Week 2 · 2026Packers 20 · 17 Jets
153 plays, one strand. Packers won after 1 lead change; Packers peaked at 95% to win, Jets at 92%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYJ, down for GB, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Packers peaked at 95% to win, Jets at 92%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Jets win, play by play. High = NYJ in control, low = GB in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NYJ on offense, down for GB; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: GB on the left, NYJ on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points for Jets.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 10:04 · NYJ · Incomplete+2.5 EP
7-G.Smith pass incomplete deep left to 15-A.Mitchell (7-J.Bullard). PENALTY on GB-7-J.Bullard, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced a
- 2Q2 8:50 · NYJ · Completion+2.4 EP
7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 5-G.Wilson to NYJ 45 for 16 yards (25-K.Nixon).
- 3Q2 6:39 · NYJ · Completion+2.3 EP
7-G.Smith pass short right to 15-A.Mitchell to GB 5 for 15 yards (25-K.Nixon).
- 4Q3 0:04 · NYJ · Completion+4.4 EP
7-G.Smith pass short right to 20-B.Hall to GB 40 for 43 yards (25-K.Nixon).
- 5Q4 14:13 · NYJ · Run−2.8 EP
7-G.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 39, and recovers at GB 47.
- 6Q4 12:35 · GB · Fumble lost−5.0 EP
32-M.Lloyd left tackle to GB 16 for 2 yards (52-K.Enagbare; 56-D.Davis). FUMBLES (52-K.Enagbare), touched at GB 17, RECOVERED by NYJ-97-H.Ph
- 7Q4 4:49 · NYJ · Punt−3.6 EP
14-A.McNamara punts 51 yards to GB 18, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 23-S.Moore pushed ob at NYJ 19 for 63 yards (82-A.Smith).
- 8Q4 1:20 · NYJ · Run−2.9 EP
0-B.Allen right guard to 50 for no gain (90-L.Van Ness).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 26-yard kick had missed
Q5 5:26 28-T.Smack 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.