Week 2 · 2026Commanders 20 · 37 Cowboys
134 plays, one strand. Cowboys won without the lead ever changing hands; Commanders peaked at 45% to win, Cowboys at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for WSH, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Commanders peaked at 45% to win, Cowboys at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = WSH in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for DAL on offense, down for WSH; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: WSH on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points for Commanders.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 2:24 · WSH · Completion+3.5 EP
5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 17-T.McLaurin to WAS 46 for 24 yards (14-M.Bell).
- 2Q2 0:03 · WSH · Incomplete−3.7 EP
5-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right [90-J.Bullard]. WAS-5-J.Daniels was injured during the play.
- 3Q3 7:15 · WSH · Fumble lost−5.9 EP
8-M.Mariota pass short left to 6-D.Brown to WAS 18 for -6 yards (55-J.Barham). FUMBLES (55-J.Barham), RECOVERED by DAL-53-D.Winters at WAS 1
- 4Q3 1:57 · WSH · Missed field goal−4.2 EP
19-D.Stevens 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
- 5Q4 13:27 · DAL · Field goal+2.7 EP
17-B.Aubrey 60 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.
- 6Q4 6:16 · DAL · Completion+3.1 EP
4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb pushed ob at WAS 38 for 35 yards (20-Q.Martin).
- 7Q4 3:13 · DAL · Touchdown+3.2 EP
4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 8Q4 0:37 · WSH · Run−2.6 EP
31-K.Allen left tackle to DAL 33 for 3 yards (28-S.Revel).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 44-yard kick had missed
Q3 7:24 17-B.Aubrey 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-T.Sieg, Holder-5-B.Anger.