Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Seahawks 31 · 7 Cardinals

130 plays, one strand. Seahawks won without the lead ever changing hands; Seahawks peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 60%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for ARI, down for SEA, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Seahawks peaked at 100% to win, Cardinals at 60%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cardinals win, play by play. High = ARI in control, low = SEA in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for ARI on offense, down for SEA; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cardinals ↑Seahawks ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDFUMTDINTTDTDARI ↑ HOMESEA ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: SEA on the left, ARI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
SEAARI
67Plays47
381Yards151
4Explosive plays1
4Offensive TDs1
1Turnovers1
100%Peak win prob.60%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
ARIPunt8ySEATD86yARIPunt13ySEAPunt-2yARITD53ySEAFUM27yARIPunt6ySEAPunt41yARIPunt8ySEA–29yARIPunt19ySEA–9ySEATD32yARIINT3ySEAFG29yARIPunt16ySEATD64yARIPunt1ySEATD66yARI–24y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 6.9 expected points for Seahawks.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 12:38 · SEA · Touchdown

    2-D.Lock pass deep right to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +6.9 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 15:00 · ARI · Touchdown

    7-J.Brissett pass short left to 85-T.McBride for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 13:36 · SEA · Fumble lost

    8-J.Price up the middle to ARI 45 for 2 yards (25-Z.Collins; 1-Ma.Wilson). FUMBLES (25-Z.Collins), RECOVERED by ARI-25-Z.Collins at ARI 47.

    −5.2 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 1:16 · SEA · Run

    55-O.Oluwatimi and 74-J.Jones reported in as eligible. 23-E.Wilson up the middle to ARI 2 for -1 yards (28-A.Wingard).

    −4.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 12:31 · SEA · Touchdown

    2-D.Lock pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.8 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 11:39 · ARI · Interception

    7-J.Brissett pass deep left intended for 14-Mi.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Love [58-D.Hall] at ARI 44. 20-J.Love ran ob at ARI 44 for no gain

    −2.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 12:44 · SEA · Touchdown

    2-D.Lock pass short middle to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.0 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 12:16 · ARI · Sack

    7-J.Brissett sacked at ARI 36 for -7 yards (90-J.Reed).

    −2.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the 33-yard kick had missed

Cardinals after the play21%what really happened
CardinalsSeahawksthe rest never happened

Q3 6:52 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Week 2

The rest of the week