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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 2 · 2026Packers 20 · 17 Jets

153 plays, one strand. Packers won after 1 lead change; Packers peaked at 95% to win, Jets at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYJ, down for GB, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line1 lead change; Packers peaked at 95% to win, Jets at 92%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Jets win, play by play. High = NYJ in control, low = GB in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NYJ on offense, down for GB; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Jets ↑Packers ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1TDTDTDFUMTDNYJ ↑ HOMEGB ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: GB on the left, NYJ on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
GBNYJ
50Plays71
199Yards285
2Explosive plays3
2Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers0
95%Peak win prob.92%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
GBPunt3yNYJPunt32yGBPunt-1yNYJPunt18yGBPunt4yNYJPunt-7yGBTD74yNYJTD36yGBPunt1yNYJ–37yNYJPunt18yGBPunt13yNYJTD64yGBPunt7yNYJPunt43yGBFUM2yNYJFG9yGBTD50yNYJPunt18yGBFG3yNYJ–20yGB–0yNYJPunt-3yGBFG43y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points for Jets.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:04 · NYJ · Incomplete

    7-G.Smith pass incomplete deep left to 15-A.Mitchell (7-J.Bullard). PENALTY on GB-7-J.Bullard, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced a

    +2.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 8:50 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 5-G.Wilson to NYJ 45 for 16 yards (25-K.Nixon).

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 6:39 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass short right to 15-A.Mitchell to GB 5 for 15 yards (25-K.Nixon).

    +2.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 0:04 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass short right to 20-B.Hall to GB 40 for 43 yards (25-K.Nixon).

    +4.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 14:13 · NYJ · Run

    7-G.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 39, and recovers at GB 47.

    −2.8 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 12:35 · GB · Fumble lost

    32-M.Lloyd left tackle to GB 16 for 2 yards (52-K.Enagbare; 56-D.Davis). FUMBLES (52-K.Enagbare), touched at GB 17, RECOVERED by NYJ-97-H.Ph

    −5.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 4:49 · NYJ · Punt

    14-A.McNamara punts 51 yards to GB 18, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 23-S.Moore pushed ob at NYJ 19 for 63 yards (82-A.Smith).

    −3.6 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:20 · NYJ · Run

    0-B.Allen right guard to 50 for no gain (90-L.Van Ness).

    −2.9 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
20@17Week 2Changes the winner

If the 26-yard kick had missed

Jets after the play0%what really happened
JetsPackersthe rest never happened

Q5 5:26 28-T.Smack 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

Week 2

The rest of the week