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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Commanders 20 · 37 Cowboys

134 plays, one strand. Cowboys won without the lead ever changing hands; Commanders peaked at 45% to win, Cowboys at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for WSH, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Commanders peaked at 45% to win, Cowboys at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = WSH in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DAL on offense, down for WSH; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cowboys ↑Commanders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDFUMTDTDTDDAL ↑ HOMEWSH ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: WSH on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
WSHDAL
67Plays54
389Yards332
7Explosive plays4
2Offensive TDs4
1Turnovers0
45%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DALTD66yWSHPunt7yDALFG53yWSHFG95yDALTD56yWSHTD59yDALPunt-4yWSH–64yWSHFG31yDALFG38yWSHFUM-6yDALTD13yWSHFG ✕42yDALFG17yWSHTD73yDALTD93yWSH–24y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points for Commanders.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 2:24 · WSH · Completion

    5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 46 for 24 yards (14-M.Bell).

    +3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 0:03 · WSH · Incomplete

    5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right [90-J.Bullard]. WAS-5-J.Daniels was injured during the play.

    −3.7 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 7:15 · WSH · Fumble lost

    8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 1

    −5.9 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 1:57 · WSH · Missed field goal

    19-D.Stevens 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    −4.2 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 13:27 · DAL · Field goal

    17-B.Aubrey 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

    +2.7 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 6:16 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at WAS 38 for 35 yards (20-Q.Martin).

    +3.1 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 3:13 · DAL · Touchdown

    4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.2 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:37 · WSH · Run

    31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 33 for 3 yards (28-S.Revel).

    −2.6 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the 44-yard kick had missed

Commanders after the play23%what really happened
CowboysCommandersthe rest never happened

Q3 7:24 17-B.Aubrey 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.

Week 2

The rest of the week