The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Las Vegas RaidersScheme DNA

Most middle of the field, least outside runs in the league. Their closest twin is Lions (71% alike), then 49ers and Cardinals. 549 offensive snaps read, 502 of them charted.

League map Raiders verdict JSON

Middle of the field28.8%100th percentile · league 21.0%

Outside runs17.5%13th percentile · league 23.4%

RPO rate2.8%19th percentile · league 5.1%

Deep shots9.3%23th percentile · league 11.5%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: middle of the field (28.8%, 100th percentile), outside runs (17.5%, 13th percentile), rpo rate (2.8%, 19th percentile).

How to read this chart

The flower:: each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:: the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.

Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected−1.9%55

Early-down pass rate50.3%39

Shotgun rate55.6%26

No-huddle rate8.2%81

Pre-snap motion62.5%71

Play action24.8%68

Screen rate8.9%52

RPO rate2.8%19

Deep shots9.3%23

Middle of the field28.8%100

Outside runs17.5%13

Tempo37.9s58

Defense

The defense

Blitz rate27.3%39

Five-plus rushers27.3%39

Men in the box6.4610

Stacked boxes4.1%19

Pass rate faced−2.5%45

Deep shots allowed17.2%100

Defensive twins: Browns (90%), Titans (81%), Cowboys (80%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Raiders · outline: the twin

Bottom lineRaiders and Lions, 71% alike. Both throw more over the middle and run inside more than most of the league; Raiders and Lions differ most in play action (24.8% vs 31.1%) and pre-snap motion (62.5% vs 53.3%).

How to read this chart

Each card is one twin:: an offense that calls games like Raiders. The colored shape is Raiders's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %: is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.

#1 twinLions71%Both throw more over the middle and run inside more than most of the league; Raiders and Lions differ most in play action (24.8% vs 31.1%) and pre-snap motion (62.5% vs 53.3%).

#2 twin49ers69%Both throw more over the middle and run fewer RPOs than most of the league; Raiders and 49ers differ most in pre-snap motion (62.5% vs 75.8%) and no-huddle rate (8.2% vs 3.0%).

#3 twinCardinals64%Both run fewer RPOs than most of the league; Raiders and Cardinals differ most in throws over the middle (28.8% vs 20.5%) and play action (24.8% vs 16.3%).

Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 42% of runs, -0.21 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart

Seen from behind the offense:: the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size: and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color: = how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.

Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short left, 33% of throws, +0.10 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart

The field from the quarterback's eyes:: left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box: shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.

Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart

Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:: how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them: is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.

Under center35%pass rate, neutral downs

Shotgun79%pass rate, neutral downs

A 44-point gap: middle of the pack offenses in the league (10 of 32). See all 32 →