The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Tampa Bay BuccaneersScheme DNA

Least pass rate over expected, least early-down pass rate in the league. Their closest twin is Falcons (65% alike), then Dolphins and Chargers. 546 offensive snaps read, 481 of them charted.

League map Buccaneers verdict JSON

Pass rate over expected−12.0%3th percentile · league −2.3%

Early-down pass rate39.5%0th percentile · league 50.6%

Middle of the field14.6%10th percentile · league 21.0%

Pre-snap motion68.8%87th percentile · league 59.0%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: pass rate over expected (−12.0%, 3th percentile), early-down pass rate (39.5%, 0th percentile), middle of the field (14.6%, 10th percentile).

How to read this chart

The flower:: each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:: the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.

Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected−12.0%3

Early-down pass rate39.5%0

Shotgun rate63.0%58

No-huddle rate6.6%58

Pre-snap motion68.8%87

Play action21.8%39

Screen rate10.3%71

RPO rate6.7%71

Deep shots11.6%71

Middle of the field14.6%10

Outside runs25.2%74

Tempo38.9s13

Defense

The defense

Blitz rate40.8%94

Five-plus rushers40.8%94

Men in the box6.8087

Stacked boxes20.4%97

Pass rate faced−3.6%32

Deep shots allowed9.1%16

Defensive twins: Bills (86%), Giants (82%), Bears (76%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Buccaneers · outline: the twin

Bottom lineBuccaneers and Falcons, 65% alike. Both run more on early downs and throw less than the situation predicts than most of the league; Buccaneers and Falcons differ most in RPO rate (6.7% vs 2.8%) and pre-snap motion (68.8% vs 58.8%).

How to read this chart

Each card is one twin:: an offense that calls games like Buccaneers. The colored shape is Buccaneers's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %: is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.

#1 twinFalcons65%Both run more on early downs and throw less than the situation predicts than most of the league; Buccaneers and Falcons differ most in RPO rate (6.7% vs 2.8%) and pre-snap motion (68.8% vs 58.8%).

#2 twinDolphins62%Both throw less than the situation predicts and move more before the snap than most of the league; Buccaneers and Dolphins differ most in deep shots (11.6% vs 17.4%) and early-down pass rate (39.5% vs 46.9%).

#3 twinChargers60%Both throw less than the situation predicts and run more on early downs than most of the league; Buccaneers and Chargers differ most in outside runs (25.2% vs 37.8%) and tempo (38.9s vs 37.3s).

Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 18% of runs, +0.07 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart

Seen from behind the offense:: the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size: and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color: = how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.

Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 36% of throws, -0.27 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart

The field from the quarterback's eyes:: left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box: shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.

Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart

Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:: how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them: is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.

Under center26%pass rate, neutral downs

Shotgun60%pass rate, neutral downs

A 35-point gap: one of the hardest to read offenses in the league (29 of 32). See all 32 →