Deep shots18.3%100th percentile · league 11.5%
Middle of the field26.8%90th percentile · league 21.0%
Play action17.2%13th percentile · league 23.1%
Shotgun rate68.2%77th percentile · league 61.5%
↳Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: deep shots (18.3%, 100th percentile), middle of the field (26.8%, 90th percentile), play action (17.2%, 13th percentile).
?How to read this chart
- The flower:
- each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
- The bars:
- the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense
The playbook
Pass rate over expected+1.1%81
Early-down pass rate53.4%74
Shotgun rate68.2%77
No-huddle rate8.0%77
Pre-snap motion62.3%65
Play action17.2%13
Screen rate9.2%55
RPO rate7.0%81
Deep shots18.3%100
Middle of the field26.8%90
Outside runs21.9%36
Tempo38.3s42
Defense
The defense
Twins
Offenses most like theirs
Solid shape: Packers · outline: the twin
↳Bottom linePackers and Texans, 74% alike. Both take more deep shots and throw more over the middle than most of the league; Packers and Texans differ most in deep shots (18.3% vs 15.1%) and RPO rate (7.0% vs 4.3%).
?How to read this chart
- Each card is one twin:
- an offense that calls games like Packers. The colored shape is Packers's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
- The %
- is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
#1 twin
Texans74%Both take more deep shots and throw more over the middle than most of the league; Packers and Texans differ most in deep shots (18.3% vs 15.1%) and RPO rate (7.0% vs 4.3%).
#2 twin
Commanders67%Both take more deep shots and line up in shotgun more than most of the league; Packers and Commanders differ most in screen rate (9.2% vs 4.2%) and throws over the middle (26.8% vs 21.8%).
#3 twin
Steelers55%Both use less play action and throw more than the situation predicts than most of the league; Packers and Steelers differ most in pre-snap motion (62.3% vs 46.7%) and tempo (38.3s vs 40.1s).
Run game
Where they run
Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry
↳Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 26% of runs, -0.27 EPA per carry.
?How to read this chart
- Seen from behind the offense:
- the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
- Arrow size
- and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
- Arrow color
- = how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
Pass game
Where they throw
Share of targets · EPA per throw
↳Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 32% of throws, -0.04 EPA per throw.
?How to read this chart
- The field from the quarterback's eyes:
- left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
- Each box
- shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
Formation Tell
What the formation gives away
?How to read this chart
- Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
- how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
- The gap between them
- is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center40%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun72%pass rate, neutral downs
A 32-point gap: one of the hardest to read offenses in the league (30 of 32). See all 32 →