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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Steelers 3 · 20 Patriots

143 plays, one strand. Patriots won without the lead ever changing hands; Steelers peaked at 43% to win, Patriots at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NE, down for PIT, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Steelers peaked at 43% to win, Patriots at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Patriots win, play by play. High = NE in control, low = PIT in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NE on offense, down for PIT; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Patriots ↑Steelers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDINTFUMINTNE ↑ HOMEPIT ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: PIT on the left, NE on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
PITNE
67Plays51
235Yards330
2Explosive plays7
0Offensive TDs1
2Turnovers2
43%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
PITPunt3yNEFUM46yPITPunt4yNETD45yPITFG ✕35yNEFG46yPITPunt40yNEPunt14yPITPunt22yNEPunt0yPITFG22yNEINT34yPITPunt24yNEFG ✕56yPITPunt7yNEFG70yPITFUM1yPITPunt-6yNEPunt12yPITINT75yNEPunt5yPITPunt8yNE–2y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.2 expected points against Patriots.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 11:32 · NE · Fumble lost

    10-D.Maye pass short left to 38-R.Stevenson to PIT 31 for 3 yards (51-N.Herbig). FUMBLES (51-N.Herbig), RECOVERED by PIT-41-P.Wilson at PIT

    −4.2 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 8:29 · NE · Touchdown

    32-T.Henderson left guard for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.3 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 4:15 · PIT · Missed field goal

    9-C.Boswell 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.

    −3.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 12:59 · NE · Interception

    10-D.Maye pass deep left intended for 85-H.Henry INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen at PIT 10. 6-P.Queen to PIT 13 for 3 yards (85-H.Henry).

    −4.1 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 3:55 · NE · Missed field goal

    8-A.Borregales 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

    −3.2 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 2:12 · NE · Completion

    10-D.Maye pass deep right to 87-R.Doubs pushed ob at PIT 29 for 63 yards (20-R.Jenkins).

    +4.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 13:46 · PIT · Fumble lost

    8-A.Rodgers sacked at PIT 21 for -9 yards (90-C.Barmore). FUMBLES (90-C.Barmore) [90-C.Barmore], RECOVERED by NE-91-E.Ponder at PIT 19. 91-E

    −7.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 5:16 · PIT · Interception

    8-A.Rodgers pass short right intended for 17-G.Bernard INTERCEPTED by 50-G.Jacas (22-C.Woods) at NE 21. 50-G.Jacas to NE 32 for 11 yards (8-

    −4.8 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
3@20Week 2

If the 45-yard kick had missed

Steelers after the play14%what really happened
PatriotsSteelersthe rest never happened

Q3 0:46 8-A.Borregales 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

Week 2

The rest of the week

Every week →
Lions at Bills, Game DNA31@41Panthers at Falcons, Game DNA34@3Bengals at Texans, Game DNA20@6Browns at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@19Packers at Jets, Game DNA20@17Vikings at Bears, Game DNA9@3Saints at Ravens, Game DNA24@17Eagles at Titans, Game DNA24@20Jaguars at Broncos, Game DNA13@20Raiders at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Dolphins at 49ers, Game DNA13@35Seahawks at Cardinals, Game DNA31@7Commanders at Cowboys, Game DNA20@37Colts at Chiefs, Game DNA30@33Giants at Rams, Game DNA6@28