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The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

New England PatriotsScheme DNA

Least no-huddle rate, most deep shots in the league. Their closest twin is Jets (74% alike), then Colts and Jaguars. 547 offensive snaps read, 485 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: −1.3% (61th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 51.8% (68th percentile)Shotgun rate: 59.6% (36th percentile)No-huddle rate: 0.7% (3th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 57.7% (48th percentile)Play action: 20.8% (26th percentile)Screen rate: 8.6% (45th percentile)RPO rate: 2.9% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 15.0% (81th percentile)Middle of the field: 15.4% (13th percentile)Outside runs: 18.5% (23th percentile)Tempo: 38.4s (29th percentile)
No-huddle rate0.7%3th percentile · league 6.5%
Deep shots15.0%81th percentile · league 11.5%
Middle of the field15.4%13th percentile · league 21.0%
Outside runs18.5%23th percentile · league 23.4%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: no-huddle rate (0.7%, 3th percentile), deep shots (15.0%, 81th percentile), middle of the field (15.4%, 13th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: −1.3% (61th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 51.8% (68th percentile)Shotgun rate: 59.6% (36th percentile)No-huddle rate: 0.7% (3th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 57.7% (48th percentile)Play action: 20.8% (26th percentile)Screen rate: 8.6% (45th percentile)RPO rate: 2.9% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 15.0% (81th percentile)Middle of the field: 15.4% (13th percentile)Outside runs: 18.5% (23th percentile)Tempo: 38.4s (29th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected−1.3%61
Early-down pass rate51.8%68
Shotgun rate59.6%36
No-huddle rate0.7%3
Pre-snap motion57.7%48
Play action20.8%26
Screen rate8.6%45
RPO rate2.9%23
Deep shots15.0%81
Middle of the field15.4%13
Outside runs18.5%23
Tempo38.4s29
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 37.2% (74th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 37.2% (74th percentile)Men in the box: 6.65 (61th percentile)Stacked boxes: 12.7% (84th percentile)Pass rate faced: −3.6% (36th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 11.9% (61th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate37.2%74
Five-plus rushers37.2%74
Men in the box6.6561
Stacked boxes12.7%84
Pass rate faced−3.6%36
Deep shots allowed11.9%61

Defensive twins: Broncos (89%), Bears (87%), Cardinals (83%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Patriots · outline: the twin

Bottom linePatriots and Jets, 74% alike. Both throw less over the middle and huddle more than most of the league; Patriots and Jets differ most in deep shots (15.0% vs 11.5%) and early-down pass rate (51.8% vs 46.0%).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Patriots. The colored shape is Patriots's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: −1.3% (61th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 51.8% (68th percentile)Shotgun rate: 59.6% (36th percentile)No-huddle rate: 0.7% (3th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 57.7% (48th percentile)Play action: 20.8% (26th percentile)Screen rate: 8.6% (45th percentile)RPO rate: 2.9% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 15.0% (81th percentile)Middle of the field: 15.4% (13th percentile)Outside runs: 18.5% (23th percentile)Tempo: 38.4s (29th percentile)
#1 twinJets74%Both throw less over the middle and huddle more than most of the league; Patriots and Jets differ most in deep shots (15.0% vs 11.5%) and early-down pass rate (51.8% vs 46.0%).
Pass rate over expected: −1.3% (61th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 51.8% (68th percentile)Shotgun rate: 59.6% (36th percentile)No-huddle rate: 0.7% (3th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 57.7% (48th percentile)Play action: 20.8% (26th percentile)Screen rate: 8.6% (45th percentile)RPO rate: 2.9% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 15.0% (81th percentile)Middle of the field: 15.4% (13th percentile)Outside runs: 18.5% (23th percentile)Tempo: 38.4s (29th percentile)
#2 twinColts64%Both huddle more than most of the league; Patriots and Colts differ most in deep shots (15.0% vs 10.6%) and play action (20.8% vs 27.6%).
Pass rate over expected: −1.3% (61th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 51.8% (68th percentile)Shotgun rate: 59.6% (36th percentile)No-huddle rate: 0.7% (3th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 57.7% (48th percentile)Play action: 20.8% (26th percentile)Screen rate: 8.6% (45th percentile)RPO rate: 2.9% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 15.0% (81th percentile)Middle of the field: 15.4% (13th percentile)Outside runs: 18.5% (23th percentile)Tempo: 38.4s (29th percentile)
#3 twinJaguars64%Both huddle more and run fewer RPOs than most of the league; Patriots and Jaguars differ most in deep shots (15.0% vs 10.6%) and outside runs (18.5% vs 26.5%).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 40% of runs, -0.09 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
12%L end+0.14 EPA9%L tackle−0.03 EPA12%L guard−0.04 EPA40%Middle−0.09 EPA12%R guard−0.17 EPA10%R tackle+0.06 EPA7%R end+0.28 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short left, 33% of throws, -0.15 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
11%+0.09 EPA · 3133%−0.15 EPA · 912%+1.03 EPA · 613%+0.47 EPA · 3711%+1.00 EPA · 3030%+0.26 EPA · 85← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center31%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun77%pass rate, neutral downs

A 46-point gap: one of the most readable offenses in the league (7 of 32). See all 32 →