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The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Green Bay PackersScheme DNA

Most deep shots, most middle of the field in the league. Their closest twin is Texans (74% alike), then Commanders and Steelers. 551 offensive snaps read, 486 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: +1.1% (81th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 53.4% (74th percentile)Shotgun rate: 68.2% (77th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.0% (77th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 62.3% (65th percentile)Play action: 17.2% (13th percentile)Screen rate: 9.2% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 7.0% (81th percentile)Deep shots: 18.3% (100th percentile)Middle of the field: 26.8% (90th percentile)Outside runs: 21.9% (36th percentile)Tempo: 38.3s (42th percentile)
Deep shots18.3%100th percentile · league 11.5%
Middle of the field26.8%90th percentile · league 21.0%
Play action17.2%13th percentile · league 23.1%
Shotgun rate68.2%77th percentile · league 61.5%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: deep shots (18.3%, 100th percentile), middle of the field (26.8%, 90th percentile), play action (17.2%, 13th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: +1.1% (81th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 53.4% (74th percentile)Shotgun rate: 68.2% (77th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.0% (77th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 62.3% (65th percentile)Play action: 17.2% (13th percentile)Screen rate: 9.2% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 7.0% (81th percentile)Deep shots: 18.3% (100th percentile)Middle of the field: 26.8% (90th percentile)Outside runs: 21.9% (36th percentile)Tempo: 38.3s (42th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected+1.1%81
Early-down pass rate53.4%74
Shotgun rate68.2%77
No-huddle rate8.0%77
Pre-snap motion62.3%65
Play action17.2%13
Screen rate9.2%55
RPO rate7.0%81
Deep shots18.3%100
Middle of the field26.8%90
Outside runs21.9%36
Tempo38.3s42
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 33.9% (61th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 33.9% (61th percentile)Men in the box: 6.54 (29th percentile)Stacked boxes: 5.0% (29th percentile)Pass rate faced: −1.6% (65th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 7.8% (3th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate33.9%61
Five-plus rushers33.9%61
Men in the box6.5429
Stacked boxes5.0%29
Pass rate faced−1.6%65
Deep shots allowed7.8%3

Defensive twins: Saints (88%), Ravens (87%), 49ers (86%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Packers · outline: the twin

Bottom linePackers and Texans, 74% alike. Both take more deep shots and throw more over the middle than most of the league; Packers and Texans differ most in deep shots (18.3% vs 15.1%) and RPO rate (7.0% vs 4.3%).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Packers. The colored shape is Packers's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: +1.1% (81th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 53.4% (74th percentile)Shotgun rate: 68.2% (77th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.0% (77th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 62.3% (65th percentile)Play action: 17.2% (13th percentile)Screen rate: 9.2% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 7.0% (81th percentile)Deep shots: 18.3% (100th percentile)Middle of the field: 26.8% (90th percentile)Outside runs: 21.9% (36th percentile)Tempo: 38.3s (42th percentile)
#1 twinTexans74%Both take more deep shots and throw more over the middle than most of the league; Packers and Texans differ most in deep shots (18.3% vs 15.1%) and RPO rate (7.0% vs 4.3%).
Pass rate over expected: +1.1% (81th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 53.4% (74th percentile)Shotgun rate: 68.2% (77th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.0% (77th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 62.3% (65th percentile)Play action: 17.2% (13th percentile)Screen rate: 9.2% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 7.0% (81th percentile)Deep shots: 18.3% (100th percentile)Middle of the field: 26.8% (90th percentile)Outside runs: 21.9% (36th percentile)Tempo: 38.3s (42th percentile)
#2 twinCommanders67%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Packers and Commanders differ most in screen rate (9.2% vs 4.2%) and throws over the middle (26.8% vs 21.8%).
Pass rate over expected: +1.1% (81th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 53.4% (74th percentile)Shotgun rate: 68.2% (77th percentile)No-huddle rate: 8.0% (77th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 62.3% (65th percentile)Play action: 17.2% (13th percentile)Screen rate: 9.2% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 7.0% (81th percentile)Deep shots: 18.3% (100th percentile)Middle of the field: 26.8% (90th percentile)Outside runs: 21.9% (36th percentile)Tempo: 38.3s (42th percentile)
#3 twinSteelers55%Both use less play action and throw more than the situation predicts than most of the league; Packers and Steelers differ most in pre-snap motion (62.3% vs 46.7%) and tempo (38.3s vs 40.1s).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 26% of runs, -0.27 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
13%L end−0.21 EPA17%L tackle−0.28 EPA11%L guard−0.24 EPA26%Middle−0.27 EPA9%R guard−0.34 EPA15%R tackle−0.16 EPA9%R end−0.04 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 32% of throws, -0.04 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
8%+0.49 EPA · 2624%+0.15 EPA · 817%+1.59 EPA · 2320%+0.20 EPA · 689%+0.45 EPA · 3232%−0.04 EPA · 109← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center40%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun72%pass rate, neutral downs

A 32-point gap: one of the hardest to read offenses in the league (30 of 32). See all 32 →