Deep shots16.7%94th percentile · league 11.5%
Screen rate4.2%3th percentile · league 9.0%
Shotgun rate72.4%90th percentile · league 61.5%
Pre-snap motion53.9%32th percentile · league 59.0%
↳Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: deep shots (16.7%, 94th percentile), screen rate (4.2%, 3th percentile), shotgun rate (72.4%, 90th percentile).
?How to read this chart
- The flower:
- each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
- The bars:
- the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense
The playbook
Pass rate over expected−2.0%52
Early-down pass rate50.5%48
Shotgun rate72.4%90
No-huddle rate8.5%84
Pre-snap motion53.9%32
Play action22.3%55
Screen rate4.2%3
RPO rate6.1%68
Deep shots16.7%94
Middle of the field21.8%58
Outside runs23.8%55
Tempo37.7s71
Defense
The defense
Twins
Offenses most like theirs
Solid shape: Commanders · outline: the twin
↳Bottom lineCommanders and Texans, 75% alike. Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Texans differ most in throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.5%) and no-huddle rate (8.5% vs 4.5%).
?How to read this chart
- Each card is one twin:
- an offense that calls games like Commanders. The colored shape is Commanders's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
- The %
- is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
#1 twin
Texans75%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Texans differ most in throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.5%) and no-huddle rate (8.5% vs 4.5%).
#2 twin
Packers67%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Commanders and Packers differ most in screen rate (4.2% vs 9.2%) and throws over the middle (21.8% vs 26.8%).
#3 twin
Giants66%Both take more deep shots and throw fewer screens than most of the league; Commanders and Giants differ most in shotgun rate (72.4% vs 60.7%) and pass rate over expected (−2.0% vs −8.5%).
Run game
Where they run
Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry
↳Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 27% of runs, -0.03 EPA per carry.
?How to read this chart
- Seen from behind the offense:
- the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
- Arrow size
- and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
- Arrow color
- = how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
Pass game
Where they throw
Share of targets · EPA per throw
↳Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 32% of throws, +0.04 EPA per throw.
?How to read this chart
- The field from the quarterback's eyes:
- left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
- Each box
- shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
Formation Tell
What the formation gives away
?How to read this chart
- Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
- how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
- The gap between them
- is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center30%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun74%pass rate, neutral downs
A 44-point gap: middle of the pack offenses in the league (13 of 32). See all 32 →