentz to MIN 12 for no gain (12-D.Bush).

    −3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 1:47 · CHI · Interception

    18-C.Williams pass deep middle intended for 10-L.Burden INTERCEPTED by 7-B.Murphy [29-Jac.Thomas] at MIN 36. 7-B.Murphy pushed ob at MIN 35

    −2.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 3:31 · CHI · Completion

    18-C.Williams pass short right to 4-D.Swift to MIN 30 for 3 yards (22-H.Smith). Minnesota challenged the first down ruling, and the play was

    +2.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 10:19 · CHI · Completion

    18-C.Williams pass short left to 14-K.Raymond ran ob at MIN 1 for 8 yards.

    +2.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 9:42 · CHI · Fumble lost

    4-D.Swift right tackle to MIN 1 for no gain (61-J.Redmond; 0-I.Pace). FUMBLES (61-J.Redmond), RECOVERED by MIN-2-I.Rodgers at MIN 1. CHI-85-

    −5.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 11:42 · CHI · Completion

    18-C.Williams pass short left to 4-D.Swift to MIN 32 for 32 yards (55-E.Wilson).

    +3.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:26 · CHI · Missed field goal

    8-C.Santos 23 yard field goal is BLOCKED (2-I.Rodgers), Center-45-B.Gardner, Holder-19-T.Taylor, recovered by CHI-19-T.Taylor at MIN 12.

    −3.1 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:01 · CHI · Sack

    17-T.Bagent sacked at MIN 21 for -9 yards (15-D.Turner).

    −2.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
9@3Week 2

If the 39-yard kick had missed

Bears after the play14%what really happened
BearsVikingsthe rest never happened

Q4 1:12 16-W.Reichard 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.

Week 2

The rest of the week

Every week →
Lions at Bills, Game DNA31@41Panthers at Falcons, Game DNA34@3Bengals at Texans, Game DNA20@6Browns at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@19Packers at Jets, Game DNA20@17Saints at Ravens, Game DNA24@17Eagles at Titans, Game DNA24@20Steelers at Patriots, Game DNA3@20Jaguars at Broncos, Game DNA13@20Raiders at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Dolphins at 49ers, Game DNA13@35Seahawks at Cardinals, Game DNA31@7Commanders at Cowboys, Game DNA20@37Colts at Chiefs, Game DNA30@33Giants at Rams, Game DNA6@28