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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Saints 24 · 17 Ravens

139 plays, one strand. Saints won after 1 lead change; Saints peaked at 94% to win, Ravens at 90%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for BAL, down for NO, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Saints peaked at 94% to win, Ravens at 90%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Ravens win, play by play. High = BAL in control, low = NO in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for BAL on offense, down for NO; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Ravens ↑Saints ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDINTBAL ↑ HOMENO ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NO on the left, BAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NOBAL
64Plays55
301Yards312
5Explosive plays4
2Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers1
94%Peak win prob.90%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
BALPunt4yNOPunt12yBALTD81yNOPunt49yBALFG ✕63yNOFG61yBALTD80yNOFG15yNOFG36yBALFG52yNOPunt-12yBALPunt-11yNOTD70yBALPunt9yNOTD70yBALINT34y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.1 expected points for Ravens.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 12:51 · BAL · Completion

    8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 81-D.Walker to NO 42 for 47 yards (22-M.Emerson). Penalty on NO-22-M.Emerson, Defensive Holding, declined.

    +3.1 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 10:15 · BAL · Missed field goal

    33-T.Loop 49 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-C.Granderson), Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-30-R.Eckley.

    −3.2 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:59 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 14-D.Vele to BAL 35 for 29 yards (21-J.Hawkins).

    +3.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 0:28 · BAL · Touchdown

    8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 7-R.Bateman for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 13:07 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson pushed ob at BAL 39 for 25 yards (2-N.Wiggins).

    +3.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 9:47 · NO · Touchdown

    6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 12-C.Olave for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.6 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:03 · NO · Completion

    6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to BAL 5 for 25 yards (21-J.Hawkins). PENALTY on BAL-91-T.Hendrickson, Roughing the Passer, 3 ya

    +3.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:32 · NO · Touchdown

    6-T.Shough up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The

    +3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
24@17Week 2Changes the winner

If the Ravens had stopped that fourth-and-1

Ravens after the play44%what really happened
RavensSaintsthe rest never happened

Q4 5:41 6-T.Shough up the middle to BAL 43 for 1 yard (14-K.Hamilton).

Week 2

The rest of the week

Every week →
Lions at Bills, Game DNA31@41Panthers at Falcons, Game DNA34@3Bengals at Texans, Game DNA20@6Browns at Buccaneers, Game DNA23@19Packers at Jets, Game DNA20@17Vikings at Bears, Game DNA9@3Eagles at Titans, Game DNA24@20Steelers at Patriots, Game DNA3@20Jaguars at Broncos, Game DNA13@20Raiders at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Dolphins at 49ers, Game DNA13@35Seahawks at Cardinals, Game DNA31@7Commanders at Cowboys, Game DNA20@37Colts at Chiefs, Game DNA30@33Giants at Rams, Game DNA6@28