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The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Washington CommandersScheme DNA

Most deep shots, least screen rate in the league. Their closest twin is Texans (75% alike), then Packers and Giants. 482 offensive snaps read, 425 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: −2.0% (52th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 50.5% (48th percentile)Shotgun rate: 72.4% (90th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.5% (84th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 53.9% (32th percentile)Play action: 22.3% (55th percentile)Screen rate: 4.2% (3th percentile)RPO rate: 6.1% (68th percentile)Deep shots: 16.7% (94th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.8% (58th percentile)Outside runs: 23.8% (55th percentile)Tempo: 37.7s (71th percentile)
Deep shots16.7%94th percentile · league 11.5%
Screen rate4.2%3th percentile · league 9.0%
Shotgun rate72.4%90th percentile · league 61.5%
Pre-snap motion53.9%32th percentile · league 59.0%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: deep shots (16.7%, 94th percentile), screen rate (4.2%, 3th percentile), shotgun rate (72.4%, 90th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: −2.0% (52th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 50.5% (48th percentile)Shotgun rate: 72.4% (90th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.5% (84th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 53.9% (32th percentile)Play action: 22.3% (55th percentile)Screen rate: 4.2% (3th percentile)RPO rate: 6.1% (68th percentile)Deep shots: 16.7% (94th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.8% (58th percentile)Outside runs: 23.8% (55th percentile)Tempo: 37.7s (71th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected−2.0%52
Early-down pass rate50.5%48
Shotgun rate72.4%90
No-huddle rate8.5%84
Pre-snap motion53.9%32
Play action22.3%55
Screen rate4.2%3
RPO rate6.1%68
Deep shots16.7%94
Middle of the field21.8%58
Outside runs23.8%55
Tempo37.7s71
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 44.6% (97th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 44.6% (97th percentile)Men in the box: 6.59 (42th percentile)Stacked boxes: 6.5% (45th percentile)Pass rate faced: +2.0% (87th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 10.9% (42th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate44.6%97
Five-plus rushers44.6%97
Men in the box6.5942
Stacked boxes6.5%45
Pass rate faced+2.0%87
Deep shots allowed10.9%42

Defensive twins: Panthers (78%), Broncos (77%), Saints (75%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Commanders · outline: the twin

Bottom lineCommanders and Texans, 75% alike. Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Texans differ most in throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.5%) and no-huddle rate (8.5% vs 4.5%).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Commanders. The colored shape is Commanders's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: −2.0% (52th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 50.5% (48th percentile)Shotgun rate: 72.4% (90th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.5% (84th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 53.9% (32th percentile)Play action: 22.3% (55th percentile)Screen rate: 4.2% (3th percentile)RPO rate: 6.1% (68th percentile)Deep shots: 16.7% (94th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.8% (58th percentile)Outside runs: 23.8% (55th percentile)Tempo: 37.7s (71th percentile)
#1 twinTexans75%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Texans differ most in throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.5%) and no-huddle rate (8.5% vs 4.5%).
Pass rate over expected: −2.0% (52th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 50.5% (48th percentile)Shotgun rate: 72.4% (90th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.5% (84th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 53.9% (32th percentile)Play action: 22.3% (55th percentile)Screen rate: 4.2% (3th percentile)RPO rate: 6.1% (68th percentile)Deep shots: 16.7% (94th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.8% (58th percentile)Outside runs: 23.8% (55th percentile)Tempo: 37.7s (71th percentile)
#2 twinPackers67%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Packers differ most in screen rate (4.2% vs 9.2%) and throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.8%).
Pass rate over expected: −2.0% (52th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 50.5% (48th percentile)Shotgun rate: 72.4% (90th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.5% (84th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 53.9% (32th percentile)Play action: 22.3% (55th percentile)Screen rate: 4.2% (3th percentile)RPO rate: 6.1% (68th percentile)Deep shots: 16.7% (94th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.8% (58th percentile)Outside runs: 23.8% (55th percentile)Tempo: 37.7s (71th percentile)
#3 twinGiants66%Both take more deep shots and throw fewer screens than most of the league; Commanders and Giants differ most in shotgun rate (72.4% vs 60.7%) and pass rate over expected (−2.0% vs −8.5%).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 27% of runs, -0.03 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
7%L end+0.22 EPA12%L tackle+0.15 EPA10%L guard−0.15 EPA27%Middle−0.03 EPA16%R guard−0.19 EPA12%R tackle−0.25 EPA16%R end+0.13 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 32% of throws, +0.04 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
8%+0.49 EPA · 2126%+0.07 EPA · 662%+0.30 EPA · 619%+0.10 EPA · 5012%+0.01 EPA · 3132%+0.04 EPA · 83← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center30%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun74%pass rate, neutral downs

A 44-point gap: middle of the pack offenses in the league (13 of 32). See all 32 →